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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Erick Gonzalez vs. Trevor Peek

UFC 0-3-0 vs. 2-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
0-3-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
34
AgeΔ 3 yrs
31
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
75"
ReachΔ 5"
70"
Orthodox0-2 vs switch-stance fighters
Stance
Switch1-3 vs orthodox fighters
44.3
Layoff (months)Δ 42.3 mo
2
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Erick Gonzalez hunts takedowns — 6.00 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Erick Gonzalez absorbs 8.08 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Trevor Peek carries real power — 0.38 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.23 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Erick Gonzalez

Full career not yet synced for Erick Gonzalez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Trevor Peek

Full career not yet synced for Trevor Peek — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

302.40/min · norm 3.43
Sig. strikes landed
2773.55/min · norm 3.43
1018.08/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2613.34/min · norm 3.37
36.6%norm 43.7%
Striking accuracy
50.6%norm 43.7%
40.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
43.9%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.23
Knockdowns
20.38/15 · norm 0.23

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Erick Gonzalez

Distance 93.9% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 8.0%)

Trevor Peek

Distance 85.4% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Erick Gonzalez

Head 82.9% (norm 78.1%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 8.0%)

Trevor Peek

Head 73.5% (norm 78.1%) · Body 18.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.0% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gonzalez L/AAccLightweight med Peek L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 27 / 77 35.1% 38.4% 217 / 467 46.5% 38.4%
In the clinch 2 / 3 too few to rate 67.5% 46 / 63 73.0% 67.5%
On the ground 1 / 2 too few to rate 69.1% 14 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 21 / 68 30.9% 35.3% 161 / 402 40.0% 35.3%
To the body 5 / 8 too few to rate 69.2% 75 / 101 74.3% 69.2%
To the legs 4 / 6 too few to rate 81.8% 41 / 44 93.2% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 205 fighters · Lightweight: 205 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gonzalez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Peek L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 68 / 129 52.7% 38.9% 165 / 345 47.8% 38.9%
In the clinch 20 / 25 80.0% 68.6% 54 / 67 80.6% 68.6%
On the ground 13 / 17 too few to rate 68.2% 42 / 53 79.2% 68.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 78 / 145 53.8% 35.2% 166 / 337 49.3% 35.2%
To the body 15 / 18 too few to rate 68.2% 60 / 87 69.0% 68.2%
To the legs 8 / 8 too few to rate 81.5% 35 / 41 85.4% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
555.6% acc · 6.00/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
650.0% acc · 1.15/15 · norm 1.34
250.0% def · norm 63.2%
Takedowns stopped
3650.7% def · norm 63.2%
3:1726.3% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
10:3413.5% of cage time · norm 19.0%
3:033:39 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
32:256:13 per 15 · norm 2:50
00.00/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Peek has more cage time on record.