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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Holly Holm
Women's Bantamweight · “The Preacher's Daughter”

Holly Holm

15-7-0 (1 NC) UFC 8-7-0 (1 NC)
Hard To Take Down Durable
5'8"Height
69"Reach
SouthpawStance
45Age
2KO wins
0Sub wins
25.0%Finish rate
16:04Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+4) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 28 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+6) Striking D — Average, rated 67 of 100 · claims striking defense +2 (+6) Durability — Above avg, rated 74 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 53 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling good · Apr 2024 · stats read 48 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims clinch -1 (-1) TD Defense — Strong, rated 88 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Apr 2024 · stats read 87 → nudged +5 inside the band · tag getup: good (+4) · claims td defense +2, getup +1 (+6) Grappling — Weak, rated 20 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Average, rated 67 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking not yet read
grappling not yet read
wrestling good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 300 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 9, 2024 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023 watch ↗
  • great UFC Fight Night Vera vs Sandhagen Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Fight Night San Antonio · March 21, 2023 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking not yet read
grappling not yet read
wrestling good 3 reads
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Wrestling, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Striking, Accuracy, Striking D · stats alone on Durability, Grappling, Control.

Hard To Take Down strong td defense — rates 88 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Apr 2024
Durable above avg durability — rates 74 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.13
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.92
Striking accuracy40.8%
Striking defense55.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.12
Takedowns / 15 min0.87
Takedown accuracy30.0%
Takedown defense76.3%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.06
Control time24.1%
Record vs .500+ opponents7-5

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Kayla Harrison clear UFC 300 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 9, 2024
wrestlinggood

Explicit and repeated by name: he states he is taking Holm 'to get the upset' and calls a specific decision score for her. Gives a full concrete mechanism (range, jab, avoiding the clinch) to the final bell. The only hedge is on the round/margin (an early round might be 'sketchy'), which per the confidence bar does not demote.

High-level, technically sound striker with strong striking defense (gets hit below UFC average), good movement, level-mixing combinations and good range control. Good in the clinch herself (skip knees) but the analyst does not want her clinching with Harrison specifically. Good takedown defense -- makes opponents pay for failed attempts and is hard to hold down once there -- which is her path to a decision.

Strengthtechnically sound, high-level striking with strong defense
Strengthgood range control and level-mixing combinations
Strengthgood takedown defense, hard to hold down, makes opponents pay for failed shots
Weaknessvulnerable specifically if she ends up clinching with Harrison
td defense · goodgetup · good
vs Mayra Bueno Silva emphatic UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023 · 1 read since
wrestlingsolid

Calls this his single strongest-conviction pick on the entire card, with an expectation of winning most of the rounds.

A former champion the analyst explicitly says is not washed up at 41 -- high-level, technically and defensively sound kickboxing that mixes levels in combination, a strong cage push, a good Thai clinch with skip knees, and solid counter wrestling that makes opponents pay for failed takedowns. Picked to take over after a possible rough first round.

StrengthHigh-level, technically and defensively sound kickboxing, mixes levels well
StrengthGood cage push and Thai clinch
StrengthSolid counter wrestling, makes opponents pay for failed takedowns
vs Yana Santos clear UFC Fight Night Vera vs Sandhagen Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Fight Night San Antonio · March 21, 2023 · 2 reads since
wrestlinggreat

Both voices land on Holm without reservation: the guest names her plainly as her pick, and the host separately agrees and adds his own comparative reasoning. The one risk either raises is her age, which is acknowledged and argued past rather than left as a hedge on the outcome.

A high-level, technically and defensively sound kickboxer who the guest and host both say absorbs fewer strikes than the UFC average, with great takedown defense and the ability to work back to her feet. She also works a decent tie-up clinch with skip knees. Both voices flag her age and recent injuries as real risk factors, but both still back her.

Strengthhigh-level, technically/defensively sound kickboxing
Strengthgreat takedown defense
Strengthworks back to her feet well
Strengthdecent clinch with skip knees

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
June 9, 2018 vs Megan Anderson — 3.13/min (W) Jun '18 July 6, 2019 vs Amanda Nunes — 2.64/min (L) — only 4.2 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jul '19 January 18, 2020 vs Raquel Pennington — 2.0/min (W) Jan '20 October 3, 2020 vs Irene Aldana — 6.16/min (W) Oct '20 May 21, 2022 vs Ketlen Vieira — 3.84/min (L) May '22 March 25, 2023 vs Yana Santos — 2.13/min (W) Mar '23 July 15, 2023 vs Mayra Bueno Silva — 4.79/min (NC) Jul '23 April 13, 2024 vs Kayla Harrison — 0.29/min (L) Apr '24

