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UFC simulation vs. the market Fight

Hailey Cowan vs. Nora Cornolle

UFC 0-4-0 vs. 4-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
0-4-0
UFC record
4-3-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
34
AgeΔ 2 yrs
36
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Southpaw0-3 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox1-0 vs southpaws
3.2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.2 mo
2
LLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Nora Cornolle carries real power — 0.18 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.06 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Hailey Cowan hunts takedowns — 2.15 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.93 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Hailey Cowan owns the mat — in control 39% of cage time, vs a 25% Women's Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Hailey Cowan

Full career not yet synced for Hailey Cowan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Nora Cornolle

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.1 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1103.15/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
2192.65/min · norm 3.56
1373.92/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1611.95/min · norm 3.47
40.9%norm 46.3%
Striking accuracy
54.9%norm 46.3%
39.4%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
57.5%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.06
Knockdowns
10.18/15 · norm 0.06

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Hailey Cowan

Distance 85.5% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 6.2%)

Nora Cornolle

Distance 64.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 34.1% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 6.2%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Hailey Cowan

Head 72.5% (norm 75.7%) · Body 23.0% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 8.4%)

Nora Cornolle

Head 58.1% (norm 75.7%) · Body 24.1% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 17.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cowan L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Cornolle L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 80 / 230 34.8% 38.3% 120 / 257 46.7% 38.3%
In the clinch 24 / 31 77.4% 75.2% 95 / 136 69.9% 75.2%
On the ground 6 / 8 too few to rate 70.8% 4 / 6 too few to rate 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 64 / 195 32.8% 37.0% 89 / 232 38.4% 37.0%
To the body 37 / 62 59.7% 71.2% 74 / 96 77.1% 71.2%
To the legs 9 / 12 too few to rate 80.8% 56 / 71 78.9% 80.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cowan L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Cornolle L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 94 / 177 53.1% 41.3% 104 / 306 34.0% 41.3%
In the clinch 41 / 47 87.2% 74.7% 29 / 38 76.3% 74.7%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 74.2% 28 / 35 80.0% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 77 / 151 51.0% 38.1% 103 / 290 35.5% 38.1%
To the body 48 / 59 81.4% 73.2% 38 / 50 76.0% 73.2%
To the legs 12 / 16 too few to rate 80.7% 20 / 39 51.3% 80.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
533.3% acc · 2.15/15 · norm 0.93
Takedowns landed
531.3% acc · 0.91/15 · norm 0.93
1100.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1150.0% def · norm 62.5%
13:3038.6% of cage time · norm 25.2%
Control time
17:3221.2% of cage time · norm 25.2%
2:431:09 per 15 · norm 3:20
Time under control lower is better
38:487:02 per 15 · norm 3:20
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Submission attempts
20.36/15 · norm 0.38

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cornolle has more cage time on record.