Johnny Munoz

Sides with Aoriqileng on volume and power but states his own confidence is below where he wants it, and voices real sympathy for the opposite pick.

A clean, technical kicker from the outside -- front kick, side kick -- who stays at the edge of range, though none of it carries much pop and he offers little once an opponent closes that gap. His wrestling word is corrected live mid-breakdown, settling at decent rather than good -- a body lock or a single leg shows up now and then but not at a high level. His jiu-jitsu is the clear standout: very slick on the mat, skilled at converting a caught kick into a takedown, and a very active submission hunter, especially snatching arms while on his own back. His path to winning runs through the grappling, not the striking exchange.

He states plainly he is 'still going to pick' Santos, but explicitly says he is 'much less confident' than on an earlier breakdown of this same matchup and calls a Munoz win a real possibility.

Munoz's own striking is called decent but not his real threat; his path to win runs through very good, transition-heavy BJJ -- arm-snatching, kick-catching entries, and ground-and-pound into submissions. He is credited with a slightly better pure jiu-jitsu game than Santos, but his harder problem is simply closing the distance and putting this particular striker on the canvas, given Santos's knee-based deterrent.

Names Santos ('gonna pick Santos, wins more often than not') but immediately says he 'can't bet him' because of Munoz's kick-catching path to a leg lock -- wager caution, not outcome doubt, but it caps the grade below clear.

A disciplined range striker -- decent with straight punches and kicks, deliberately staying outside the pocket because once he closes distance he is hunting a takedown, not a strike. His wrestling is good (bodylock is his best takedown, solid trips, a very good single leg he underuses). His BJJ is rated above Santos's: slick transitions, mixes ground-and-pound with submission attempts, and is a dangerous kick-catcher who can turn a caught kick straight into a submission.

picks Munoz as 'the better fighter' but repeats 'I don't trust him to deliver' and calls him 'not a parlay piece'

Credited with solid, slick Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu he could use to take over if the fight hits the ground, plus the ability to get takedowns himself, and decent striking whose volume makes it look better than it is. The analyst says he has not lived up to the high ceiling he came in with. He is named the pick on skill alone, but the read is hedged hard: the analyst says repeatedly he does not trust him to deliver and would not parlay him.