Francis Marshall
Skill profile
138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, Durability, Wrestling, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, TD Defense, Control.
Built on 88 minutes of tracked cage time across 8 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Insider info
vs Dakota Hope coinflip None · October 21, 2026
He only leans this way, says the result depends on which style Marshall chooses, admits he could lose if he chases a brawl, and attaches explicit advice to avoid the fight.
A pressuring, busy striker with a grappling edge he expects to hold, whose habit of firing back through exchanges makes him both dangerous and hittable.
vs Erik Silva clear UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Kavanagh Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 22, 2026 · 1 read since
States 'I'm taking Francis Marshall' with a stated mechanism (better striker, grappling good enough to stay standing); no hedge on the win itself, though he grants Silva 'a chance' to stay on top if takedowns land.
A good, if unpolished, striker who wins with forward pressure, volume, and by interrupting opponents' combinations with power counters mid-combo. Durable enough to accept this trade-off, though his own striking defense is a real hole. A strong double-leg entry, decent control on top, and effective scrambling round out a well-rounded grappling game.
vs Austin Bashi clear UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 · 2 reads since
reaffirms the pick twice after addressing viewer pushback about fraud claims, insisting he genuinely believes in Bashi, backed by a grappling-positions edge.
Now considered a capable striker, by his own account a real change from where he used to be, thanks to steady forward pressure, real volume and fair power; his signature trait is walking directly through an opponent's punches to keep advancing rather than retreating. His own defense on the feet is lacking, but enough toughness lets him absorb that and keep pushing. On the mat he also grades out well, pairing a strong double-leg takedown with so-so (his word, not great) hip control and nice scrambling ability.
vs Mairon Santos lean UFC 313 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 3, 2025 · 3 reads since
He names Santos plainly, but spends nearly equal time laying out a genuine, unrebutted upset route for Marshall (repeated cage pressure wearing on Santos's one real takedown-defense gap), and directly warns viewers to be careful backing the big favorite -- a conceded opposing path plus betting caution together cap this below clear.
138 says Marshall's best path is wrestling: a strong double-leg entry, a passable top game, and good scrambling ability, aided by more UFC experience than Santos. His striking is only decent -- forward-pressing with fair volume and some pop -- but he is unpolished with a weak striking defense. He is durable enough to walk through shots, though 138 notes that alone does not win rounds on the cards.
vs Dennis Buzukja lean UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Borralho Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 22, 2024 · 4 reads since
He picks Marshall ('we're GNA take' him) but hedges repeatedly: short notice is a 'big red flag', he concedes Marshall is likely 'getting... pieced up early on', and the comeback is conditioned on him not gassing out -- several qualifiers stacked on the win itself, not just on method or margin.
A short-notice fighter with less than a week to prepare, he is a good wrestler built around a solid double leg and decent top control, with striking the analyst calls merely decent -- incredibly unpolished and with no real striking defense -- but he is durable enough to absorb shots while pressing forward with power and volume. The pick leans on that durability and style edge in the striking exchanges, while openly flagging the short-notice circumstance as a real risk.
vs Isaac Dulgarian coinflip UFC Fight Night Luque vs dos Anjos Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 8, 2023 · 5 reads since
States directly that he lacks real confidence here since so little tape exists on Dulgarian; frames the pick as deliberately backing the unknown quantity rather than a skill-based read.
A strong wrestler with a good single-leg entry and good scrambles who looks to finish fights quickly, usually by submission; on the feet the analyst credits him with good power and volume by default, since so little is known about Dulgarian's own striking, but his own striking defense is called pretty bad -- offset by a real chin.
vs William Gomis coinflip UFC Fight Night Pavlovich vs Blaydes Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 71 · April 18, 2023 · 6 reads since
He names Marshal as his man, then twice denies having any real conviction in that choice, after describing a late back-and-forth switch between the two men. The root-beer idiom appears on its own (no explicit stay-off-the-fight line), which caps conviction further; combined with the double denial of confidence and a called-close three-round decision, this lands at coinflip rather than lean.
Decent striking that trades polish for volume and power, backed by good wrestling built around a favorite double-leg entry and a durable chin. His height/reach disadvantage against Gomis is real but he is expected to be the one closing distance and forcing the fight.
vs Marcelo Rojo coinflip UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 29, 2022 · 7 reads since
calls it full of unknowns, says he cannot bring himself to bet it, and never firmly commits beyond 'probably'
An undefeated young prospect he is reluctant to rate highly because the level of opposition has been weak. He credits real wrestling and punching power, and a willingness to absorb punishment, but says there just is not enough tape against good competition to know how good he really is.
Striking trend
Fight history
L Dakota Hope 0-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 31, 2026
W Lucas Brennan 11-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · April 25, 2026
W Erik Silva 0-2 walk-in Submission · R1 2:29 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
L Mairon Santos 1-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · March 8, 2025
W Dennis Buzukja 1-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · August 24, 2024
L Isaac Dulgarian 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:48 — UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · August 12, 2023
L William Gomis 1-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · April 22, 2023
W Marcelo Rojo 0-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:14 — UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · December 3, 2022
Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.
Record breakdown
Wins by method
Losses by method
Fights by organization
Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.
Division context
Headshot of Francis Marshall by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized