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UFC simulation vs. the market Fight

Cody Stamann vs. Merab Dvalishvili

UFC 7-7-1 vs. 14-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-7-1
UFC record
14-4-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
36
AgeΔ 1 yrs
35
5'6"
HeightΔ 0"
5'6"
64"
ReachΔ 4"
68"
Orthodox6-5-1 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox9-2 vs orthodox fighters
23.9
Layoff (months)Δ 23.5 mo
0.4
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Merab Dvalishvili hunts takedowns — 5.74 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Cody Stamann hunts takedowns — 2.17 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Merab Dvalishvili owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 18% Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Cody Stamann

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 77
Tier 3 — regional circuit 151

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.87 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Merab Dvalishvili

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 143
Tier 3 — regional circuit 72

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.37 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7764.32/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
14534.48/min · norm 3.52
7033.91/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9662.98/min · norm 3.58
46.9%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.0%norm 43.5%
60.5%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
52.9%norm 56.6%
20.17/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.05/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cody Stamann

Distance 85.4% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.9% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 6.4%)

Merab Dvalishvili

Distance 79.4% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 12.2% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cody Stamann

Head 77.0% (norm 77.5%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.4%)

Merab Dvalishvili

Head 81.7% (norm 77.5%) · Body 9.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stamann L/AAccBantamweight med Dvalishvili L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 599 / 1415 42.3% 39.2% 963 / 2813 34.2% 39.2%
In the clinch 101 / 147 68.7% 69.0% 206 / 300 68.7% 69.0%
On the ground 76 / 94 80.9% 70.2% 284 / 431 65.9% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 493 / 1275 38.7% 35.3% 980 / 2895 33.9% 35.3%
To the body 202 / 279 72.4% 66.9% 237 / 352 67.3% 66.9%
To the legs 81 / 102 79.4% 79.2% 236 / 297 79.5% 79.2%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 121 fighters · Bantamweight: 121 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stamann L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Dvalishvili L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 609 / 1635 37.2% 39.4% 816 / 1837 44.4% 39.4%
In the clinch 58 / 101 57.4% 70.6% 125 / 185 67.6% 70.6%
On the ground 36 / 43 83.7% 72.1% 25 / 29 86.2% 72.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 393 / 1334 29.5% 34.9% 588 / 1565 37.6% 34.9%
To the body 180 / 277 65.0% 66.1% 243 / 328 74.1% 66.1%
To the legs 130 / 168 77.4% 78.8% 135 / 158 85.4% 78.8%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2637.1% acc · 2.17/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
12431.3% acc · 5.74/15 · norm 1.12
4576.3% def · norm 65.7%
Takedowns stopped
3976.5% def · norm 65.7%
34:5819.4% of cage time · norm 17.8%
Control time
109:1933.7% of cage time · norm 17.8%
17:361:28 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control lower is better
16:080:44 per 15 · norm 2:24
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
70.32/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dvalishvili has more cage time on record.