Da'Mon Blackshear

the pick is framed as contingent on where the fight takes place - a real shot for Grant if it stays standing, an edge for Blackshear only once the fight reaches the mat

A fighter who selects his shots instead of pushing a heavy workrate, most dangerous once the range opens up, where he throws an explosive kicking game off either leg to every level plus knees and a flying knee. His true advantage sits on the mat: a reliable grappler armed with a strong choke game, excellent takedowns, strong top position, a scary back-take, and savage elbows once he lands in top control.

States plainly he's taking Blackshear and that the favoritism is earned, with a clear mechanism (superior grappling closes the fight whichever way it gets to the mat); no hedge on the win itself.

Our paraphrase: good striker with decent power who picks his shots and has a good knee, but the analyst's real emphasis is grappling, which he self-corrects upward mid-breath from 'good' to 'solid.' Large grappling toolbox: good choke arsenal, functional takedowns, back control, and heavy top pressure with ground-and-pound.

Right after naming his pick he adds that he 'wouldn't be shocked' to see the opponent pull off the win instead, tempering an otherwise reasoned physicality argument.

Our words: a good striker with real power, and the analyst particularly likes his flying knees as a tool to close distance on a taller, longer opponent. His shot selection can mean low output depending on the matchup. His grappling is a genuine strength -- real takedowns, a very good back-taking game, and a large submission toolbox that goes most often to chokes. The analyst notes he has fought tougher recent opposition than his bare record suggests.

Picks Blackshear by name on his height/reach edge, but explicitly tells viewers to pass on this one ('one of those landmines'), picking him seemingly just to have a pick rather than from conviction, and concedes Stamann could win if his volume and takedowns return -- a named winner plus an explicit stay-away instruction, capped at coinflip.

A skillful grappler with a large toolbox who hunts chokes and back control, competitive on the mat even against a credentialed wrestler. On the feet he carries more power than his opponent here, a good striker helped by a real reach and height advantage (roughly six inches). He has a reputation for never being out of a fight, able to come back from adversity late.

He states a mechanism -- Jackson loses the output battle but wins via knockdown moments -- then immediately undercuts his own read and tells viewers to pass on betting it. A named winner plus that explicit pass instruction caps this at coinflip.

A well-rounded, skilled fighter: a good grappler with a deep submission game and a seriously strong choke arsenal, especially off the back, and incredibly effective once the fight is on the mat. He is also a good striker with power and an explosive, dynamic style. The analyst frames him as a tough out for anyone in the division, with the risk that he out-works Jackson on volume across the rounds even while losing the moments that sway judges.

Names Blackshear as his pick three separate times but explicitly refuses to back it with money, distrusts the short-notice/weight-cut circumstances, and closes by saying the pick could still change on reflection -- the pick itself is never retracted, read to the end of the chapter.

Da'Mon Blackshear is graded a solid, large-toolbox wrestler who looks to take the back and finish with chokes, backed by good, powerful striking off a long jab and a real reach edge. He is coming off a rare Twister submission win and the analyst thinks that confidence helps him here, despite taking this fight on very short turnaround while cutting weight twice in one week.

names Blackshear as the pick three separate times, reasoning from Johnson's short notice and poor takedown defense.

A good wrestler and prolific submission hunter with a wide variety of chokes, who the analyst expects to shoot for the takedown against Johnson and prioritize control and position over flashy scrambles once on top. He explicitly says this particular read is rebuilt from older notes and memory rather than fresh tape study, with only the records updated.

'I'm gonna take lucerna' is a plain commitment, but he explicitly says he would not fault a viewer for picking the other man in this close matchup -- a direct hedge on the win itself.

Blackshear is read as a wrestling-based submission hunter with a genuinely good choking game and real power on the feet. He is credited with the capacity to push through adversity and turn a fight around late. The one explicit stylistic knock is that he sometimes chases the submission and loses position -- but he himself calls that a neutral trade-off, not a flaw.

cut and dry ... basharat's the winner here

Strong grappling instincts, happy to hunt a neck crank even at the cost of his dominant spot, which can backfire if he jumps too soon. His feet are the open question this chapter -- the board marks it a plus, but the raw caption reads as a flat denial (see flag).