Melissa Gatto

I'll choose Ernesti

Gatto has real tools: a good kick arsenal, decent power, and a strong submission and back game. The analyst frames her inability to put those pieces together, plus shaky open-mat takedowns and takedown defense, as the reason she hasn't lived up to the hype since arriving in the UFC.

outmatched everywhere, high finish odds

As of 2026-03-29, a decent striker whose kicks are clearly her best standing weapon, with little else developed on the feet. Her grappling is good, with a constant submission attack mostly worked from her back; the analyst frames this as an intentional, bottom-game-first strategy rather than a weakness alone, since she lacks her own takedowns and her takedown defense is not strong.

Named plainly twice: goes 'with Gatto', judging her clearly the superior fighter, backed by a real skill-gap argument plus the betting line swinging hard onto her. The closing line about Vidal's size being the only real issue reads as resignation about Vidal's one path, not a hedge on who wins.

Called the more technical, far cleaner striker of the two, with her kicks singled out as one of her best weapons. Her BJJ is active and quick-to-attack from the back -- a position she's actually comfortable fighting from, framed as a real risk against a bigger opponent. Takedown defense and open-mat takedowns are both named weaknesses, though the former matters less since she's comfortable fighting off her back regardless.

He states twice, plainly, that Dudakova gets it done -- expecting her to control on top and stay safe from submissions while competing on the feet -- with no hedge on the outcome itself.

Gatto is very good in jiu-jitsu, active off her back and quick to attack submissions with a large toolbox, but she lacks a takedown game of her own and her takedown defense is not her strength -- a real mismatch given how aggressively she works from bottom. Her striking is decent, with kicks, especially the body kick, as her best feet weapons. She is moving up from a tough weight cut, discussed mainly as a sizing question rather than a disadvantage.

Although he says twice that he thinks she gets it done, he separately names her own well-documented inconsistency as the reason she could lose -- a hedge on the win itself, not just on the big-underdog price he also discusses.

A good jiu-jitsu fighter, very active off her back and quick to hunt submissions when taken down, with developing striking built mostly around her kicks. She is not credited with much of a takedown game of her own, and her takedown defense is described negatively, though the exact wording is partly unclear in the caption.