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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Women's Bantamweight · “Rebel Girl”

Ashlee Evans-Smith

6-6-0 UFC 3-6-0
Durable Wrestler
5'8"Height
67"Reach
OrthodoxStance
39Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
33.3%Finish rate
12:17Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 50 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jul 2023 · stats read 19 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims striking volume +1, striking technique +1, kicking +1 (+4) Accuracy — Weak, rated 5 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 19 of 100 · claims head movement -3 (-4) Durability — Average, rated 61 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling good · Jul 2023 · stats read 53 → nudged -1 inside the band · claims td offense +1, clinch +1 (+3) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling good (no takedown-defence tag), half-weighted with the stats read 22 Grappling — Weak, rated 12 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Below avg, rated 29 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling not yet read
wrestling good 1 read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Wrestling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, TD Defense · stats alone on Durability, Grappling, Control.

Durable average durability — rates 61 of 100 among UFC veterans
Wrestler average wrestling — rates 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling good · Jul 2023
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.03
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.59
Striking accuracy34.1%
Striking defense53.9%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.95
Takedown accuracy22.6%
Takedown defense50.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time12.2%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-2

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Ailin Perez coinflip UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023
strikinggood wrestlinggood

Repeated 'for now, that might switch'; plans to play the point spread on the opponent as a hedge on his own pick.

The more technically polished side of this matchup -- good volume striking with clean combinations and good wrestling including NAIA-background takedowns -- but the analyst's whole case against her is that she cannot blend the two games together in one fight, which has dogged her career, and she is coming off time away.

StrengthGood volume, clean combinations, good kicks up the middle
StrengthGood wrestling, good cage push and takedown entries
StrengthReach/height edge on Perez
WeaknessCannot mix striking and wrestling together in the same fight, a long-running problem
WeaknessDoesn't set up her takedowns with strikes
WeaknessNo head movement

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
February 21, 2016 vs Marion Reneau — 3.67/min (W) Feb '16 September 3, 2016 vs Veronica Hardy — 5.72/min (W) Sep '16 April 15, 2017 vs Ketlen Vieira — 4.53/min (L) Apr '17 September 9, 2017 vs Sarah Moras — 1.05/min (L) — only 2.9 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Sep '17 April 7, 2018 vs Bec Rawlings — 7.73/min (W) Apr '18 February 17, 2019 vs Andrea Lee — 4.4/min (L) Feb '19 November 28, 2020 vs Norma Dumont — 2.8/min (L) Nov '20 July 15, 2023 vs Ailin Perez — 0.8/min (L) Jul '23

Fight history

9 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Ailin Perez 7-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · July 15, 2023
12/47Sig. strikes
60/104Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Norma Dumont 4-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · November 28, 2020
42/164Sig. strikes
94/161Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:10Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Andrea Lee 9-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · February 17, 2019
66/225Sig. strikes
111/209Absorbed
2/10Takedowns
0:35Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Bec Rawlings 7-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · April 7, 2018
116/331Sig. strikes
88/195Absorbed
1/4Takedowns
0:07Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Sarah Moras 4-2 walk-in Submission · R1 2:51 — UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · September 9, 2017
3/9Sig. strikes
3/6Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
2:26Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Ketlen Vieira 7-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · April 15, 2017
68/189Sig. strikes
71/235Absorbed
0/5Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Veronica Hardy 5-0-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 2:46 — UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · September 3, 2016
73/115Sig. strikes
23/41Absorbed
2/5Takedowns
6:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Marion Reneau 6-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · February 21, 2016
55/213Sig. strikes
53/140Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:49Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Raquel Pennington 4-4 walk-in Submission · R1 4:59 — UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · December 6, 2014
11/16Sig. strikes
5/10Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
3:09Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
6-6-0Pro record
Reign Training Center (2012), Subfighter MMA (2013–2016), Team Oyama (2016–2018)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 2
Decision 4
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 9
CFA 2
WSOF 1
Full career — 12 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Ailín Pérez Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
July 15, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Norma Dumont Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Smith vs. Clark
November 28, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
L Andrea Lee Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
February 17, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Bec Rawlings Decision (unanimous) UFC 223
April 7, 2018
UFC 3 5:00
L Sarah Moras Submission (armbar) UFC 215
September 9, 2017
UFC 1 2:51
L Ketlen Vieira Decision (unanimous) UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Reis
April 15, 2017
UFC 3 5:00
W Veronica Macedo TKO (punches and elbows) UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
September 3, 2016
UFC 3 2:46
W Marion Reneau Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Cowboy
February 21, 2016
UFC 3 5:00
L Raquel Pennington Technical Submission (bulldog choke) UFC 181
December 6, 2014
UFC 1 4:59
W Marciea Allen TKO (elbows) WSOF 10
June 21, 2014
WSOF 3 3:01
W Fallon Fox TKO (punches) CFA 12
October 12, 2013
CFA 3 3:15
W Tori Adams Decision (unanimous) CFA 10
March 2, 2013
CFA 3 5:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Ashlee Evans-Smith) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 38 qualified Women's Bantamweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.0 avg 3.8
Strikes absorbed /min 4.6 avg 3.8
Striking accuracy 34.1% avg 46.9%
Striking defense 53.9% avg 54.0%
Takedowns /15 min 0.9 avg 1.1
Takedown accuracy 22.6% avg 37.6%
Takedown defense 50.0% avg 61.0%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.4
Control time 12.2% avg 22.9%
Finish rate 33.3% avg 40.6%

Headshot of Ashlee Evans-Smith by OnlyFans · CC BY 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons · cropped and resized