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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Yanal Ashmouz
Lightweight · “Red Fox”

Yanal Ashmouz

2-2-0
Durable Precision Striker Taken Down Often
5'9"Height
69"Reach
OrthodoxStance
31Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
11:33Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 53 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jun 2025 · stats read 32 → nudged -9 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +1, striking volume +1, striking technique -1 (+2) Accuracy — Average, rated 69 of 100 · claims striking technique -1 (-2) Striking D — Weak, rated 22 of 100 · claims head movement +1 (+2) Durability — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Jun 2025 · stats read 59 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin +2 (+4) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent · Sep 2024 · stats read 71 → nudged +5 inside the band · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent (no takedown-defence tag), half-weighted with the stats read 25 Grappling — Below avg, rated 35 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Jun 2025 · stats read 26 → nudged -4 inside the band Control — Average, rated 63 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 316 Full Card Breakdown · June 3, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · September 4, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Aspinall vs Tybura Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC London) · July 18, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC 316 Full Card Breakdown · June 3, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling decent
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · September 4, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Aspinall vs Tybura Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC London) · July 18, 2023 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling decent 1 read
wrestling decent 2 reads
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, TD Defense, Control.

Built on 46 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Durable above avg durability — rates 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Jun 2025
Precision Striker average accuracy — rates 69 of 100 · claims striking technique -1 (-2)
Taken Down Often put on his back 10 times · 3.2 per 15 min
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.88
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.78
Striking accuracy50.8%
Striking defense50.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min3.24
Takedown accuracy38.5%
Takedown defense64.3%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time22.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Quillan Salkilld clear UFC 316 Full Card Breakdown · June 3, 2025
strikinggood grapplingdecent wrestlingdecent

He says Salkilld 'wins this fight fairly comfortably', rating him competitive or better on the feet and 'the far better grappler' with no hedge on the outcome.

A good striker who closes distance behind heavy power shots, throws good volume, uses real head movement, and is rated a durable, tough fighter. His grappling is decent: he can get takedowns, strikes his way into a bodylock, and brings pretty good top pressure, backed by cardio to go a full fifteen minutes without fading.

Strengthpower on entry
Strengthvolume
Strengthhead movement
Strengthdurability
Strengthbodylock takedowns
chin · durable
vs Trevor Peek coinflip UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · September 4, 2024 · 1 read since
strikinggood wrestlingdecent

stated explicitly: 'zero confidence'

Hits with pop and output, plus footwork the analyst was specifically impressed by in his most recent outing; very tough to hurt and closes ground well. Serviceable grappling -- his entries are nothing special, but he presses hard once he lands on top. The pick goes to him on the theory that judges will credit his grappling in what is expected to be a hard-to-score slugfest on the feet -- declared with zero confidence.

Strengthgood power and volume striking
Strengthgood head movement
Strengthvery durable
Strengthcloses distance well
Strengthgood top pressure once grounded
ko power · goodchin · durable
vs Chris Duncan coinflip UFC Fight Night Aspinall vs Tybura Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC London) · July 18, 2023 · 2 reads since
strikinggood wrestlingdecent

Admits he has flip-flopped on this one repeatedly, and separately tells viewers not to bet it and that he will just watch -- named winner plus an explicit stay-away caps at coinflip.

Ashmouz is a good, powerful-volume striker who closes distance well with somewhat looping shots, backed by decent wrestling, good top pressure and a strong gas tank. He is largely unproven at 7-0, but the analyst leans on his power to finish a fighter who has a history of getting dropped.

Strengthgood power/volume striking
Strengthcloses distance well
Strengthdecent wrestling with top pressure
Strengthcardio
Weaknesslooping/less technical shots
vs Sam Patterson lean UFC 286 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Prediction · March 14, 2023 · 3 reads since

slightly leaning Patterson, bigger sample

Ashmoz is a jack-of-all-trades with real power in his hands, solid wrestling and top pressure, and cardio the analyst calls exceptional, able to keep working for a long time. Nothing in his game stands out as truly elite yet, which the analyst attributes partly to his young career and limited sample size. His best path is read as using his cardio to repeatedly ground Patterson and grind out control time, though doing so risks exposing his neck to Patterson's chokes.

Strengthwell-rounded across phases
Strengthreal power in his hands
Strengthsolid wrestling and top pressure
Strengthexceptional cardio, can work for a long time
competition quality · untested

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
March 18, 2023 vs Sam Patterson — 12.0/min (W) — only 1.2 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Mar '23 July 22, 2023 vs Chris Duncan — 2.33/min (L) Jul '23 September 7, 2024 vs Trevor Peek — 2.8/min (W) Sep '24 June 7, 2025 vs Quillan Salkilld — 2.73/min (L) Jun '25

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Quillan Salkilld 8-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · June 7, 2025
41/78Sig. strikes
79/124Absorbed
0/6Takedowns
2:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Trevor Peek 2-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · September 7, 2024
42/66Sig. strikes
55/107Absorbed
9/18Takedowns
8:16Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Chris Duncan 10-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · July 22, 2023
35/98Sig. strikes
85/206Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Sam Patterson 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:15 — UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · March 18, 2023
15/20Sig. strikes
2/7Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:07Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.9 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 4.8 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 50.8% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 50.2% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 3.2 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 38.5% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 64.3% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 22.7% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 50.7%

Headshot of Yanal Ashmouz by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized