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UFC simulation vs. the market Fight

Sijara Eubanks vs. Melissa Gatto

UFC 5-5-0 vs. 3-3-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-5-0
UFC record
3-3-1
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
41
AgeΔ 11 yrs
30
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
67"
ReachΔ 2"
69"
Orthodox5-5 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox3-3-1 vs orthodox fighters
58.6
Layoff (months)Δ 57.7 mo
0.9
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
DLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Melissa Gatto is a submission threat — 0.66 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Sijara Eubanks hunts takedowns — 1.89 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.93 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Sijara Eubanks carries real power — 0.11 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.06 Women's Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Sijara Eubanks

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 55
Tier 3 — regional circuit 22

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.54 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Melissa Gatto

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 33
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.05 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5784.30/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
3063.35/min · norm 3.93
4613.43/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2522.76/min · norm 3.84
43.2%norm 46.3%
Striking accuracy
50.0%norm 45.5%
57.1%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
55.6%norm 56.1%
10.11/15 · norm 0.06
Knockdowns
10.16/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sijara Eubanks

Distance 82.0% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 13.7% (norm 6.2%)

Melissa Gatto

Distance 87.7% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sijara Eubanks

Head 85.1% (norm 75.7%) · Body 11.5% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 8.4%)

Melissa Gatto

Head 66.0% (norm 78.1%) · Body 22.9% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Eubanks L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Gatto L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 419 / 1097 38.2% 38.3% 253 / 537 47.1% 40.3%
In the clinch 39 / 57 68.4% 75.2% 39 / 60 65.0% 73.9%
On the ground 120 / 183 65.6% 70.8% 14 / 15 too few to rate 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 437 / 1138 38.4% 37.0% 160 / 404 39.6% 36.0%
To the body 100 / 154 64.9% 71.2% 96 / 140 68.6% 69.5%
To the legs 41 / 45 91.1% 80.8% 50 / 68 73.5% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Eubanks L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Gatto L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 377 / 963 39.1% 41.3% 182 / 477 38.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 60 / 80 75.0% 74.7% 31 / 37 83.8% 73.8%
On the ground 24 / 31 77.4% 74.2% 39 / 54 72.2% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 343 / 910 37.7% 38.1% 137 / 427 32.1% 35.0%
To the body 73 / 110 66.4% 73.2% 72 / 96 75.0% 69.0%
To the legs 45 / 54 83.3% 80.7% 43 / 45 95.6% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1744.7% acc · 1.89/15 · norm 0.93
Takedowns landed
1022.7% acc · 1.64/15 · norm 0.94
1466.7% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1161.1% def · norm 61.1%
47:0235.0% of cage time · norm 25.2%
Control time
28:4931.5% of cage time · norm 18.7%
20:472:19 per 15 · norm 3:20
Time under control lower is better
28:224:39 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.33/15 · norm 0.38
Submission attempts
40.66/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Eubanks has more cage time on record.