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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Edmen Shahbazyan
Middleweight · “The Golden Boy”

Edmen Shahbazyan

16-6-0 UFC 10-6-0
One-Punch Power Fast Starter Finisher Stuck On Bottom
6'2"Height
75"Reach
OrthodoxStance
28Age
6KO wins
1Sub wins
70.0%Finish rate
8:47Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Strong, rated 85 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Sep 2026 · stats read 75 → nudged -1 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +2, striking volume -1, striking technique +2, kicking +2, hand speed +1, pressure +1 (+6) Accuracy — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Average, rated 51 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent · Aug 2024 · stats read 60 → nudged +5 inside the band · claims td offense +1, clinch +2 (+4) TD Defense — Weak, rated 22 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent (no takedown-defence tag), half-weighted with the stats read 40 · tag getup: poor (-10) · claims td defense -2, getup -2 (-7) Grappling — Below avg, rated 42 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling decent · Sep 2026 · stats read 48 → nudged +3 inside the band Control — Below avg, rated 43 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
8 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC 331 Full Card Preview & Predictions · September 16, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Muhammad vs Bonfim Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 30, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 9, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Rodrigues Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 11, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Borralho Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 22, 2024 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Ribas vs Namajunas Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 89) · March 19, 2024 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Dern vs Hill Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 73) · May 16, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent whiteboard
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC 331 Full Card Preview & Predictions · September 16, 2026 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Muhammad vs Bonfim Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 30, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 9, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Rodrigues Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 11, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling decent
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Borralho Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 22, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Ribas vs Namajunas Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 89) · March 19, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Dern vs Hill Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 73) · May 16, 2023 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 8 reads
grappling decent 5 reads · whiteboard
wrestling decent 3 reads
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Wrestling, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, TD Defense · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Control.

One-Punch Power 8 knockdowns · 0.85 per 15 min
Fast Starter 138 MMA · May 2026 tags pace: fast starter
Finisher 70% of wins by knockout or submission (6 KO, 1 sub)
Stuck On Bottom 138 MMA · Jun 2025 tags getup: poor
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.67
Striking accuracy49.3%
Striking defense52.3%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.85
Takedowns / 15 min1.39
Takedown accuracy36.1%
Takedown defense66.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.32
Control time15.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents4-6

Insider info

9 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Brunno Ferreira coinflip UFC 331 Full Card Preview & Predictions · September 16, 2026
strikingsolid grapplingdecent wrestlingdecent

says he won't bet this one, plans to 'drink a root beer'

Described as dangerous and clean in the first round, with a full striking arsenal and an accurate jab, but his takedown defense is said to hold up early and then fall apart if the fight is extended past round one.

Strengthclean first-round combinations
Strengthaccurate jab
Strengthearly cage pressure
Weaknesstakedown defense collapses after round one
vs Brendan Allen lean UFC Fight Night Muhammad vs Bonfim Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 30, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingsolid grapplingdecent wrestlingdecent

He states a pick-vs-bet split outright and says he might back the opponent's round-one knockout price, even while predicting Allen -- a hedge on the win itself, not just the route.

Dangerous and finish-capable early, carrying the kind of standup that has put opponents away before the first round ends -- strong kicks, sharp combination punching, a busy jab and legitimate pop -- plus a clinch game he can run either judo-style or Thai-style. What happens after that opening window is far less predictable. His wrestling is decent, and he stops takedowns well at first, though that fades noticeably the longer the fight runs.

Strengthdangerous, finishing-level round-one output
Strengthvery good kicks, good combinations, active jab, real power
Strengthgood, versatile clinch game
Strengthdecent cage pressure
Weaknessfar less dangerous/predictable after round one
Weaknesstakedown defense fades as the fight goes on
pace · fast starterfinish window · early
vs Andre Muniz coinflip UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikingsolid grapplingdecent wrestlingdecent

Explicitly calls this the smallest amount of confidence he could put on a pick and names it the card's biggest stay-away fight, putting nothing on it himself.

A solid striker with power, good kicks, good combinations and an accurate jab, who the analyst says should not lose a striking match to Muniz. His grappling is decent, including a decent cage push, and his takedown defense is explicitly said to be improving -- his own stated development rather than a settled grade. Cardio is a real concern on his side.

Strengthsolid power, kicks, combinations and jab
Strengthdecent cage push
Strengthtakedown defense described as improving
Weaknesscardio called poor
vs Andre Petroski coinflip UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 9, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikingsolid grapplingdecent wrestlingdecent

Opens by saying flatly he has no idea who wins, calls the matchup 'a mess of a fight,' and admits he is struggling to commit -- but still lands on 'we're going to take Edmond... for now,' making this the most heavily hedged named pick on the card.

A genuinely strong striker early who is said to fade noticeably once the opening burst ends. Good power, really solid kicks and nice combinations give him a real finishing chance before things get physical in close. His grappling is not his strength: a good clinch game that is actually risky here since it can let his opponent initiate a takedown, decent grappling with the ability to push against the cage and get his own takedowns when truly needed -- but once the fight is on the floor, he is read as unable to work back upright and stays controlled for the duration.

