Ibo Aslan

'I think this one's clear... I don't know what could go wrong' for Baraniewski, discounted one notch because the pick follows a disclosed personal bias against Aslan

As of 2025-12-02 (this is NOT his newest read), a decent striker who throws heavy hooks and carries a dangerous leg kick, though he fights a bit wild and the analyst notes he has frozen up in fights before. His grappling on top is decent, with good top pressure and ground-and-pound, but he is weak off his back.

picked as 'a shot', explicitly contingent on Elekana choosing to take Aslan down ('I hope he... does it'), and he grants Aslan 'a real path to victory'

A pressure fighter whose signature tool is a punishing low kick, paired with heavy hooks that land hard despite loose, looping form. On the mat he grapples at a fair level, pressing top position and landing ground strikes well, though he struggles whenever he winds up underneath. He is painted as more raw power than polish, still given a genuine shot purely off that physicality.

Says he did not mark a pick until just before recording, trusts neither man, and says he is 'flipping a coin' before going with the underdog.

A 14-1 fighter, 5-0 in his last five, whose record is padded by very low-level regional wins and who lost on the regional scene to Turkalj. His UFC showings so far have been decent-to-good and show improvement. His striking is decent: a heavy leg kick and powerful hooks, but wild and reckless. He is a decent grappler with good top pressure and ground strikes, yet weak from his back, a problem seen in the Turkalj loss and not yet tested at this level. The analyst expects him to win the striking.

Stacked hedges: an explicit betting-caution (calls it a dumpster fire, advises against betting it) plus genuine outcome doubt (admits neither fighter is proven and does not like his own pick) are both present and distinct, not just a price caution.

Hits very hard but in an unpolished way -- big, wild, looping hooks that are powerful but ugly -- with a genuinely dangerous leg kick the analyst calls his best weapon by a wide margin. If that leg kick gets going early it could be the deciding factor; if he gets drawn into throwing wild hooks instead, he could lose. On the ground he is decent, with good top pressure and ground-and-pound from the top, but not good off his back.

He says he dislikes this matchup and would rather it were pulled from the card entirely, advising viewers against staking money on it, yet he still names Turkalj -- citing their first meeting and a better gas tank -- and closes with open discomfort about his own pick.

Aslan's offence centers on big, swinging hooks thrown with real force, plus a leg kick the analyst rates as maybe his single best tool. His grappling is adequate on top -- good pressure and ground and pound -- but being underneath is clearly not where he wants to be, and he does not look to grapple much by choice. His cardio faded in the first meeting with Turkalj, which is the central question mark of the rematch.