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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Calvin Kattar
Featherweight

Calvin Kattar

23-10-0 UFC 7-8-0
Cardio Machine Forward Pressure Hittable
5'11"Height
72"Reach
OrthodoxStance
38Age
4KO wins
0Sub wins
57.1%Finish rate
14:47Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 78 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Feb 2025 · stats read 50 → nudged -6 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +1, striking volume +1, striking technique +1 (+4) Accuracy — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +1 (+3) Striking D — Weak, rated 5 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Feb 2025 · stats read 38 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin +1 (+2) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent · Feb 2025 · stats read 15 → nudged -9 inside the band · claims td offense -2 (-4) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 80 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Apr 2024 · stats read 85 → nudged +4 inside the band · claims td defense +1 (+2) Grappling — Weak, rated 12 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+2) Control — Weak, rated 4 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Rodrigues Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 11, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 300 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 9, 2024 watch ↗
  • great UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Allen Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · October 26, 2022 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling decent
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Rodrigues Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 11, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 300 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 9, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Allen Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · October 26, 2022 watch ↗
cardio great
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • great UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Allen Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · October 26, 2022 watch ↗
durability not yet read
striking solid 3 reads
grappling not yet read
wrestling decent 3 reads
cardio great 1 read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Grappling, Control · stats alone on Striking D.

Cardio Machine 138 MMA · Oct 2022 grades his cardio great
Forward Pressure 4.4 landed and 6.5 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Hittable absorbs 6.5 significant strikes per minute
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.41
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.55
Striking accuracy38.0%
Striking defense54.8%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.34
Takedowns / 15 min0.34
Takedown accuracy29.4%
Takedown defense77.3%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.07
Control time2.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents5-8

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Youssef Zalal lean UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Rodrigues Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 11, 2025
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent cardiogreat

He says Zalal 'is the more complete package' and will take the fight to the canvas when needed, but concedes that a feet-only scenario poses real danger for him -- a route conceded to Kattar and only partly rebutted.

A durable, technical boxer-brawler - great range control, a long jab, sharp counters that draw out opponents, good combinations and power, and one of the more durable chins around. He's coming off a loss to a top pound-for-pound-caliber opponent. His wrestling is just decent, with a nasty ground-and-pound barrage and decent takedown defense. As of 2025-02-11.

Strengthdurable, technical boxer-brawler: range control, long jab, sharp counters, good combos and power
Strengthdecent takedown defense, nasty ground-and-pound barrage
Weaknesscoming off a loss to elite-level competition
chin · durablecompetition quality · tested
vs Aljamain Sterling lean UFC 300 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 9, 2024 · 1 read since
strikingsolid wrestlinggood cardiogreat

Explicit naming carries the pick despite the tag -- he states directly that he has to take Kattar here. But he repeatedly calls the matchup 'a tricky read' and admits he may be 'crazy' for stacking underdogs this card -- hedges on the read itself, not just method, which keep this at lean rather than clear.

Solid striker built around range control and a long jab, countering opponents he draws out, with good combinations, power and volume -- though it is accumulation power rather than one-shot. Good wrestling on the defensive side (takedown defense) and the killer instinct to finish when he smells blood. His 2-3 recent record is discounted by the analyst: a freak-landing knee injury against Allen and a debatable decision loss to Emmett, plus a long layoff from that knee injury.

Strengthrange control, long jab, drawing-and-countering
Strengthgood power/volume in combination (not one-shot)
Strengthgood takedown defense
Strengthkiller instinct to finish
Weaknesscoming off a long layoff from a knee injury
td defense · goodko power · good
vs Arnold Allen lean UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Allen Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · October 26, 2022 · 2 reads since
strikinggreat wrestlingdecent cardiogreat

He leans toward Allen and settles there each time he restates the call, backed by a real argued mechanism (more paths to victory); but the repeated hedged framing of the commitment, plus a separate underdog-value betting strategy (take whichever man is priced as the dog), keep this below a clean, unhedged 'clear'.

Has a real height/reach advantage and great, combination-heavy boxing, which the analyst spends real time explaining forces Allen to punch upward for all five rounds -- a genuinely fatiguing disadvantage for the shorter man. He has decent wrestling but it is not his main path to winning. He is extremely durable, having withstood a record-setting striking volume in one fight and eaten hard shots from two of the era's hardest punchers without being finished, though the analyst floats that this durability will eventually fade -- just not yet.

Strengthgreat, combination-heavy boxing with a real height/reach advantage
Strengthextremely durable, has absorbed heavy volume and power without being finished
Strengthdecent wrestling as a secondary option
Weaknesshard to corner or finish the fight off purely with one follow-up option (boxing) if the opponent avoids engaging
chin · durable

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
July 15, 2020 vs Dan Ige — 4.2/min (W) Jul '20 January 16, 2021 vs Max Holloway — 5.32/min (L) Jan '21 January 15, 2022 vs Giga Chikadze — 5.76/min (W) Jan '22 June 18, 2022 vs Josh Emmett — 5.2/min (L) Jun '22 October 29, 2022 vs Arnold Allen — 2.73/min (L) Oct '22 April 13, 2024 vs Aljamain Sterling — 0.53/min (L) Apr '24 February 15, 2025 vs Youssef Zalal — 2.53/min (L) Feb '25 July 12, 2025 vs Steve Garcia — 1.73/min (L) Jul '25

