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UFC simulation vs. the market Fight

Youssef Zalal vs. Billy Quarantillo

UFC 8-4-1 vs. 6-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
8-4-1
UFC record
6-6-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
30
AgeΔ 7 yrs
37
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Switch6-4 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox3-1 vs switch-stance fighters
6.4
Layoff (months)Δ 3.5 mo
2.9
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Youssef Zalal is a submission threat — 1.29 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Featherweight norm.
Billy Quarantillo is a submission threat — 0.98 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Featherweight norm.
Billy Quarantillo outworks the Featherweight division — 6.80 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.52 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Youssef Zalal

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.33 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Billy Quarantillo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 75
Tier 3 — regional circuit 112

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4542.78/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
9366.80/min · norm 3.52
2921.79/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8366.07/min · norm 3.54
50.9%norm 44.8%
Striking accuracy
50.3%norm 44.8%
64.9%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
44.3%norm 54.8%
20.18/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
20.22/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Youssef Zalal

Distance 88.8% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 7.0% (norm 6.4%)

Billy Quarantillo

Distance 80.0% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Youssef Zalal

Head 75.9% (norm 77.5%) · Body 12.0% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 7.9%)

Billy Quarantillo

Head 79.5% (norm 77.5%) · Body 15.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Zalal L/AAccFeatherweight med Quarantillo L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 389 / 792 49.1% 40.7% 641 / 1488 43.1% 40.7%
In the clinch 28 / 38 73.7% 70.5% 151 / 187 80.7% 70.5%
On the ground 37 / 62 59.7% 69.1% 144 / 186 77.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 288 / 677 42.5% 37.2% 649 / 1480 43.9% 37.2%
To the body 76 / 107 71.0% 68.4% 214 / 291 73.5% 68.4%
To the legs 90 / 108 83.3% 80.7% 73 / 90 81.1% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 129 fighters · Featherweight: 129 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Zalal L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Quarantillo L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 235 / 750 31.3% 39.3% 664 / 1253 53.0% 39.3%
In the clinch 47 / 66 71.2% 70.3% 114 / 147 77.6% 70.3%
On the ground 10 / 15 too few to rate 69.5% 58 / 100 58.0% 69.5%
BY TARGET
To the head 180 / 634 28.4% 35.9% 590 / 1190 49.6% 35.9%
To the body 64 / 108 59.3% 68.1% 161 / 214 75.2% 68.1%
To the legs 48 / 89 53.9% 81.1% 85 / 96 88.5% 81.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2031.7% acc · 1.84/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
1425.9% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 1.17
2455.8% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
3260.4% def · norm 61.5%
47:2529.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
34:5625.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
41:233:48 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
35:233:51 per 15 · norm 3:11
141.29/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
90.98/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Zalal has more cage time on record.