Chris Duncan
Skill profile
138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, Durability, Wrestling, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, TD Defense, Control.
Built on 69 minutes of tracked cage time across 8 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Insider info
vs Renato Moicano emphatic UFC Fight Night Moicano vs Duncan · March 29, 2026
favored everywhere except power
Described as surging and on the way up on a 15-2, 4-1-in-his-last-five run. A good striker who the analyst says is very good in a brawl specifically, with a lot of power and a pretty good leg kick, though his striking defense is bad -- tolerable, in the analyst's view, only because his gameplan should be to brawl anyway. His grappling is good: a good cage push and control there, decent takedowns, and an opportunistic guillotine that has been his signature way of finishing people, though the analyst is skeptical it lands against this particular opponent.
vs Terrance McKinney coinflip UFC 323 · December 2, 2025 · 1 read since
names Duncan by guillotine as the pick, then immediately concedes a McKinney blowout would not shock him at all, closing with an outright 'I don't know' on this one
As of 2025-12-02, his hands carry some pop and his leg kick is a weapon, and he's genuinely entertaining in exchanges, but his guard against incoming shots is described as bad, which the analyst says could cost him. His grappling is the stronger side of his game: solid cage pressure and control, workable takedowns, and he has been finishing fights with opportunistic submissions, mostly the guillotine.
vs Jordan Vucenic lean UFC Fight Night Edwards vs Brady Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 16, 2025 · 2 reads since
He expects Vucenic to win only once his wrestling actually takes over the fight, a conditional path rather than an unqualified call, after calling Duncan's brawling live.
As of 2025-03-16, not his newest read. A decent, low-hands striker who thrives specifically in a brawl, since his guard tends to come apart outside of one; his power is what makes that trade worthwhile. His grappling is a decent complementary tool: cage control and opportunistic submissions.
vs Bolaji Oki lean UFC Fight Night Moicano vs Saint-Denis Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Paris) · September 25, 2024 · 3 reads since
He frames it as a close, hard-to-call fight even while taking Oki, and separately flags that the betting line favors Oki heavily enough that money could start moving toward Duncan -- outcome doubt plus a price caution, not just a line comment.
A decent, power-driven striker with a good leg kick who is most comfortable brawling -- praised and worried about in the same breath because his striking defense and low hands leave him open in exchanges. Has grown into a cage-control, grinding wrestling game the analyst calls real development versus his regional-scene reputation.
vs Manuel Torres clear UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Royval 2 Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Mexico) · February 19, 2024 · 4 reads since
repeatedly names Torres as the pick and calls him the more dangerous striker outright, more than once; a conceded alternate path (Duncan grinding a decision via cage control) is acknowledged but the pick is restated, not reversed.
Chris Duncan is good in a brawl with power and leg kicks but decent (not great) striking overall, with poor striking defense and low hands; the analyst highlights that Duncan has added a real wrestling wrinkle to his game -- pushing opponents to the cage and controlling them -- showing a better fight IQ now than during his regional run or first Contender Series appearance. His only loss came by knockout.
vs Yanal Ashmouz coinflip UFC Fight Night Aspinall vs Tybura Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC London) · July 18, 2023 · 5 reads since
Admits he has flip-flopped on this one repeatedly, and separately tells viewers not to bet it and that he will just watch -- named winner plus an explicit stay-away caps at coinflip.
Duncan is a decent, powerful brawler who thrives when fights turn messy, and has developed a good wrestling game (cage push, control) since moving training camps to the US. His stated flaws -- poor striking defense and low hands -- mean he gets dropped often, which the analyst treats as the deciding risk.
vs Omar Morales lean UFC 286 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Prediction · March 14, 2023 · 6 reads since
likes him, but close fight
Duncan is a durable brawler who wants to turn this into a standup fire-fight rather than a technical kickboxing match. He keeps his hands low and his striking defense suffers for it, but he can absorb a large volume of punishment and answer back with heavy shots. The analyst reads him as a clear favorite if the fight becomes a brawl, since Morales's own best path is a cleaner, longer striking game.
Striking trend
Fight history
L Renato Moicano 20-7-1 walk-in Submission · R2 3:14 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · April 4, 2026
W Terrance McKinney 17-7 walk-in Submission · R1 2:30 — UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · December 6, 2025
W Mateusz Rebecki 20-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · August 2, 2025
W Jordan Vucenic 0-1 walk-in Submission · R2 3:42 — UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · March 22, 2025
W Bolaji Oki 1-0 walk-in Submission · R1 3:34 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · September 28, 2024
L Manuel Torres 13-2 walk-in Submission · R1 1:46 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · February 24, 2024
W Yanal Ashmouz 1-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · July 22, 2023
W Omar Morales 11-3 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · March 18, 2023
Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.
Record breakdown
Wins by method
Losses by method
Fights by organization
Full career — 18 fights, every organization
| Opponent | Method | Event | Org | Rd | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | Renato Moicano | Submission (face crank) | UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
April 4, 2026 |
UFC | 2 | 3:14 |
| W | Terrance McKinney | Submission (anaconda choke) | UFC 323
December 6, 2025 |
UFC | 1 | 2:30 |
| W | Mateusz Rębecki | Decision (unanimous) | UFC on ESPN: Taira vs. Park
August 2, 2025 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Jordan Vucenic | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
March 22, 2025 |
UFC | 2 | 3:42 |
| W | Bolaji Oki | Technical submission (guillotine choke) | UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
September 28, 2024 |
UFC | 1 | 3:44 |
| L | Manuel Torres | Submission (rear-naked choke) | UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
February 24, 2024 |
UFC | 1 | 1:46 |
| W | Yanal Ashmouz | Decision (unanimous) | UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
July 22, 2023 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Omar Morales | Decision (split) | UFC 286
March 18, 2023 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Charlie Campbell | KO (punches) | Dana White's Contender Series 48
August 2, 2022 |
Dana White's Contender Series | 1 | 1:43 |
| W | Jonathan Carlos | Decision (unanimous) | Ultimate Fight League 8
February 5, 2022 |
Ultimate Fight League | 3 | 5:00 |
| L | Viacheslav Borshchev | KO (punch) | Dana White's Contender Series 43
October 12, 2021 |
Dana White's Contender Series | 2 | 0:28 |
| W | Iamik Furtado | TKO (punches) | Bellator 247
October 1, 2020 |
Bellator | 2 | 3:58 |
| W | Mateusz Piskorz | TKO (punches) | Bellator 240
February 22, 2020 |
Bellator | 2 | 2:43 |
| W | Leandro Souza | TKO (punches) | Ultimate Fight League 3
August 4, 2019 |
Ultimate Fight League | 1 | 4:03 |
| W | Sam Slater | TKO (punches) | Bellator 217
February 23, 2019 |
Bellator | 1 | 3:00 |
| W | Niall Smith | TKO (punches) | On Top 21
November 17, 2018 |
On Top | 1 | — |
| W | Steve Moore | TKO (punches) | On Top: Showdown
June 2, 2018 |
On Top | 3 | — |
| W | Pietro Colonna | Submission (guillotine choke) | Unity FC 1
April 7, 2018 |
Unity FC | 2 | 4:47 |
Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Chris Duncan (fighter)) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.
Division context
Headshot of Chris Duncan by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized