Felipe dos Santos

Firm: he is 'taking the undefeated fighter' and gives reasons on both feet and mat, without a stated hedge on the outcome itself.

As of 2025-03-16, this is his newest known read. A forward, high-volume striker with a diverse kicking attack who can be wild and takes the trade-off of being very durable. On the ground he is a good jiu-jitsu player who prioritizes submissions over position, which the analyst says costs him top control and sometimes his own takedown defense.

higher-level jiu-jitsu, makes it ugly, wins

An unpolished, high-output striker who likes to come forward and make things messy -- a useful kick to the leg, a front kick/knee up the middle, and a flying knee to crash the pocket. That messiness costs him some defense, but he takes a punch extremely well. Solid grappling offense off entries set up by his hands, though he surrenders top position chasing finishes; a strong butterfly guard bails him out if he ends up underneath himself. Picked to win by making it ugly and outgrappling the more undefeated man.

uses the word 'lean' toward Dos Santos, then firms up to a take; separate round-total prop talk (a 75 percent finish estimate) is about the prop bet, not the win pick.

Felipe dos Santos is described as a 'very good' striker who comes forward with pressure, volume, leg kicks, strong knees and front kicks that he can chain into a flying knee; he is durable and can eat shots while still pressing forward. On the ground he has good BJJ with a strong butterfly guard and decent takedowns set up off his strikes, but his approach is submission-over-position and his top control is not strong, and his own striking defense can be non-existent at times.

He states Kape is the pick and calls him the deserved favorite, reasoning that the step up to a ranked, high-level striker is too much too soon for a short-notice, undefeated prospect. He also flags, in the same breath, that Kape's own patience could let dos Santos's volume take over if the fight drags -- a real counter-scenario acknowledged but not treated as reason to hedge the pick itself.

A good, aggressive striker who presses forward with volume and a good leg kick, though he gets wild at times and his striking defense suffers for it; he is durable enough to absorb that risk. On the ground his takedowns are decent and usually come off his own strikes, and he has a good butterfly guard, but he is described as very much a submission-over-position fighter -- his top control and his own takedown defense are both named as weak, and he is dangerous from his back. He is a short-notice step-up in competition for this fight, which the analyst treats as the deciding factor against him.