Matheus Camilo

betting on Jay Herbert

Camilo is a jab-first, mostly single-punch striker whose real plan is wrestling: he commits fully to finishing takedowns and refuses to release them, grinding from top control. The analyst thinks that is enough for a decision win even while rating Camilo's boxing behind Herbert's.

Sadikov has a big advantage

Camilo, called by a different, more famous real fighter's name at two points in this chapter before the analyst corrects back to his own name, is a decent striker with a good jab he works well and decent power, but he throws mostly single shots rather than combinations, and his striking is mainly there to set up his grappling. His grappling is good: he sticks to his takedowns, holds position, and advances from there with decent top control. The analyst says his path to winning runs entirely through that grappling, and that he is in trouble if the fight stays standing.

Picks Borshchev for his UFC experience and striking edge, but calls it 'not the most confident' pick on the card -- citing that it's 'just added,' a hedged durability worry, and a stylistic matchup he admits he has no footage to judge.

A decent striker, not bad, with a pretty good, well-worked jab and decent power, though he throws mostly single shots rather than combinations -- enough, in the analyst's view, to leave him at a real disadvantage standing with this particular opponent. His grappling is pretty good and is explicitly named as his advantage in this fight: he sticks to his takedowns (working the hips once he gets one, or grinding a cage-press attempt if he doesn't), doesn't chain-wrestle well but is relentless about the same takedown, and has decent top control with a good ability to advance position. He is taking this fight on short notice after an earlier scheduled bout fell through, though the analyst notes he at least avoided a second weight cut as a result.

Sides with Al-Selwady by only the slightest margin, explicitly framing a pick as a long-run-win-rate call rather than confidence in this one fight.

A decent striker who works his jab behind decent power but throws too many single shots and is otherwise unremarkable on the feet. The better of his two skill sets is grappling -- a pretty good grappler who sticks persistently to one takedown attempt rather than chaining several, and shows decent top control once there. Debuted against a UFC veteran as a sizable favorite and won. As of 2025-10-20.

Picks Green as the live underdog and expects him to get it done, but the pick itself is qualified with 'unless he gets knocked out', echoing his own earlier doubts about Green's durability moving down in weight.

A measured, one-shot-at-a-time striker who works his jab well and carries decent power but rarely strings combinations together outside of pressing an advantage. His grappling is the stronger side of his game: he commits fully to his takedown attempts rather than abandoning them, and advances position well once on top.