Charlie Campbell

The pick is repeated three times with 'I think' rather than stated flatly, and he closes by calling it a close, competitive fight for a reason.

Carries real pop and a heavy, reliable leg kick, but throwing it is said to drop his hands and expose him entirely to a return shot. His takedown defense is described as solid without being exceptional.

His own analytical case favors Campbell on the scorecards; the Peek pick is explicitly framed as the fun/rooting choice, decided only moments before recording, and he labels it directly as the single lowest-conviction pick on this whole card. He pairs the root-beer stay-away idiom with direct advice not to bet on the fight at all -- idiom plus stay-away advice, which the rules set at coinflip, reinforced by his own stated lack of confidence.

Described as the cleaner, more technical fighter across the board: a good, powerful, accurate striker with good combinations and a solid leg kick. His known weakness is being open to counters, explicitly tied to a prior Contender Series knockout loss. His decent grappling adds good takedown defense and a ground-and-pound game if he gets on top. 138's own analytical case favors him to win on the scorecards.

Explicit named pick for Campbell, reasoned on Reyes' six-year layoff versus Campbell's active, recently-seen form. But the analyst explicitly tells viewers to skip betting this one and uses the root-beer idiom, which per the confidence-bar rule caps conviction; combined with his own admission that Reyes' current level is simply unknown after such a long absence, this is outcome-relevant uncertainty, not just a price comment, so the grade is held at lean rather than clear.

A good, powerful striker with a solid leg kick who also owns a real finished vulnerability: in his lone known UFC/Contender Series look he was knocked out after throwing that leg kick and leaving his face open to a counter. Carries good takedown defense. His form is well known to the analyst (recent, visible fight tape) in contrast to his opponent's.