Bantamweight
Raphael Assuncao
28-10-0 UFC 12-7-0
Hard To Hit
Defensive Striker
Suspect Chin
5'5"Height
66"Reach
OrthodoxStance
44Age
2KO wins
1Sub wins
25.0%Finish rate
11:56Avg fight
Skill profile
striking
good
1 read
grappling
not yet read
wrestling
good
1 read
cardio
not yet read
durability
not yet read
138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Grappling.
Hard To Hit
opponents land only 34% of what they throw
Defensive Striker
above avg striking d — rates 84 of 100 · claims head movement +1 (+2)
Suspect Chin
138 MMA · Oct 2022 tags chin: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.46
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.76
Striking accuracy43.7%
Striking defense66.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.13
Takedowns / 15 min1.59
Takedown accuracy38.7%
Takedown defense78.9%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.13
Control time13.0%
Record vs .500+ opponents8-5
Insider info
vs Davey Grant lean UFC Fight Night Yan vs Dvalishvili Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 71 · March 7, 2023
strikinggood
wrestlinggood
Stated twice as a lean ("I'm gonna lean Davey Grant" / "leaning Grant here"), paired with real outcome doubt rather than just betting caution -- the analyst says he does not know whether Assuncao's last performance was a drop-off or a blip, and that uncertainty is what keeps him off the bet.
Expected to fight mostly as a striker but capable of mixing in wrestling, where he can control Grant on the ground if he chooses to. His counter-striking is good -- feints, lateral movement, step-off striking, good footwork. The analyst's real concern is recent form: Assuncao's last performance raised doubt about whether he has started to decline.
Strengthgood counter-striking: feints, movement, footwork
Strengthgood wrestling/control ability if he chooses to use it
Weaknessuncertain recent form coming off a possible drop-off performance
vs Victor Henry clear UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Araujo Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · October 10, 2022 · 1 read since
The explicit pick statement is embedded in an argument that never doubts the outcome; every qualifier concerns Assuncao's age and chin rather than who wins, and he calls the read pretty clear-cut twice.
A faded veteran whose career resume is called remarkable, having beaten both men fighting for the UFC 280 title at one point, but now on a four-fight skid with no win since 2018. Chin durability is repeatedly in question, and the analyst's read is blunt: the clock has simply run out on him at 40.
StrengthOutstanding historical resume, wins over elite names
WeaknessFour-fight losing streak, last win 2018
WeaknessChin repeatedly checked, finished often
Striking trend
Fight history
L Davey Grant 14-6 walk-in Submission · R3 4:43 — UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · March 11, 2023
42/58Sig. strikes
65/138Absorbed
5/12Takedowns
4:17Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Victor Henry 22-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · October 15, 2022
60/91Sig. strikes
55/126Absorbed
2/5Takedowns
4:29Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Ricky Simon 18-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:14 — UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · December 18, 2021
7/25Sig. strikes
18/30Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Cody Garbrandt 11-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:59 — UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · June 6, 2020
17/52Sig. strikes
19/43Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Cory Sandhagen 11-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · August 17, 2019
45/81Sig. strikes
62/116Absorbed
4/6Takedowns
2:10Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Marlon Moraes 21-5-1 walk-in Submission · R1 3:17 — UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · February 2, 2019
2/12Sig. strikes
10/23Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Rob Font 15-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · July 7, 2018
54/120Sig. strikes
20/122Absorbed
2/2Takedowns
4:31Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Matthew Lopez 10-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:50 — UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · November 11, 2017
46/154Sig. strikes
34/93Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Marlon Moraes 18-4-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · June 3, 2017
43/134Sig. strikes
44/150Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Aljamain Sterling 12-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · January 28, 2017
39/101Sig. strikes
52/172Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L TJ Dillashaw 12-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · July 9, 2016
49/140Sig. strikes
64/195Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Bryan Caraway 19-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · October 4, 2014
75/133Sig. strikes
39/128Absorbed
2/6Takedowns
0:41Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Pedro Munhoz 10-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · February 22, 2014
100/206Sig. strikes
33/100Absorbed
3/3Takedowns
2:06Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W TJ Dillashaw 8-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · October 9, 2013
32/101Sig. strikes
29/101Absorbed
0/6Takedowns
0:19Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Vaughan Lee 13-8-1 walk-in Submission · R2 1:51 — UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · June 8, 2013
17/54Sig. strikes
14/27Absorbed
3/5Takedowns
2:52Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Mike Easton 13-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · December 8, 2012
57/156Sig. strikes
30/155Absorbed
0/6Takedowns
2:23Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Issei Tamura 7-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:25 — UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · July 11, 2012
39/60Sig. strikes
5/14Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:42Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Johnny Eduardo 18-8 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · August 27, 2011
53/101Sig. strikes
28/85Absorbed
3/8Takedowns
4:56Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Erik Koch 11-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:32 — UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · March 19, 2011
9/20Sig. strikes
4/18Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.
