Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Lightweight

Maheshate

2-4-0
Striker Hard To Take Down Gets Dropped Suspect TD Defense
6'0"Height
71"Reach
OrthodoxStance
26Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
11:28Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 54 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026 · stats read 33 → nudged -8 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims kicking +2 (+2) Accuracy — Weak, rated 4 of 100 · claims counter striking +1 (+1) Striking D — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking defence marked as a minus · stats read 5 → nudged -10 inside the band · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Weak, rated 8 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 16 of 100 · claims clinch +2 (+2) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Aug 2026 · stats read 24 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims td defense -2, getup -1 (-6) Grappling — Weak, rated 11 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good Road to UFC Shanghai Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Yan vs Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Macau) · November 20, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Dern vs Hill Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 73) · May 16, 2023 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Strickland Full Card Analysis, Preview, & Prediction · December 14, 2022 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 5 reads
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling · stats alone on Durability, Grappling, Control.

Built on 68 minutes of tracked cage time across 6 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 54 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026
Hard To Take Down below avg td defense — rates 26 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Aug 2026
Gets Dropped knocked down 5 times in 68 minutes of cage time
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Aug 2026 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.11
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.56
Striking accuracy31.8%
Striking defense51.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.44
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense47.1%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time0.4%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

6 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Darrius Flowers coinflip Road to UFC Shanghai Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026
strikinggood

Names his pick but closes by calling the fight loaded with variables, after conceding a clear and largely unrebutted route for the opponent to win.

A power-punching range fighter who manages distance well, lands stiff elbows and a sharp cross, and finishes with knees in the clinch, making him a legitimately dangerous finisher. The flip side is poor striking defense and poor takedown defense, a tendency to get overworked, and a style the analyst flatly calls knockout-or-bust, since he is not reliably landing clean combinations.

Strengthmanages range well
Strengthgood power
Strengthsharp elbows and cross
Strengthgood kick arsenal
Strengthdangerous clinch knees
Weaknesspoor striking defense
Weaknesspoor takedown defense
Weaknesscan be overworked/outlasted
Weaknessinconsistent combination punching
Weaknesslargely knockout-or-bust finishing
ko power · goodtd defense · suspectrange · long
vs Gauge Young lean UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 · 1 read since
strikinggood

The pick only holds if the favored man chooses to wrestle rather than trade; the analyst says outright that the opposite approach likely ends in him getting finished.

A good and, by the analyst's explicit comparison, the more dangerous striker of the two: plenty of power, good range usage, nasty elbows, a slick cross, and good kicks and knees. His takedown defense is called out twice as a real weak point ('not so much'). The entire fight is framed around whether his opponent chooses to test that weakness. As of 2025-08-18.

Strengthmore dangerous striker of the two: plenty of power, good range usage, nasty elbows, a slick cross, good kicks and knees
Weaknesstakedown defense is a stated weak point
td defense · suspect
vs Nikolas Motta coinflip UFC Fight Night Yan vs Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Macau) · November 20, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikinggood

He says he is 'not confident in this whatsoever' and that either man could be dropped or knocked out, calling neither defense good enough for a confident pick, before still naming Maheshate on a thin durability/home-region edge.

A good striker with real power who uses range well, mixing in nasty elbows, kicks and a slick cross. His own striking defense is poor, so he is willing to trade. The pick for him here rests on a perceived durability edge and not having to travel for the fight, not on a clean skill gap.

Strengthpower
Strengthuses range well
Strengthelbows
Strengthkicks
Strengthslick cross
Weaknesspoor striking defense
vs Gabriel Benitez clear UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 · 3 reads since
strikinggood

Picks the younger guy on a durability/'tread left' tiebreaker, calling both 'pretty skilled' with no hedge on the outcome.

Fights big and uses his range well despite being the newer UFC name on the card. Carries real power that can wobble opponents, and follows up with a step-in elbow the analyst calls dangerous. Shares the card's generic takedown-defense caveat with his opponent. Picked on the strength of being the younger man if the fight turns into a durability test.

Strengthuses range well, fights long
Strengthpower that can wobble an opponent
Strengthdangerous step-in elbow
Weaknesstakedown defense a shared struggle for both men, per the open remark
range · longko power · good
vs Viacheslav Borshchev coinflip UFC Fight Night Dern vs Hill Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 73) · May 16, 2023 · 4 reads since
strikinggood

root-beer idiom used plus an explicit low-confidence disclaimer about this particular card pick

A good striker who uses range well, with nasty elbows (a cut threat) and real power, particularly with a long, rangy straight punch. Has previously been taken down and controlled by at least one grappler, and both fighters are said to struggle with takedown defense generally.

Strengthuses range effectively
Strengthnasty elbows (cut threat)
Strengthgood power, especially with a long straight punch
Weaknesshas been taken down and controlled by a grappler before
ko power · goodrange · long
vs Rafa Garcia coinflip UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Strickland Full Card Analysis, Preview, & Prediction · December 14, 2022 · 5 reads since
strikinggood

Explicit non-bet: uses the root-beer idiom and plainly disclaims confidence, given only a small sample of tape on maheshate, even while naming him as the pick.

A significantly bigger fighter at range (6'0", 71.5" reach vs. Garcia's 5'7", 68"), with good boxing, good counters, and a powerful right hand that has already produced a highlight knockout. The analyst expects his size and power to let him land and hurt Garcia well before Garcia can close the distance to do damage, though the read is explicitly based on a very limited sample of tape.

Strengthlarge height/reach advantage in this matchup
Strengthgood boxing with good counters
Strengthpowerful, finishing right hand
ko power · elite

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 6 fights · green = win
June 11, 2022 vs Steve Garcia — 5.68/min (W) — only 1.2 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jun '22 December 17, 2022 vs Rafa Garcia — 1.67/min (L) Dec '22 May 20, 2023 vs Viacheslav Borshchev — 4.2/min (L) May '23 April 27, 2024 vs Gabriel Benitez — 6.47/min (W) Apr '24 November 23, 2024 vs Nikolas Motta — 3.73/min (L) Nov '24 August 23, 2025 vs Gauge Young — 4.4/min (L) Aug '25

Fight history

6 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Gauge Young 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · August 23, 2025
66/150Sig. strikes
112/200Absorbed
0/7Takedowns
0:12Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Nikolas Motta 2-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · November 23, 2024
56/169Sig. strikes
78/166Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Gabriel Benitez 23-11 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · April 27, 2024
97/312Sig. strikes
121/295Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Viacheslav Borshchev 1-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:37 — UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
32/109Sig. strikes
85/148Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Rafa Garcia 13-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · December 17, 2022
25/141Sig. strikes
49/98Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Steve Garcia 12-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:14 — UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · June 11, 2022
7/10Sig. strikes
7/19Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-4-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 6

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.1 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 6.6 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 31.8% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 51.2% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 47.1% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 0.4% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 50.7%