Strengthstarts extremely fast
Strengthgood power, really solid kicks and combinations, can finish before the clinch/grappling comes into play
Weaknessfades noticeably as the fight goes on
Weaknessgrappling is not a strength; stuck underneath for the duration if taken down
pace · fast starterko power · goodgetup · poor
vs Dylan Budka coinflip UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Rodrigues Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 11, 2025 · 4 reads since
strikingsolid grapplingdecent wrestlingdecent

He explicitly calls this 'minimal confidence,' adding he isn't confident 'whatsoever' and would rather bet the draw for value.

A solid striker with good power, combinations and strong clinch work, his kicks rated his best weapon. His grappling is decent - decent takedowns and cage push - but his cardio is the defining concern, repeatedly said to fall off a cliff after the first round. As of 2025-02-11.

Strengthsolid striking with good power, combinations and kicks
Strengthworks the clinch well
Weaknesscardio falls off sharply after the first round, a repeated, known issue
vs Gerald Meerschaert lean UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Borralho Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 22, 2024 · 5 reads since
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent

A reasoned, repeated pick -- he commits to Shahbazyan and expects an early finish -- but capped afterward by the root-beer idiom alone (he jokes about cracking a root beer and calls the fight loaded with 'red flags') -- per the standing rule the idiom by itself caps conviction even without added stay-away advice.

Only 26 despite feeling like a UFC veteran, he is a solid striker carrying real power, very good kicks and combinations, plus a good clinch and decent, underused wrestling/cage-push. His cardio has been a historical weakness, but the analyst explicitly floats that it may be improving after a recent comeback win, and projects continued improvement from here forward.

Strengthsolid striking with a ton of power
Strengthvery good kicks
Strengthgood clinch
Strengthdecent takedowns/cage push, though underused
Weaknesscardio has historically not looked good
vs AJ Dobson coinflip UFC Fight Night Ribas vs Namajunas Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 89) · March 19, 2024 · 6 reads since
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent

The analyst opens by disclosing he struggles to read either fighter's skill set, telling the viewer to take his read here 'with a grain of salt', repeats a near-pass at the pick, and gives momentum/psychology rather than a skills edge as his stated reason -- a direct, repeated hedge on the win itself, the clearest coinflip case on the card alongside the main event.

Edmen Shahbazyan is read as a solid striker overall with decent power, particularly as a kicker, and decent wrestling with a usable cage push, plus a pretty good clinch/judo game. His clearest weakness is struggling badly off his back once taken down, and his cardio is flagged as prone to fading in higher-pace fights. His recent run of losses is explicitly attributed by the analyst to facing tougher competition, not to declining ability.

Strengthdecent power, dangerous kicks
Strengthdecent wrestling, good cage push
Strengthpretty good clinch/judo
Weaknessstruggles badly off his back
Weaknesscardio can fade in high-pace fights
competition quality · tested
vs Anthony Hernandez clear UFC Fight Night Dern vs Hill Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 73) · May 16, 2023 · 7 reads since
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent

says he feels pretty good about this pick

The better striker of the two -- a solid striking profile with real finishing upside on the feet, and his kicks are his best weapon. Decent offensively on the wrestling side but his defensive wrestling is a real problem; he can get stuck and controlled on the mat if taken down. A knockout early is seen as his clearest path to winning.

Strengthsolid striking with real KO upside
Strengthkicks are his best weapon
Weaknesspoor defensive wrestling -- gets stuck/controlled if taken down
ko power · goodfinish window · early
vs Dalcha Lungiambula clear UFC 282 Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · December 6, 2022 · 8 reads since

Gives decisive comparative language for several areas (better grappling, better striking, faster) and the only real hedge is that the price is too short to be worth a bet, not doubt about who wins.

A 25-year-old who entered the UFC as one of its most hyped prospects, looking sharp and picking up wins early, but has since stalled -- this fight is framed as a real must-win for his own roster spot too, just less dire than his opponent's. Clean, fast, powerful striking with functional wrestling in reserve, plus an incidental Judo exposure from training alongside a well-known former champion for years. His stated problem is cardio and volume, with real fade risk if the pace climbs.

Strengthclean, fast, powerful striking
Strengthfunctional wrestling/grappling in reserve, used situationally
Strengthheight/reach edge in this specific matchup
Strengthsome incidental Judo exposure from his training background
Weaknesscardio and volume are the stated problem, with real fade risk late
pace · fast starter

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
May 20, 2023 vs Anthony Hernandez — 2.72/min (L) May '23 March 23, 2024 vs AJ Dobson — 5.93/min (W) — only 4.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Mar '24 August 24, 2024 vs Gerald Meerschaert — 5.22/min (L) Aug '24 February 15, 2025 vs Dylan Budka — 4.42/min (W) — only 1.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Feb '25 June 14, 2025 vs Andre Petroski — 3.53/min (W) Jun '25 October 4, 2025 vs Andre Muniz — 5.03/min (W) — only 5.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Oct '25 June 6, 2026 vs Brendan Allen — 6.0/min (L) Jun '26 September 19, 2026 vs Brunno Ferreira — 4.07/min (W) Sep '26