Record breakdown
Wins by method
KO/TKO
4
Submission
10
Decision
14
Other
0
Losses by method
KO/TKO
3
Submission
3
Decision
4
Other
0
Fights by organization
UFC
19
International Sport Combat Federation
6
WEC
5
Full Throttle
2
Ironheart Crown
1
American Fight League
1
XFO
1
Cage FC
1
+ 2 more organizations in the full career list
Full career — 38 fights, every organization
| Opponent | Method | Event | Org | Rd | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | Davey Grant | Technical Submission (inverted triangle choke) | UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
March 11, 2023 |
UFC | 3 | 4:43 |
| W | Victor Henry | Decision (unanimous) | UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araújo
October 15, 2022 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| L | Ricky Simón | KO (punches) | UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
December 18, 2021 |
UFC | 2 | 2:14 |
| L | Cody Garbrandt | KO (punch) | UFC 250
June 6, 2020 |
UFC | 2 | 4:59 |
| L | Cory Sandhagen | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 241
August 17, 2019 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| L | Marlon Moraes | Submission (guillotine choke) | UFC Fight Night: Assunção vs. Moraes 2
February 2, 2019 |
UFC | 1 | 3:17 |
| W | Rob Font | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 226
July 7, 2018 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Matthew Lopez | KO (punch) | UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
November 11, 2017 |
UFC | 3 | 1:50 |
| W | Marlon Moraes | Decision (split) | UFC 212
June 3, 2017 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Aljamain Sterling | Decision (split) | UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Peña
January 28, 2017 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| L | T.J. Dillashaw | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 200
July 9, 2016 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Bryan Caraway | Decision (unanimous) | UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs. Saffiedine
October 4, 2014 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Pedro Munhoz | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 170
February 22, 2014 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | T.J. Dillashaw | Decision (split) | UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Shields
October 9, 2013 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Vaughan Lee | Submission (armbar) | UFC on Fuel TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
June 8, 2013 |
UFC | 2 | 1:51 |
| W | Mike Easton | Decision (unanimous) | UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Diaz
December 8, 2012 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Issei Tamura | TKO (punches) | UFC on Fuel TV: Muñoz vs. Weidman
July 11, 2012 |
UFC | 2 | 0:25 |
| W | Johnny Eduardo | Decision (unanimous) | UFC 134
August 27, 2011 |
UFC | 3 | 5:00 |
| L | Erik Koch | KO (punch) | UFC 128
March 19, 2011 |
UFC | 1 | 2:32 |
| W | LC Davis | Decision (unanimous) | WEC 52
November 11, 2010 |
WEC | 3 | 5:00 |
| L | Diego Nunes | Decision (split) | WEC 49
June 20, 2010 |
WEC | 3 | 5:00 |
| L | Urijah Faber | Submission (rear-naked choke) | WEC 46
January 10, 2010 |
WEC | 3 | 3:49 |
| W | Yves Jabouin | Decision (split) | WEC 43
October 10, 2009 |
WEC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Jameel Massouh | Decision (unanimous) | WEC 40
April 5, 2009 |
WEC | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Joe Pearson | TKO (punches) | Ironheart Crown 12
November 8, 2008 |
Ironheart Crown | 1 | 0:12 |
| W | Aaron Williams | Submission (armbar) | American Fight League: Eruption
March 7, 2008 |
American Fight League | 1 | 3:22 |
| W | Kevin Gittemeir | Decision (unanimous) | International Sport Combat Federation: Head-On Collision
June 1, 2007 |
International Sport Combat Federation | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Tyler Grunwald | Submission (triangle choke) | International Sport Combat Federation: Battle of Rome 2
April 21, 2007 |
International Sport Combat Federation | 1 | 0:56 |
| L | Jeff Curran | Decision (majority) | XFO 13
November 11, 2006 |
XFO | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | James Birdsley | Submission (rear-naked choke) | Cage FC: Border Warz
October 14, 2006 |
Cage FC | 3 | 1:42 |
| W | Nick Mamalis | Submission (armbar) | Ring of Fire 26
September 9, 2006 |
Ring of Fire | 1 | 3:35 |
| W | Joe Lauzon | Submission (armbar) | Absolute FC 15
February 18, 2006 |
Absolute FC | 2 | 4:37 |
| W | William McGlothlin | Submission (guillotine choke) | Full Throttle 4
September 9, 2005 |
Full Throttle | 2 | 3:58 |
| W | Jorge Masvidal | Decision (unanimous) | Full Throttle 1
April 21, 2005 |
Full Throttle | 3 | 5:00 |
| W | Brandon Bledsoe | Submission (armbar) | International Sport Combat Federation: Compound Fracture 2
February 4, 2005 |
International Sport Combat Federation | 1 | 2:31 |
| W | Chad Lawshe | Submission (guillotine choke) | International Sport Combat Federation: Compound Fracture
October 15, 2004 |
International Sport Combat Federation | 1 | 0:54 |
| W | Scott Johnson | Submission (armbar) | International Sport Combat Federation: Anarchy in August 2
August 7, 2004 |
International Sport Combat Federation | 1 | 2:41 |
| W | Chris Clark | TKO (punches) | International Sport Combat Federation: Friday Night Fight
January 23, 2004 |
International Sport Combat Federation | 1 | — |
Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Raphael Assunção) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.
Division context
Headshot of Raphael Assuncao by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized