Jose Ochoa

He leans Ochoa and then immediately hedges, noting the opponent is the kind of live underdog he is wary of writing off.

A well-rounded flyweight whose best weapon is one most fighters underuse. His knees are the standout, and unusually he lands them both in the clinch and from open striking range rather than only when tied up. Around that he brings fast hands, heavy volume, real power, and a habit of attacking the body relentlessly. The grappling is better than it needs to be: a strong sprawl makes him hard to put down, and his defensive answer to a takedown attempt is to sprawl and immediately hunt the front choke, which turns the opponent's offence into his own. The analyst's summary is that he is a striker first who can hold his own if the fight goes to the mat.

expects Ochoa to land more damage overall and settles on him without a win-level hedge

A well-rounded striker the analyst says has a lot to like: good knees, power, combinations, volume, fast hands, and solid body work, carrying over into effective clinch knees. Though usually the one taken down in exchanges, he is hard to hold there thanks to a good sprawl and scramble ability, and he uses defensive front-choke attempts to prevent being controlled further. Judged the clearly better pure striker in this matchup.

gives a direct mechanism (Ochoa's takedown defense keeps it standing, where he lands more damage); the hedge voiced is about unfamiliar judging in Abu Dhabi, not about who wins the exchanges

A well-rounded striker with no obvious hole in his feet game: sharp knees, real pop, combination punching, genuine output, quick hands, and effective body work, plus a scary clinch knee. Wrestling is his softer side but still serviceable - a fair sprawl he turns into front-choke attacks, and fair ground strikes, though he is not expected to out-wrestle his opponent here. His ability to stuff takedowns is rated sufficient to keep this fight upright, where his output and pop give him the edge.

Says he'll 'side with Duran for now' but repeats more than once that his mind could still change on this one, twice calls it a genuinely tough fight with real paths for both men, and separately discloses a lot of personal betting passes on this card -- wager caution layered on top of real outcome doubt.

Likely the better pure striker in this one: good power, good knees, solid combination work and real volume, with the clinch singled out as where he does the most damage via tight tie-ups and nasty knees. On the mat he has a good sprawl and attacks front chokes well on both offense and defense, with brutal ground-and-pound if he lands on top -- but he is read as behind in the overall grappling matchup against Durden's chain wrestling. His one UFC loss is framed as not worth overweighting given how live he actually was in that fight.

He names a specific mechanism -- cleaner striking plus a workable grappling path -- and commits in first person to a decision win, calling it a good fight with a wide line rather than hedging on who wins.

A good striker with power and volume whose signature weapon is a nasty knee, especially once he gets to the Thai clinch. His grappling is used mainly defensively, built around a good sprawl and a real front-choke series he attacks often off that sprawl. Takedown defense is called legitimate.