Fight history

16 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Kayla Harrison 16-1 walk-in Submission · R2 1:47 — UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · April 13, 2024
2/12Sig. strikes
51/71Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
NC Mayra Bueno Silva 10-2-1 walk-in Overturned · R2 0:38 — UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · July 15, 2023
27/39Sig. strikes
20/37Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
3:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Yana Santos 14-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · March 25, 2023
32/63Sig. strikes
21/46Absorbed
4/6Takedowns
9:49Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Ketlen Vieira 12-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
96/157Sig. strikes
85/151Absorbed
0/6Takedowns
10:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Irene Aldana 11-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · October 3, 2020
154/301Sig. strikes
69/185Absorbed
5/14Takedowns
5:16Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Raquel Pennington 10-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · January 18, 2020
30/62Sig. strikes
38/78Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
7:16Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Amanda Nunes 17-4 walk-in TITLE KO/TKO · R1 4:10 — UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · July 6, 2019
11/14Sig. strikes
17/35Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Megan Anderson 8-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · June 9, 2018
47/71Sig. strikes
26/58Absorbed
4/8Takedowns
10:44Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Cristiane Justino 3-0 walk-in TITLE Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · December 30, 2017
44/227Sig. strikes
118/223Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
3:24Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Bethe Correia 10-2-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:09 — UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · June 17, 2017
25/53Sig. strikes
15/65Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Germaine de Randamie 6-3 walk-in TITLE Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · February 11, 2017
77/182Sig. strikes
80/150Absorbed
0/9Takedowns
8:16Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Valentina Shevchenko 12-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · July 23, 2016
54/211Sig. strikes
87/185Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:45Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Miesha Tate 15-5 walk-in TITLE Submission · R5 3:30 — UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · March 5, 2016
59/142Sig. strikes
40/104Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:51Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ronda Rousey 12-0 walk-in TITLE KO/TKO · R2 0:59 — UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · November 14, 2015
38/53Sig. strikes
17/65Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:15Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Marion Reneau 6-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · July 15, 2015
65/178Sig. strikes
26/75Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:50Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Raquel Pennington 5-4 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · February 28, 2015
44/210Sig. strikes
40/139Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
15-7-0 (1 NC)Pro record
Jackson Wink MMA Academy (2007–present), AKKA Karate USA (2000–2007)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 8
Submission 0
Decision 7
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 2
Decision 4
Other 0

No contests: 1

Fights by organization

UFC 16
Legacy FC 3
Fresquez Productions 3
Bellator 1
Full career — 23 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Kayla Harrison Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 300
April 13, 2024
UFC 2 1:47
NC Mayra Bueno Silva NC (overturned) UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
July 15, 2023
UFC 2 0:38
W Yana Santos Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen
March 25, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Ketlen Vieira Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
May 21, 2022
UFC 5 5:00
W Irene Aldana Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana
October 4, 2020
UFC 5 5:00
W Raquel Pennington Decision (unanimous) UFC 246
January 18, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
L Amanda Nunes TKO (head kick and punches) UFC 239
July 6, 2019
UFC 1 4:10
W Megan Anderson Decision (unanimous) UFC 225
June 9, 2018
UFC 3 5:00
L Cris Cyborg Decision (unanimous) UFC 219
December 30, 2017
UFC 5 5:00
W Bethe Correia KO (head kick and punch) UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
June 17, 2017
UFC 3 1:09
L Germaine de Randamie Decision (unanimous) UFC 208
February 11, 2017
UFC 5 5:00
L Valentina Shevchenko Decision (unanimous) UFC on Fox: Holm vs. Shevchenko
July 23, 2016
UFC 5 5:00
L Miesha Tate Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 196
March 5, 2016
UFC 5 3:30
W Ronda Rousey KO (head kick and punches) UFC 193
November 15, 2015
UFC 2 0:59
W Marion Reneau Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Mir vs. Duffee
July 15, 2015
UFC 3 5:00
W Raquel Pennington Decision (split) UFC 184
February 28, 2015
UFC 3 5:00
W Juliana Werner TKO (head kick and punches) Legacy FC 30: Holm vs. Werner
April 4, 2014
Legacy FC 5 1:50
W Angela Hayes Decision (unanimous) Fresquez Productions: Havoc
December 6, 2013
Fresquez Productions 3 5:00
W Nikki Knudsen TKO (kick to the body and knees) Legacy FC 24: Feist vs. Ferreira
October 11, 2013
Legacy FC 2 1:18
W Allanna Jones KO (head kick) Legacy FC 21: Huerta vs. Hobar
July 19, 2013
Legacy FC 2 2:22
W Katie Merrill TKO (punches) Bellator 91
February 28, 2013
Bellator 2 3:02
W Jan Finney KO (kick to the body) Fresquez Productions: Clash in the Cage
September 9, 2011
Fresquez Productions 3 2:49
W Christina Domke TKO (leg kicks) Fresquez Productions: Double Threat
March 4, 2011
Fresquez Productions 2 3:58

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Holly Holm) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 38 qualified Women's Bantamweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.1 avg 3.8
Strikes absorbed /min 2.9 avg 3.8
Striking accuracy 40.8% avg 46.9%
Striking defense 55.0% avg 54.0%
Takedowns /15 min 0.9 avg 1.1
Takedown accuracy 30.0% avg 37.6%
Takedown defense 76.3% avg 61.0%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.1 avg 0.4
Control time 24.1% avg 22.9%
Finish rate 25.0% avg 40.6%

Headshot of Holly Holm by MMAnytt · CC BY 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons · cropped and resized

Hero photo of Holly Holm by Mike Jackson, "Mike The Truth" · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons · resized