Anton Turkalj

He says he dislikes this matchup and would rather it were pulled from the card entirely, advising viewers against staking money on it, yet he still names Turkalj -- citing their first meeting and a better gas tank -- and closes with open discomfort about his own pick.

Turkalj is a decent, high-volume striker who is generally durable, with a board asterisk the analyst never explains beyond noting he was badly hurt in his most recent fight. His grappling is good -- he pressures constantly, racks up takedown volume, and is always attacking something, which the analyst calls his best, if unstatted, weapon. He is coming off a three-fight skid, but the analyst argues two of those losses are to strong competition and not representative.

He names Turkalj as 'the pick' with an explicit mechanism: Turkalj's cardio and pace are his biggest weapon, and Pedro's cardio is named as his biggest problem; the analyst doesn't expect Pedro to last long once the opening round ends. No hedge lands on the win itself.

A high-volume, very durable fighter who is willing to eat punches and keep coming forward, with some wild, low-percentage striking (spinning attacks) mixed in. His takedown volume is called very impressive -- he keeps shooting regardless of whether he gets the opponent back up -- and he attacks submissions aggressively, forcing a constant defensive workload. The analyst calls his cardio and pace his single biggest weapon and the direct reason he is picked to win.

The pick is paired, in the same breath, with "won't be surprised" if the other man wins by knockout. The analyst then reaches for the root-beer idiom while describing watching this one from the couch rather than betting it, and separately calls himself "not super confident." Per the standing rule, the idiom plus advice to stay off the fight means coinflip.

A capable but occasionally reckless striker who the analyst otherwise likes less on the feet than Petrino. His real path is wrestling -- solid takedowns that, repeated, could make Petrino hesitant to commit to his power shots. He pairs that with a high pace and the cardio to sustain it.

Calls Almeida the "clear pick"; says he would be "very surprised" if he lost; the only caveat offered is about betting value (the odds are too steep), not the outcome.

Turkalj is a short-notice replacement who was training for a light-heavyweight bout and is now massively outsized stepping up against Almeida. The analyst calls him a genuinely good fighter and a good grappler who typically controls opponents, but gives him almost no chance here given the size gap and lack of preparation time.