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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Johnny Munoz vs. Daniel Santos

UFC 2-4-0 vs. 5-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-4-0
UFC record
5-2-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
33
AgeΔ 2 yrs
31
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
71"
ReachΔ 4"
67"
Orthodox2-4 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox4-1 vs orthodox fighters
36.9
Layoff (months)Δ 36.5 mo
0.4
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Daniel Santos has owned orthodox fighters — 4-1 in the UFC (1-1 vs everyone else), and Johnny Munoz is orthodox.
Johnny Munoz is a submission threat — 1.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Johnny Munoz hunts takedowns — 2.40 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Johnny Munoz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 24
Tier 3 — regional circuit 130

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Daniel Santos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1682.44/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
4335.14/min · norm 3.52
1832.66/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4425.24/min · norm 3.54
36.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.6%norm 44.8%
55.5%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
48.6%norm 54.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
20.36/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Johnny Munoz

Distance 87.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 6.4%)

Daniel Santos

Distance 88.8% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Johnny Munoz

Head 76.9% (norm 77.5%) · Body 15.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.4%)

Daniel Santos

Head 76.7% (norm 77.5%) · Body 15.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Munoz L/AAccBantamweight med Santos L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 125 / 399 31.3% 39.2% 343 / 924 37.1% 40.7%
In the clinch 26 / 37 70.3% 69.0% 38 / 50 76.0% 70.5%
On the ground 17 / 22 too few to rate 70.2% 52 / 67 77.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 92 / 352 26.1% 35.3% 273 / 798 34.2% 37.2%
To the body 53 / 71 74.6% 66.9% 98 / 161 60.9% 68.4%
To the legs 23 / 35 65.7% 79.2% 62 / 82 75.6% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 121 fighters · Featherweight: 129 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Munoz L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Santos L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 100 / 307 32.6% 39.4% 401 / 804 49.9% 39.3%
In the clinch 28 / 33 84.8% 70.6% 27 / 39 69.2% 70.3%
On the ground 55 / 71 77.5% 72.1% 14 / 17 too few to rate 69.5%
BY TARGET
To the head 113 / 320 35.3% 34.9% 309 / 693 44.6% 35.9%
To the body 48 / 59 81.4% 66.1% 96 / 126 76.2% 68.1%
To the legs 22 / 32 68.8% 78.8% 37 / 41 90.2% 81.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1125.6% acc · 2.40/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1434.1% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.17
545.5% def · norm 65.7%
Takedowns stopped
1266.7% def · norm 61.5%
20:1429.4% of cage time · norm 17.8%
Control time
22:2826.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
19:284:14 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control lower is better
6:351:10 per 15 · norm 3:11
81.75/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.18/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.