Fight history

16 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Brunno Ferreira 6-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · September 19, 2026
61/110Sig. strikes
32/108Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
0:57Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Brendan Allen 26-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · June 6, 2026
90/180Sig. strikes
89/194Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Andre Muniz 24-7 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:58 — UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · October 4, 2025
25/50Sig. strikes
15/38Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:39Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Andre Petroski 13-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · June 14, 2025
53/136Sig. strikes
34/84Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:15Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Dylan Budka 0-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:35 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · February 15, 2025
7/15Sig. strikes
1/16Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Gerald Meerschaert 36-17 walk-in Submission · R2 4:12 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · August 24, 2024
48/113Sig. strikes
21/44Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
2:21Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W AJ Dobson 1-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:33 — UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · March 23, 2024
27/43Sig. strikes
15/46Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
0:49Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Anthony Hernandez 10-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:01 — UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
30/51Sig. strikes
63/88Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:41Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Dalcha Lungiambula 11-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:41 — UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · December 10, 2022
54/107Sig. strikes
23/48Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Nassourdine Imavov 10-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:52 — UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · November 6, 2021
22/35Sig. strikes
42/63Absorbed
1/5Takedowns
2:34Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jack Hermansson 21-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
40/92Sig. strikes
55/100Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:51Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Derek Brunson 20-7 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 0:26 — UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · August 1, 2020
35/72Sig. strikes
88/145Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Brad Tavares 17-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:27 — UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · November 2, 2019
14/38Sig. strikes
3/23Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:04Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jack Marshman 23-8 walk-in Submission · R1 1:12 — UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · July 6, 2019
13/24Sig. strikes
0/7Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:33Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Charles Byrd 10-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:38 — UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · March 2, 2019
13/21Sig. strikes
1/6Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Darren Stewart 9-3 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · November 30, 2018
22/37Sig. strikes
34/71Absorbed
8/21Takedowns
9:57Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
16-6-0Pro record
Glendale Fighting Club (until 2022), Xtreme Couture (2022–present)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 13
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 15
California Xtreme Fighting 5
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Gladiator Challenge 1
Full career — 22 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Brendan Allen Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
June 6, 2026
UFC 3 5:00
W André Muniz KO (punches and elbows) UFC 320
October 4, 2025
UFC 1 4:58
W Andre Petroski Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley
June 14, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
W Dylan Budka TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
February 15, 2025
UFC 1 1:35
L Gerald Meerschaert Submission (arm-triangle choke) UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho
August 24, 2024
UFC 2 4:12
W A.J. Dobson KO (elbows and punches) UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas
March 23, 2024
UFC 1 4:33
L Anthony Hernandez TKO (elbows and punches) UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
May 20, 2023
UFC 3 1:01
W Dalcha Lungiambula TKO (punches) UFC 282
December 10, 2022
UFC 2 4:41
L Nassourdine Imavov TKO (elbows) UFC 268
November 6, 2021
UFC 2 4:42
L Jack Hermansson Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
May 22, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
L Derek Brunson TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
August 1, 2020
UFC 3 0:26
W Brad Tavares KO (head kick) UFC 244
November 2, 2019
UFC 1 2:27
W Jack Marshman Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 239
July 6, 2019
UFC 1 1:12
W Charles Byrd TKO (elbows and punches) UFC 235
March 2, 2019
UFC 1 0:38
W Darren Stewart Decision (split) The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
November 30, 2018
UFC 3 5:00
W Antonio Jones TKO (punches) Dana White's Contender Series 13
July 17, 2018
Dana White's Contender Series 1 0:40
W Daniel McWilliams TKO (punches) California Xtreme Fighting 12
April 21, 2018
California Xtreme Fighting 1 0:30
W Aaron Hamilton TKO (punches) California Xtreme Fighting 11
February 17, 2018
California Xtreme Fighting 1 1:08
W Anthony Thomas TKO (punches) Gladiator Challenge: Fight Club
October 7, 2017
Gladiator Challenge 1 0:14
W Dejon Daniels TKO (punches) California Xtreme Fighting 8
June 17, 2017
California Xtreme Fighting 1 2:58
W Dearmie Street TKO (punches) California Xtreme Fighting 7
April 29, 2017
California Xtreme Fighting 1 3:16
W Selah Williams TKO (head kick and punches) California Xtreme Fighting 6
February 25, 2017
California Xtreme Fighting 1 0:43

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Edmen Shahbazyan) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 168 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.9 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 3.7 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 49.3% avg 47.0%
Striking defense 52.3% avg 53.4%
Takedowns /15 min 1.4 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 36.1% avg 40.4%
Takedown defense 66.7% avg 61.3%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.3 avg 0.7
Control time 15.7% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 70.0% avg 60.8%

Headshot of Edmen Shahbazyan by MMAnytt · CC BY 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons · cropped and resized