Rafa Garcia

Picks Garcia but flags it as "a very competitive fight" and concedes a real two-round distance-keeping path for Rongzhu that goes largely unanswered.

Garcia is described as a true all-rounder who doesn't have one standout tool but is good at everything. He presses forward with durable power and solid body work, and on the ground he has a varied takedown and transition game, pressuring at the fence between attempts and sprawling well himself. The analyst's path to victory for him runs through pace and mixing in wrestling, since he isn't expected to win a pure striking contest.

calls it a 'very 50/50 fight', concedes 'this is the time he just doesn't show up'

Durable, well-rounded striker-wrestler with good power and body work, and a solid grappling game that includes good takedowns, mat returns, and cage pressure. Framed as a near-mirror skill set for his opponent.

'We're going to take Gordon' with an explicit round-by-round mechanism (Garcia likely takes round one, Gordon takes over rounds two and three as Garcia fades) and a predicted 29-28 decision; the one hedge raised is about Gordon's history of not getting the judges' credit he deserves, not about who the better fighter is.

Pretty good striking: durable, works the body well, with power. A good wrestler whose takedowns and mat-return game are effective, especially pinning opponents against the cage -- but the analyst says he slows down as the fight goes on because the style costs him energy.

winner named with a stated mechanism: Garcia to dictate location and win more of the fight's minutes, closing with 'we're taking Garcia.'; he describes this one as a 'tough time making a pick' and later calls it 'tricky' -- a direct qualifier on the win itself, not just on method or margin.

Good striker with good power, works the body well and is extremely durable. Good grappler with good takedowns and strong mat returns. Picked mainly on an expectation he dictates where the fight takes place.

He says he is taking Dawson 'pretty confidently', expecting him to get the back and control to a finish or decision; the only hedge in the chapter is about a single prior knockout loss, which he argues away as a cold-start one-punch fluke rather than a chin issue.

A good striker with decent power who works the body well and is durable, backed by pretty good wrestling and good takedowns of his own. The clear weakness flagged is fading as a fight goes on, especially if made to wrestle, which is why he is read as preferring to keep the fight standing. The analyst notes he hasn't fought in a while.

Coinflip. The pick of Garcia is reluctant and loosely held: he says he is torn, cannot bring himself to commit, is looking for any reason to switch and invites viewers to sway him, and plans to sit this one out with a root beer (his own staking choice, not advice to viewers). 'Should probably' hedges the win itself, and the only case for Garcia is that Guida's pace alone may not be enough. Defensible alternative: lean.

A 28-year-old with roughly seven UFC fights whose losses all came inside the promotion. Rated a good, well-rounded striker and wrestler who works the body, but who can fade late in fights. Named the pick by default, since he is the younger man.

Explicit non-bet: uses the root-beer idiom and plainly disclaims confidence, given only a small sample of tape on maheshate, even while naming him as the pick.

A decent, well-rounded fighter who does everything reasonably well without excelling at anything, and keeps fighting hard for the finish or the decision rather than folding. His 2-3 last-five record is treated as deceptive since his most recent loss came on short notice against a fighter close to the top of the division; he faces a significant size/reach disadvantage here that will force him to close distance against a much longer fighter before he can do damage.