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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Jordan Vucenic
Lightweight · “The Epidemic”

Jordan Vucenic

0-2-0
Submission Grappler Defensive Striker
5'10"Height
73"Reach
OrthodoxStance
30Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
11:51Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 51 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Mar 2025 · stats read 30 → nudged -9 inside the band · claims striking technique +1, kicking +2 (+4) Accuracy — Average, rated 51 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Average, rated 56 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 42 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 37 of 100 · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Weak, rated 21 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling solid · Mar 2025 · stats read 30 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Average, rated 57 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Edwards vs Brady Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 16, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Abu Dhabi) · July 30, 2024 watch ↗
grappling solid
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Edwards vs Brady Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 16, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads
grappling solid 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, TD Defense.

Built on 23 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Submission Grappler above avg grappling — rates 73 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling solid · Mar 2025
Defensive Striker average striking d — rates 56 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.11
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.9
Striking accuracy45.0%
Striking defense58.3%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.63
Takedowns / 15 min0.63
Takedown accuracy14.3%
Takedown defense44.4%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time20.0%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Chris Duncan lean UFC Fight Night Edwards vs Brady Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 16, 2025
strikinggood grapplingsolid

He expects Vucenic to win only once his wrestling actually takes over the fight, a conditional path rather than an unqualified call, after calling Duncan's brawling live.

As of 2025-03-16, this is his newest known read. Called the cleaner, better striker of the pair overall, with a good leg kick, high guard, and combinations. His grappling is where the analyst expects the fight to be won: good cage takedowns, a second-effort leg reap, and a diverse submission arsenal.

Strengthcleaner overall striking
Strengthgood cage-takedown wrestling with a second-effort reap
Strengthdiverse submission arsenal
vs Guram Kutateladze coinflip UFC Fight Night Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Abu Dhabi) · July 30, 2024 · 1 read since
strikinggood

A winner is named, but the stated basis is thin and admittedly speculative, paired with an explicit instruction that viewers should not wager on this one and an open invitation for disagreement.

His leg kick is called out as his calling card on the feet, delivered with sharp combinations and a high guard, while his wrestling may be his stronger overall art -- strong entries including a second-attempt leg-reap and cage-aided takedowns, good positional work on top, and a real finishing arsenal that leans toward chokes with some arm attacks mixed in. Stepping in as a late addition to the card, he fought as recently as two weeks prior and is credited with carrying real momentum into a step-up opponent.

Strengthleg kick as a signature feature
Strengthstrong, varied takedown entries
Strengthgood top-position work
Strengthfinishing instincts on the mat

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Chris Duncan 12-2 walk-in Submission · R2 3:42 — UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · March 22, 2025
16/26Sig. strikes
15/40Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:12Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Guram Kutateladze 12-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · August 3, 2024
34/85Sig. strikes
30/68Absorbed
0/5Takedowns
4:32Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.1 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 1.9 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 45.0% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 58.3% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 0.6 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 14.3% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 44.4% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 20.0% avg 21.3%

Headshot of Jordan Vucenic by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized