Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Sim any fightHundreds of hours perfected

Marion Reneau vs. Ashlee Evans-Smith

UFC 5-7-1 vs. 3-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-7-1
UFC record
3-6-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
49
AgeΔ 10 yrs
39
5'6"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
68"
ReachΔ 1"
67"
Orthodox5-5-1 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox2-5 vs orthodox fighters
63.6
Layoff (months)Δ 23.9 mo
39.7
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Marion Reneau is a submission threat — 0.79 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Ashlee Evans-Smith is wasteful with head shots — only 23% land, vs a 37% Women's Bantamweight norm.
Marion Reneau rarely shoots — 0.62 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.93 Women's Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Marion Reneau

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 57
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 31

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 36
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.46 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 12 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5463.20/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
4464.03/min · norm 3.56
5993.52/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
5084.59/min · norm 3.47
41.6%norm 46.3%
Striking accuracy
34.1%norm 46.3%
59.9%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.06
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.06

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marion Reneau

Distance 78.3% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 9.8% (norm 6.2%)

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Distance 85.8% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 10.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 4.0% (norm 6.2%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marion Reneau

Head 81.2% (norm 75.7%) · Body 12.4% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 8.4%)

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Head 75.9% (norm 75.7%) · Body 16.3% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Reneau L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Evans-Smith L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 359 / 1026 35.0% 38.3% 309 / 1123 27.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 106 / 157 67.5% 75.2% 98 / 134 73.1% 75.2%
On the ground 81 / 128 63.3% 70.8% 39 / 52 75.0% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 366 / 1065 34.4% 37.0% 229 / 993 23.1% 37.0%
To the body 112 / 162 69.1% 71.2% 135 / 213 63.4% 71.2%
To the legs 68 / 84 81.0% 80.8% 82 / 103 79.6% 80.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Reneau L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Evans-Smith L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 421 / 1249 33.7% 41.3% 376 / 904 41.6% 41.3%
In the clinch 125 / 149 83.9% 74.7% 78 / 120 65.0% 74.7%
On the ground 53 / 95 55.8% 74.2% 54 / 77 70.1% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 284 / 1051 27.0% 38.1% 319 / 871 36.6% 38.1%
To the body 192 / 276 69.6% 73.2% 95 / 125 76.0% 73.2%
To the legs 123 / 166 74.1% 80.7% 94 / 105 89.5% 80.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
763.6% acc · 0.62/15 · norm 0.93
Takedowns landed
722.6% acc · 0.95/15 · norm 0.93
2350.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1550.0% def · norm 62.5%
20:0211.8% of cage time · norm 25.2%
Control time
13:3012.2% of cage time · norm 25.2%
47:164:09 per 15 · norm 3:20
Time under control lower is better
24:463:21 per 15 · norm 3:20
90.79/15 · norm 0.38
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Reneau has more cage time on record.