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UFC simulation vs. the market Fight
Sebastian Szalay
Featherweight · “Seb”

Sebastian Szalay

0-1-0
Striker Hard To Take Down
5'6"Height
66"Reach
OrthodoxStance
32Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
13:48Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where the insider has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 76 of 100 · the insider: striking solid · Jan 2026 · stats read 38 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims striking technique +3, kicking +1 (+6) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims striking technique +3, counter striking +1 (+7) Striking D — Average, rated 51 of 100 · claims head movement +1 (+2) Durability — Weak, rated 16 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 22 of 100 · claims clinch +1 (+1) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · the insider tag td defense: good · Jan 2026 · stats read 49 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims td defense +2 (+4) Grappling — Average, rated 47 of 100 · the insider: grappling good · Jan 2026 · stats read 28 → nudged -10 inside the band Control — Below avg, rated 33 of 100 · claims top control +2 (+8) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • solid UFC 325 Analysis, Breakdown, & Predictions · January 25, 2026
grappling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC 325 Analysis, Breakdown, & Predictions · January 25, 2026
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 1 read
grappling good 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

the insider anchors Striking, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Durability.

Built on 13 minutes of tracked cage time across 1 statted fight — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker above avg striking — rates 76 of 100 · the insider: striking solid · Jan 2026
Hard To Take Down above avg td defense — rates 75 of 100 · the insider tag td defense: good · Jan 2026
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.72
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.26
Striking accuracy38.7%
Striking defense62.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.09
Takedown accuracy100.0%
Takedown defense—
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time0.0%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

1 analyst read · insider info · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Keiichiro Nakamura lean UFC 325 Analysis, Breakdown, & Predictions · January 25, 2026
strikingsolid grapplinggood

Closes by taking Szalay but adding that a Nakamura win would most likely come by knockout -- a real, unrebutted finish route conceded to the opponent right alongside the pick.

Called the cleaner striker of the two: a block-and-return style where he answers a single shot with a combination, which he says favors him heavily on the scorecards. He fires in flurries, targets the body well, feints well, moves well (noted training-partner stylistic similarity to Alexander Volkanovski, also on this card in a different bout), has an active lead leg, and fights comfortably from either stance. His grappling is pretty good: good takedown defense, cage-pushing offense, control from a halfback-style position, and he trips an opponent's leg out when they try to reverse. Rated the much cleaner fighter who should win the rounds, with a real knockout risk acknowledged against him.

Strengthblock-and-return striking with combination counters
Strengthflurries / body work / feints / movement
Strengthactive lead leg, fights either stance
Strengthgood takedown defense
Strengthcage-pushing control from halfback
Strengthdefeats reversal attempts by tripping the leg
td defense · good

Fight history

1 UFC bout · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Keiichiro Nakamura 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 3:48 — UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · January 31, 2026
79/204Sig. strikes
45/119Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 1

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.7 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 3.3 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 38.7% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 62.2% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 1.1 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 100.0% avg 37.4%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 0.0% avg 20.1%

Headshot of Sebastian Szalay by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized