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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Gabriel Santos
Featherweight · “Mosquitinho”

Gabriel Santos

2-2-0
Sniper Accuracy Striker Suspect TD Defense
5'9"Height
70"Reach
OrthodoxStance
29Age
0KO wins
1Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
12:49Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 78 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Feb 2025 · stats read 63 → nudged -5 inside the band · claims striking power +1, striking technique +1, kicking +2, hand speed +2, pressure +2 (+6) Accuracy — Above avg, rated 76 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 18 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Weak, rated 23 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Above avg, rated 77 of 100 · claims td offense +1, clinch +1 (+3) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Jun 2023 · stats read 74 → nudged +10 inside the band · claims td defense +1, getup +2 (+5) Grappling — Average, rated 65 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Feb 2025 · stats read 74 → nudged +6 inside the band · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Above avg, rated 74 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC 312 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 4, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · September 4, 2024 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Topuria Full Card Breakdown & Predictions · June 20, 2023 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 286 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Prediction · March 14, 2023 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 312 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 4, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Topuria Full Card Breakdown & Predictions · June 20, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 4 reads
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Control.

Built on 51 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Sniper Accuracy 61% of significant strikes land
Striker above avg striking — rates 78 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Feb 2025
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Jun 2023 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.35
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.31
Striking accuracy60.6%
Striking defense45.4%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.29
Takedowns / 15 min3.8
Takedown accuracy54.2%
Takedown defense87.5%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.17
Control time35.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-1

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Jack Jenkins lean UFC 312 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 4, 2025
strikingsolid grapplinggood

He explicitly calls it a nervy, close matchup where both men have a real path, and says Jenkins's slow starts are the only reason he leans to Santos at all.

Santos is a solid striker with good forward pressure who fights out of either stance, is super quick, and uses a nasty front kick up the middle along with good knees up the middle -- the analyst notes the knee threat alone is meant to make Jenkins wary of shooting takedowns. He is also good on the ground: mixes in takedowns well, is very active off his back attacking submissions, and has decent takedown defense. The analyst picks him specifically because he expects Santos to be more dangerous early, before Jenkins' typically slow start can catch up.

Strengthstrong forward pressure, comfortable in either stance, very fast hands
Strengthnasty front kick and good knees up the middle
Strengthmixes in takedowns well on the ground
Strengthvery active off his back, attacks submissions
Strengthdecent takedown defense
vs Yizha lean UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · September 4, 2024 · 1 read since
strikingsolid grapplinggood

pick Santos but explicit 'tread lightly,' scary bet

Comfortable fighting southpaw or orthodox, he strings combinations together well; a knee strike aimed at the body is singled out as the key tool against Yizha's takedown entries. Can bring his own takedowns and stays dangerous underneath, but his takedown defense 'has holes,' called Yizha's best route to the win. Rated the more complete fighter overall, though riding a two-bout skid against stiff opposition, which the analyst flags could cut either way -- extra motivation, or nerves.

Strengthsolid striking from either stance
Strengthquick, good forward pressure
Strengthactive from the back, attacks submissions
Weaknesstakedown defense has holes -- named as opponent's best path to win
vs David Onama coinflip UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Topuria Full Card Breakdown & Predictions · June 20, 2023 · 2 reads since
strikingsolid grapplinggood

Discloses possible bias toward Santos, calls it razor thin, and says he would not bet this one.

Gabriel Santos is called the slightly better striker of the two -- solid striking, works both stances, quick, good forward pressure, solid knees up the middle. His grappling is good and he mixes in his own takedowns sometimes, though his takedown defense is also not good. The analyst discloses he personally felt Santos was 'robbed' by the judges in his previous decision win over Lauren Murphy.

Strengthsolid striking from both stances
Strengthgood forward pressure, solid knees
Weaknesstakedown defense not good
td defense · suspect
vs Lerone Murphy coinflip UFC 286 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Prediction · March 14, 2023 · 3 reads since
strikingsolid

leaning Santos, not sold, not betting

Santos is a fast, technical striker with lightning hands and kicks who switches stance often, and the analyst leans toward him mainly because he is riding a wave of momentum, having fought recently and been dominant. He took this fight on short notice, which the analyst notes without treating it as disqualifying. The analyst is explicit that this lean is soft and that he isn't betting this particular fight.

Strengthfast, technical striking with quick hands and kicks
Strengthswitches stance frequently
Strengthriding momentum from recent, dominant performances

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
March 18, 2023 vs Lerone Murphy — 4.6/min (L) Mar '23 June 24, 2023 vs David Onama — 4.23/min (L) Jun '23 September 7, 2024 vs Yizha — 5.07/min (W) Sep '24 February 8, 2025 vs Jack Jenkins — 3.22/min (W) Feb '25

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Jack Jenkins 3-1 walk-in Submission · R3 2:06 — UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · February 8, 2025
39/61Sig. strikes
34/48Absorbed
4/7Takedowns
6:19Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
W Yizha 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · September 7, 2024
76/112Sig. strikes
41/92Absorbed
2/2Takedowns
6:35Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L David Onama 10-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:13 — UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · June 24, 2023
39/73Sig. strikes
53/104Absorbed
2/4Takedowns
1:31Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
L Lerone Murphy 11-0-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · March 18, 2023
69/122Sig. strikes
93/161Absorbed
5/11Takedowns
4:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.3 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 4.3 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 60.6% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 45.4% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 3.8 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 54.2% avg 37.4%
Takedown defense 87.5% avg 60.2%
Sub attempts /15 min 1.2 avg 0.6
Control time 35.9% avg 20.1%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 44.2%

Headshot of Gabriel Santos by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized