Tom Nolan

He states plainly that the fight goes to the mat and ends in a submission and that he has to take the opponent, with the only hedging attached to the finishing method rather than the win.

A long, well-rounded volume striker with improving grappling who, per the analyst, keeps finding himself in submission trouble against a far better submission artist.

"I'm going to take" him (quote, 5 words) follows a stated mechanism -- better technical striking plus takedown defense that keeps the fight standing.

Leans on his frame effectively as a striker, pushing real output and leaning heavily on elbows and knees that cut opponents up, while still stringing together combinations. His grappling is a mixed bag: strong top pressure plus choke attacks, and a genuinely unusual, effective up-kick from the bottom, but he winds up defending submission attempts often, which is treated as the bigger concern even though he keeps escaping them.

The pick is repeated three times with 'I think' rather than stated flatly, and he closes by calling it a close, competitive fight for a reason.

Framed as leaning striker-first, mixing in knees to the midsection, solid combination work and a steady output. His mat game is called the lesser half of his arsenal but still decent, landing ground strikes and leveraging his longer limbs there. The pick turns on him catching Campbell with a counter off Campbell's own leg kick.

He picks Nolan on form, travel and a grappling edge, then undercuts himself with 'maybe I'm crazy' -- a first-person doubt about his own read, not a round-level hedge.

Nolan makes good use of his size on the feet, with a healthy work rate, varied combinations and effective knee strikes up the middle; the analyst argues he is not simply outclassed there even against a more skilled striker. On the mat he is a step below elite grappling but uses his reach well for ground-and-pound and has the long, thin arms the analyst likes for chokes.

Picks Nolan outright, naming him as the heavy betting favorite. His only hedge is that the price itself is too short to actually wager -- pure price caution, not doubt about who wins.

Big, rangy striker who uses his size well -- knees up the middle, good combination volume -- backed by a credible secondary grappling game: long limbs that slip chokes under the chin, good ground-and-pound, and composed submission defense even from bad positions.

Stated plainly: 'take Tom Nolan here', with a concrete mechanism (size/reach edge and knee strikes) and no hedge on the win itself.

A good striker credited with using a real size advantage well, especially knees up the middle that are harder to avoid given his height, backed by good volume and combinations. His grappling is decent jiu-jitsu, with his long frame specifically useful for wrapping up chokes and arms, plus solid ground-and-pound.

names Nolan as the pick, winning by knockout via a named mechanism (knee up the middle); hedge is on finish method only, not on the win itself.

Young, comparatively inexperienced prospect but carries a large height/reach edge (6'3", 76") over Motta. A good-volume striker who throws knees up the middle to stop a shorter man from ducking in, puts together clean combinations and a variety of strikes. Decent BJJ if it hits the mat -- uses his length to control, has long choking arms and good ground-and-pound. Picked to use the size and knees to catch Motta as he closes.