Lone'er Kavanagh

He names Kavanagh as the pick, but immediately admits the knockout risk is really troubling him, and signs off on an unresolved note rather than a firm reassurance.

The cleaner striker of the two, with good combinations, real power, an excellent kick arsenal including a leg kick worked to accumulation, good darting movement and good counter striking -- but he makes the bigger defensive lapses, dropping his hands both when exiting the pocket and when he throws his own big power shots. Good grappler too, with good cage takedowns, a good sprawl and a good back-taking game, though his open-mat takedowns are weaker and his takedown defense is really just the initial sprawl -- work past it and he can be taken down. The analyst picks him only after explicitly weighing the real knockout risk Temirov represents.

He names Kavanagh as the pick but immediately admits he has no confidence in it and thinks it could easily go the other way -- a direct hedge on the win.

Young and on a run, having bounced forward rather than back from a prior knockout loss to a highly ranked opponent, which the analyst treats as a positive, propelling result rather than a setback. He is a solid, very clean striker: good combinations, real power, darts in and out, a diverse and accurate kick arsenal including a leg kick he works to accumulation, and good counters, though he can be countered himself because he drops his hands when he throws heavy shots -- a longstanding habit. His grappling is good: good takedowns against the cage (less so in open space), a good back take, and a good sprawl. The analyst rates him the cleaner, more technical striker and picks him to win over three rounds, while rating this his real step-up test.

States that this is why he expects Moreno to close the fight out, with a stated deciding mechanism (his cardio advantage taking over in the late rounds) even while granting the striking exchanges will be close and competitive - a weighed concession, not a hedge on the win.

A solid striker with good combinations and really good power, darting in and out well behind a diverse, accurate kick arsenal - his leg kick, worked to accumulation, is probably his best weapon. Counters well too. The analyst flags a long-documented flaw he says he has called out since this fighter's Contender Series tape: he drops his guard when throwing heavy, a habit the analyst says finally cost him a fight (against Charles Johnson, whom the analyst had incorrectly picked him to beat). Grappling-wise he is solid too, with good takedowns off the cage, a reliable back-take game, and a sound sprawl - though he is expected to lean on his striking in this fight.

He commits to a winner outright; the hedges that follow are about the scorecard margin and the shortness of the price, not about who his hand goes up for.

A solid striker with good combinations, serious power, good footwork in and out, a good leg kick worked to accumulation, a diverse kick arsenal, accuracy and good counters. The stated flaw is that he gets wide open when throwing his big shots, dropping his hands -- a habit the analyst explicitly worries a veteran like Charles Johnson can punish. He is also a good grappler, with good takedowns against the cage, solid back-taking and a good sprawl. Still undefeated. As of 2025-08-18.

Firm: he is 'taking the undefeated fighter' and gives reasons on both feet and mat, without a stated hedge on the outcome itself.

As of 2025-03-16, not his newest read. An accurate, high-volume striker with a diverse kicking arsenal built around accumulating leg-kick damage, plus real counter-striking. He has one flagged habit of dropping his hands after committing to a big shot. His grappling is a secondary good: back-taking, cage takedowns, and a reliable sprawl.

He names a specific mechanism -- cleaner striking plus a workable grappling path -- and commits in first person to a decision win, calling it a good fight with a wide line rather than hedging on who wins.

A solid striker with diverse kicks, combinations and power who darts in and out well and works a leg kick to accumulation. His grappling is good against the cage with a reliable sprawl and back-taking. His flagged habit of dropping his guard when he throws heavy is the analyst's one real concern, since it exposes him to the counter-striker across from him.