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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Zach Reese vs. Mickey Gall

UFC 5-4-0 (1 NC) vs. 6-8-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-4-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
6-8-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
—
Age
34
—
Height
6'2"
—
Reach
74"
—1-0 vs switch-stance fighters
Stance
Switch
0.1
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.1
WLLWNC
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mickey Gall is a submission threat — 1.38 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Zach Reese is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Zach Reese hunts takedowns — 2.23 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Zach Reese

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.05 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Mickey Gall

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3715.02/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
4333.62/min · norm 3.17
2974.02/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
6045.05/min · norm 3.08
54.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
49.4%norm 44.75%
46.1%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
48.9%norm 55.25%
10.20/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.25/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Zach Reese

Distance 84.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.2% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 7.2% (norm 10.0%)

Mickey Gall

Distance 85.0% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Zach Reese

Head 66.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 23.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 8.4%)

Mickey Gall

Head 87.0% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Reese L/AAccMiddleweight med Gall L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 296 / 578 51.2% 40.5% 344 / 745 46.2% 38.5%
In the clinch 41 / 56 73.2% 70.7% 45 / 64 70.3% 67.8%
On the ground 34 / 49 69.4% 69.4% 44 / 67 65.7% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 191 / 453 42.2% 38.8% 344 / 762 45.1% 36.4%
To the body 118 / 158 74.7% 71.6% 64 / 86 74.4% 70.7%
To the legs 62 / 72 86.1% 83.3% 25 / 28 89.3% 83.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Reese L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Gall L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 193 / 427 45.2% 39.5% 434 / 953 45.5% 39.1%
In the clinch 67 / 77 87.0% 70.4% 53 / 69 76.8% 68.9%
On the ground 37 / 47 78.7% 69.0% 117 / 159 73.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 187 / 398 47.0% 37.7% 420 / 944 44.5% 35.6%
To the body 83 / 124 66.9% 71.3% 126 / 172 73.3% 69.6%
To the legs 27 / 29 93.1% 82.0% 58 / 65 89.2% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1157.9% acc · 2.23/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
829.6% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.31
1359.1% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
741.2% def · norm 63.9%
10:4014.4% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
17:5715.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
13:382:45 per 15 · norm 2:58
Time under control lower is better
26:583:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.81/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
111.38/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gall has more cage time on record.