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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Lightweight · “The Ghost Pepper”

Erick Gonzalez

0-3-0
Wrestler Positional Grappler
5'11"Height
75"Reach
OrthodoxStance
34Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
4:10Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 48 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Feb 2023 · stats read 26 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking defence marked as a minus · stats read 9 → nudged -10 inside the band · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 48 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Below avg, rated 37 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Feb 2023 · stats read 33 → nudged -2 inside the band · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Average, rated 48 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Krylov vs Spann Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 70 · February 21, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Krylov vs Spann Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 70 · February 21, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling decent 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy · stats alone on Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control.

Built on 12 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Wrestler average wrestling — rates 48 of 100 among UFC veterans
Positional Grappler average control — rates 48 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.4
Sig. strikes absorbed / min8.08
Striking accuracy36.6%
Striking defense40.9%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min6.0
Takedown accuracy55.6%
Takedown defense50.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time26.3%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Trevor Peek clear UFC Fight Night Krylov vs Spann Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 70 · February 21, 2023
strikinggood grapplingdecent

'I feel pretty good about Peek here' -- a real mechanism (Gonzalez won't finish him; Peek's durability and power eventually land), consistent with the analyst's own prior Contender Series pick of Peek stated at the top of the chapter. The only reservation named is the price drifting worse, not the outcome.

A well-rounded fighter with good striking offense who is willing to brawl, which does not always pay off because his striking defense is a real problem; he also carries decent grappling and jiu-jitsu. The analyst frames his recent 2-3 stretch as the product of tough matchups rather than declining ability, and expects him to land real success on the feet here -- just not enough to finish Peek before Peek's own power and durability take over.

Strengthgood striking offense, does a bit of everything well
Strengthdecent grappling and jiu-jitsu
Strengthreach advantage (75in)
Weaknessstriking defense is a real problem, willing to brawl
competition quality · tested

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
October 16, 2021 vs Jim Miller — 2.68/min (L) Oct '21 August 6, 2022 vs Terrance McKinney — 3.94/min (L) — only 2.3 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '22 February 25, 2023 vs Trevor Peek — 1.4/min (L) — only 5.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Feb '23

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Trevor Peek 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:59 — UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · February 25, 2023
7/29Sig. strikes
51/86Absorbed
4/6Takedowns
2:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Terrance McKinney 12-4 walk-in Submission · R1 2:17 — UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · August 6, 2022
9/16Sig. strikes
18/37Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jim Miller 32-16 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:14 — UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · October 16, 2021
14/37Sig. strikes
32/48Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
1:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 1
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.4 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 8.1 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 36.6% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 40.9% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 6.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 55.6% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 50.0% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 26.3% avg 21.3%