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Warlley Alves
Middleweight

Warlley Alves

14-8-0 UFC 8-8-0
Finisher Submission Grappler
5'11"Height
72"Reach
OrthodoxStance
35Age
3KO wins
3Sub wins
75.0%Finish rate
9:57Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · May 2024 · stats read 48 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims striking power +2, striking volume -2, striking technique +1, kicking +1 (+4) Accuracy — Average, rated 66 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Below avg, rated 27 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 46 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Average, rated 58 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Above avg, rated 82 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling solid · Oct 2023 · stats read 77 → nudged +0 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Average, rated 61 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Barboza vs Murphy Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 92) · May 15, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC 294 Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis · October 18, 2023 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 18, 2023 watch ↗
grappling solid
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC 294 Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis · October 18, 2023 watch ↗
  • good UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 18, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling solid 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control.

Finisher 75% of wins by knockout or submission (3 KO, 3 sub)
Submission Grappler above avg grappling — rates 82 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling solid · Oct 2023
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.04
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.95
Striking accuracy48.1%
Striking defense50.7%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.28
Takedowns / 15 min1.22
Takedown accuracy50.0%
Takedown defense63.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.85
Control time22.1%
Record vs .500+ opponents5-6

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Abus Magomedov clear UFC Fight Night Barboza vs Murphy Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 92) · May 15, 2024
strikinggood grapplingsolid

Named twice, unhedged on who wins ('I'm gonna go with Magomedov' x2). The one caveat raised -- cardio, needing to finish early -- is a stated condition on HOW/WHEN he wins, not a qualifier on the win itself.

A good, hard-kicking striker whose body kick is called his best individual weapon, paired with real power and a genuinely aggressive BJJ game built around attacking submissions (guillotine named the best). The one real knock is tactical rather than a skill gap: he sometimes pulls guard chasing a submission, not viewed as reliable at this level. His level in the division is called hard to pin down given a mixed run.

Strengthgood kicks, especially the body kick
Strengthpower
Strengthaggressive BJJ, attacks subs (guillotine)
Weaknesspulls guard chasing submissions
sub threat · good
vs Ikram Aliskerov coinflip UFC 294 Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis · October 18, 2023 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingsolid

Pick sentence (segs 5-6) self-contradicts between two name tokens -- 'Al scov' versus 'IAM' -- each wrapped in a different fighter's own profile: one clause matches Alves (short notice, a losing stretch over his last five), the other matches Aliskerov (unbeaten outside one career loss, described as running through people). Neither the board nor the rest of the bout settles which man he actually means. NO CLEAN PICK -- verdict declined and recorded null per the standing rule rather than guessed; this is not a genuine coinflip read of the matchup. See review_flags.

Warlley Alves fills in on short notice against a surging favorite, after a stretch the analyst calls 'bit of a rough patch' over his past five fights. He's praised as a good striker with power, an excellent body kick, and the ability to double up kicks off the same leg without resetting. On the ground he has a large BJJ toolbox anchored by the guillotine and actively attacks submissions rather than waiting for them, but he is criticized for pulling guard -- a habit the analyst dislikes generally and flags as especially risky here.

Strengthpower striking
Strengthexcellent body kick
Strengthdoubles up kicks off the same leg
Strengthlarge BJJ toolbox
Strengthguillotine specialist
Strengthattacks submissions actively rather than waiting
Weaknesspulls guard, flagged as especially risky against a wrestler
sub threat · good
vs Nicolas Dalby coinflip UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 18, 2023 · 2 reads since
strikingsolid grapplinggood

'Can't trust either of them', 'won't bet on this fight' (the one fight on the card he would skip), 'for the sake of a pick' he takes Alves, and he calls it his least confident pick. The side is named only to have a pick, alongside advice to stay off, and the support clause is a ceiling argument (his best form beats the opponent's best form) that depends on which version of the fighter shows up, which he says he does not know. Coinflip, inert.

Alves is a swing fighter whose two faces are an explosive finisher with a body-kick knockout and a flat, half-engaged version. The analyst takes him only because the ceiling of his best performances is higher than his opponent's, while saying he has no idea which version appears. He gives his own pick low trust and tells viewers he would not bet it.

StrengthGood jiu-jitsu.
StrengthSolid, powerful striking.
StrengthCapable of sudden finishes when at his best, including a body-kick knockout; the analyst also cites a win over a notable name.
StrengthHigher top-form ceiling than the opponent, in the analyst's judgement.
WeaknessExtremely inconsistent from fight to fight; a flat, low-output version can appear.
WeaknessOpponent has a modest reach advantage.