Fight history

15 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Steve Garcia 17-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · July 12, 2025
26/123Sig. strikes
85/250Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:21Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Youssef Zalal 16-5-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · February 15, 2025
38/134Sig. strikes
74/133Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Aljamain Sterling 23-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · April 13, 2024
8/29Sig. strikes
39/71Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Arnold Allen 18-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:08 — UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · October 29, 2022
14/58Sig. strikes
28/67Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Josh Emmett 17-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · June 18, 2022
130/375Sig. strikes
107/332Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Giga Chikadze 14-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · January 15, 2022
144/402Sig. strikes
128/347Absorbed
2/7Takedowns
3:42Control
1Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Max Holloway 21-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · January 16, 2021
133/283Sig. strikes
445/744Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Dan Ige 14-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · July 15, 2020
105/260Sig. strikes
84/218Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:06Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jeremy Stephens 28-17 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:49 — UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · May 9, 2020
52/113Sig. strikes
57/104Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:06Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Zabit Magomedsharipov 17-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · November 9, 2019
80/213Sig. strikes
96/250Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ricardo Lamas 19-7 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:06 — UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · June 8, 2019
22/41Sig. strikes
12/29Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Chris Fishgold 17-1-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:11 — UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · October 27, 2018
24/48Sig. strikes
20/75Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Renato Moicano 11-1-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · April 7, 2018
41/140Sig. strikes
116/206Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Shane Burgos 10-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 0:32 — UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · January 20, 2018
85/194Sig. strikes
89/186Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:13Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Andre Fili 16-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · July 29, 2017
75/160Sig. strikes
73/202Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
0:36Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
23-10-0Pro record
New England Cartel (2015–present), Lauzon MMA, Hard Knocks Boston, 617 Fight Sports, Team SityodtongGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 10
Submission 3
Decision 10
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 8
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 15
Combat Zone 9
CES MMA 3
Xtreme Championship Fight League 2
World Championship Fighting 2
American Steel Cagefighting 1
EliteXC 1
Full career — 33 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Steve Garcia Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira
July 12, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L Youssef Zalal Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
February 15, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L Aljamain Sterling Decision (unanimous) UFC 300
April 13, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Arnold Allen TKO (knee injury) UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
October 29, 2022
UFC 2 0:08
L Josh Emmett Decision (split) UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett
June 18, 2022
UFC 5 5:00
W Giga Chikadze Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze
January 15, 2022
UFC 5 5:00
L Max Holloway Decision (unanimous) UFC on ABC: Holloway vs. Kattar
January 16, 2021
UFC 5 5:00
W Dan Ige Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige
July 16, 2020
UFC 5 5:00
W Jeremy Stephens KO (elbows) UFC 249
May 9, 2020
UFC 2 2:42
L Zabit Magomedsharipov Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Magomedsharipov vs. Kattar
November 9, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Ricardo Lamas KO (punches) UFC 238
June 8, 2019
UFC 1 4:06
W Chris Fishgold TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Volkan vs. Smith
October 27, 2018
UFC 1 4:11
L Renato Moicano Decision (unanimous) UFC 223
April 7, 2018
UFC 3 5:00
W Shane Burgos TKO (punches) UFC 220
January 20, 2018
UFC 3 0:32
W Andre Fili Decision (unanimous) UFC 214
July 29, 2017
UFC 3 5:00
W Chris Foster Decision (unanimous) CES MMA 38
September 23, 2016
CES MMA 3 5:00
W Kenny Foster Decision (split) CES MMA 34
April 1, 2016
CES MMA 3 5:00
W Gabriel Baino Decision (unanimous) Combat Zone 44
June 14, 2013
Combat Zone 3 5:00
W Saul Almeida Decision (unanimous) CES MMA 13
October 6, 2012
CES MMA 3 5:00
W Cody Stevens Decision (unanimous) Combat Zone 39
October 21, 2011
Combat Zone 3 5:00
W Luiz Rodrigues Decision (unanimous) Combat Zone 36
January 28, 2011
Combat Zone 3 5:00
W Chris Connor TKO (punches) Combat Zone 33
June 19, 2010
Combat Zone 1 3:40
W Jeff Anderson TKO (punches) Xtreme Championship Fight League 2
March 26, 2010
Xtreme Championship Fight League 3 4:05
L Don Carlo-Clauss Decision (split) Xtreme Championship Fight League 1
February 6, 2010
Xtreme Championship Fight League 3 5:00
W Andrew Montanez Decision (unanimous) American Steel Cagefighting 2
September 11, 2009
American Steel Cagefighting 5 5:00
W Rodrigo Almeida Submission (guillotine choke) World Championship Fighting 7
June 27, 2009
World Championship Fighting 1 2:16
W Jonathan Bermudez TKO (punches) Combat Zone 27
February 6, 2009
Combat Zone 1 0:29
W Bobby Diaz Submission (triangle choke) World Championship Fighting 5
November 14, 2008
World Championship Fighting 1 1:21
W Kevin Roddy KO (punches) Combat Zone 26
September 26, 2008
Combat Zone 1 0:47
L James Jones Submission (rear-naked choke) EliteXC: Primetime
May 31, 2008
EliteXC 1 4:49
W Bob Pupa TKO (submission to punches) Combat Zone 24
October 13, 2007
Combat Zone 1 0:51
W Donald Peters TKO (punches) Combat Zone 23
August 25, 2007
Combat Zone 1 —
W Tony Armijo TKO (punches) Combat Zone 22
June 23, 2007
Combat Zone 1 2:02

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Calvin Kattar) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.4 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 6.5 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 38.0% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 54.8% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 0.3 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 29.4% avg 37.4%
Takedown defense 77.3% avg 60.2%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.1 avg 0.6
Control time 2.9% avg 20.1%
Finish rate 57.1% avg 44.2%

Headshot of Calvin Kattar by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized