Jack Jenkins

He says Woodson probably wins the first round big, admits he isn't sure about his own pick, and tells viewers he's glad he isn't betting money on this one.

Jenkins centers his offense on a punishing low-kick attack the analyst describes as leg-breaking in effect, paired with a hard jab and solid body work, and he is comfortable striking in either stance. His counters are rated well too. On the ground he weaves in takedowns effectively with decent top pressure and solid takedown defense, though he struggles if he ends up on his back. The analyst's real concern is tempo: Jenkins starts slowly and needs time to find his rhythm, which is a problem against an opponent the analyst expects to take an early, lopsided first round.

Names Jenkins as the pick but immediately admits he isn't comfortable with it, reaches for the root-beer idiom, and voices relief at not having wagered on it -- staking language that caps this well below a confident lean despite naming a winner.

Jenkins is called a good striker built around a heavy leg kick that the analyst says is breaking opponents' legs, plus a stiff jab, body work, the ability to fight from either stance, and good counter striking -- though getting inside Woodson's output before eating several shots is called the tricky part. He's also a good grappler who mixes in takedowns well with decent top pressure and good takedown defense, though he struggles off his back if taken down, and he starts slow.

He gives a specific decision score for Jenkins, but immediately concedes he would not be surprised by an early finish going the other way off the exact counter he just described as Taveras's best tool.

A good striker with heavy leg kicks, a stiff jab and body work, able to fight from either stance. He is also a fairly good grappler who mixes in takedowns with decent top pressure and good takedown defense, but he is a slow starter expected to concede the first round before taking over.

He explicitly calls it a nervy, close matchup where both men have a real path, and says Jenkins's slow starts are the only reason he leans to Santos at all.

Jenkins works a strong jab and fights more like a boxer who mixes in leg kicks than a Muay Thai stylist, and those leg kicks have reportedly broken opponents' legs in recent fights. He also brings solid wrestling with plenty of mixed-in takedowns, decent top pressure and good takedown defense. His recurring issue, repeated by the analyst as the deciding factor here, is a tendency to open fights slowly.

Commits clearly to Jenkins, expecting a comfortable win, and defends the lopsided -850 line as warranted, while acknowledging but not treating as decisive the risk that Burns is live for a quick submission if the fight hits the mat early.

Well-rounded featherweight with good volume striking -- heavy leg kicks, a sharp jab, body work, comfortable in either stance -- plus a credible wrestling/TD game: mixes in takedowns, decent top pressure, decent takedown defense. He is typically a slow starter, which is a live concern against a fast-starting opponent, and the analyst argues he should specifically avoid leaning on wrestling here given Burns's superior grappling.

He calls the two fighters very similar in skill and level, but commits to Jenkins by name three times without ever hedging the win itself, resting the pick on a circumstantial factor (fighting close to home in Australia against a fighter newly in the UFC) rather than a technical mismatch.

A good striker with a heavy leg kick, a nice jab, and the ability to work the body from either stance. His wrestling is also good: he mixes in takedowns and has very good takedown defense. His one named flaw is being a slow starter who tends to give up minutes early. The analyst's case for the pick leans heavily on Jenkins fighting close to home in Australia against a fighter who is new to the UFC.

States his confidence is 'zero' despite naming Jenkins; frames the whole pick as a round-handicap bet, not a moneyline read.

Jack Jenkins's calling card is a heavy leg kick he says has broken opponents' legs before, plus a nice jab and body work. The analyst says his striking is developing -- he opened up with real combinations in his last fight after mostly single shots before that. His wrestling is good defensively and he may have a clinch-knee edge.

Explicitly calls this 'not the most confident pick' and separately says he doesn't like laying odds this steep -- both are direct qualifiers on the win itself, not just on price. He also concedes a 'real real real chance' the opponent wins if the fight hits the mat early. Demoted from clear to lean per the stated hedge on the win (confidence-bar rule). No late reversal (rule 3f) -- the pick stays Jenkins through the close of the chapter.

Good boxing with real power in his hands and work behind the jab, though he can get stuck throwing single shots; heavy leg kicks that open up his hands. Decent, takedown-heavy wrestling, but a slow starter by the analyst's own read of the tape. Picked here as the betting favorite, with the pick's main doubt being whether the heavy -300 price is justified.