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
August 25, 2018 vs James Krause — 3.75/min (L) Aug '18 May 11, 2019 vs Sergio Moraes — 5.06/min (W) May '19 November 16, 2019 vs Randy Brown — 0.47/min (L) Nov '19 January 20, 2021 vs Mounir Lazzez — 6.58/min (W) — only 2.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jan '21 June 26, 2021 vs Jeremiah Wells — 2.73/min (L) Jun '21 January 21, 2023 vs Nicolas Dalby — 4.4/min (L) Jan '23 October 21, 2023 vs Ikram Aliskerov — 5.67/min (L) — only 2.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Oct '23 May 18, 2024 vs Abus Magomedov — 1.07/min (L) May '24

Fight history

16 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Abus Magomedov 25-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
16/38Sig. strikes
22/44Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:37Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Ikram Aliskerov 14-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:07 — UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · October 21, 2023
12/16Sig. strikes
26/36Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Nicolas Dalby 20-4-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 21, 2023
66/144Sig. strikes
119/248Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
2:09Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jeremiah Wells 8-2-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:30 — UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · June 26, 2021
15/17Sig. strikes
21/52Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:22Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Mounir Lazzez 10-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:35 — UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · January 20, 2021
17/21Sig. strikes
2/2Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:36Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Randy Brown 11-3 walk-in Submission · R2 1:22 — UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · November 16, 2019
3/11Sig. strikes
16/30Absorbed
3/3Takedowns
4:17Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
W Sergio Moraes 14-4-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 4:13 — UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · May 11, 2019
72/157Sig. strikes
20/62Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L James Krause 25-7 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:28 — UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · August 25, 2018
28/64Sig. strikes
59/106Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Sultan Aliev 14-2 walk-in TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R2 5:00 — UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · May 12, 2018
29/50Sig. strikes
12/28Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
3:24Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Salim Touahri 10-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · October 21, 2017
38/95Sig. strikes
35/74Absorbed
2/7Takedowns
3:45Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Kamaru Usman 8-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · November 19, 2016
25/73Sig. strikes
71/150Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Bryan Barberena 11-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · May 14, 2016
79/136Sig. strikes
120/231Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
1:56Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Colby Covington 8-0 walk-in Submission · R1 1:26 — UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · December 12, 2015
2/4Sig. strikes
2/2Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Nordine Taleb 11-2 walk-in Submission · R2 4:11 — UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · August 1, 2015
17/38Sig. strikes
17/34Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
4:18Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Alan Jouban 10-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · November 8, 2014
47/106Sig. strikes
79/156Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
4:02Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Marcio Alexandre Junior 0-0 walk-in TITLE Submission · R3 0:25 — UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · May 31, 2014
19/39Sig. strikes
8/21Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
7:39Control
1Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
14-8-0Pro record
X-Gym (2011–2018), Team Nogueira (2018), Rizzo RVT (2018–present)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 4
Submission 8
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 1
Decision 4
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 16
Jungle Fight 4
GF - Fight Pavilion Special Edition 1
Celeiro Combat 1
Full career — 22 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Abusupiyan Magomedov Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
May 18, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Ikram Aliskerov TKO (flying knee and punches) UFC 294
October 21, 2023
UFC 1 2:07
L Nicolas Dalby Decision (split) UFC 283
January 21, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Jeremiah Wells KO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
June 26, 2021
UFC 2 0:30
W Mounir Lazzez TKO (body kicks and punches) UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny
January 20, 2021
UFC 1 2:35
L Randy Brown Submission (triangle choke) UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Jacaré
November 16, 2019
UFC 2 1:22
W Sérgio Moraes KO (punch) UFC 237
May 11, 2019
UFC 3 4:13
L James Krause TKO (knee and punches) UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
August 25, 2018
UFC 2 2:28
W Sultan Aliev TKO (doctor stoppage) UFC 224
May 12, 2018
UFC 2 5:00
W Salim Touahri Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
October 21, 2017
UFC 3 5:00
L Kamaru Usman Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira 2
November 19, 2016
UFC 3 5:00
L Bryan Barberena Decision (unanimous) UFC 198
May 14, 2016
UFC 3 5:00
W Colby Covington Submission (guillotine choke) UFC 194
December 12, 2015
UFC 1 1:26
W Nordine Taleb Submission (guillotine choke) UFC 190
August 1, 2015
UFC 2 4:11
W Alan Jouban Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Saint Preux
November 8, 2014
UFC 3 5:00
W Márcio Alexandre Jr. Technical Submission (guillotine choke) The Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Finale: Miocic vs. Maldonado
May 31, 2014
UFC 3 0:25
W Mike Jackson TKO (punches) Jungle Fight 56
August 24, 2013
Jungle Fight 1 1:58
W Ederson Moreira Submission (guillotine choke) Jungle Fight 53
June 1, 2013
Jungle Fight 1 0:48
W Carlos Alberto Rojas Submission (arm-triangle choke) Jungle Fight 46
December 13, 2012
Jungle Fight 2 0:48
W Adilson Fernandes Submission (guillotine choke) Jungle Fight 44
October 27, 2012
Jungle Fight 1 0:40
W Kelles Albuquerque Submission (guillotine choke) GF - Fight Pavilion Special Edition 2
July 29, 2012
GF - Fight Pavilion Special Edition 1 1:01
W Wallace Oliveira Submission (rear-naked choke) Celeiro Combat 3
April 7, 2011
Celeiro Combat 1 0:34

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Warlley Alves) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 168 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.0 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 4.0 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 48.1% avg 47.0%
Striking defense 50.7% avg 53.4%
Takedowns /15 min 1.2 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 50.0% avg 40.4%
Takedown defense 63.0% avg 61.3%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.8 avg 0.7
Control time 22.1% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 75.0% avg 60.8%

Headshot of Warlley Alves by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized