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Ozzy Diaz
Middleweight

Ozzy Diaz

1-3-0
Fast Starter Striker Suspect TD Defense
6'4"Height
79"Reach
OrthodoxStance
35Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
6:24Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 61 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Sep 2026 · stats read 53 → nudged -1 inside the band · claims striking power +1, striking technique +2, pressure +1 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 61 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · claims td offense -2 (-4) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 43 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · May 2026 · stats read 55 → nudged +7 inside the band · tag getup: good (+4) · claims td defense -2, getup +1 (-2) Grappling — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Sep 2026 · stats read 24 → nudged -5 inside the band Control — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 331 Full Card Preview & Predictions · September 16, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC 328 Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 2, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Yan vs Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Macau) · November 20, 2024 watch ↗
grappling decent
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC 331 Full Card Preview & Predictions · September 16, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 328 Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 2, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 313 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 3, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Yan vs Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Macau) · November 20, 2024 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 4 reads
grappling decent 5 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability.

Built on 25 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Fast Starter 138 MMA · Sep 2026 tags pace: fast starter
Striker average striking — rates 61 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Sep 2026
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · May 2026 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.96
Sig. strikes absorbed / min7.29
Striking accuracy51.5%
Striking defense62.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense66.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time4.1%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-3

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Ryan Gandra lean UFC 331 Full Card Preview & Predictions · September 16, 2026
strikinggood grapplingdecent

admits he is 'tempted by' the underdog

Called the more technical of the two strikers, with a working jab and good body work. His takedown defense is mixed: he is easy to put down but relentless about getting back to his feet, which the analyst says makes him exhausting to hold.

Strengthmore technical boxing
Strengthgood jab and body work
Strengthpersistent about getting back up
Weaknessgets taken down relatively easily
pace · fast starter
vs Ateba Gautier clear UFC 328 Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 2, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

picks a Gautier win, specifically by knockout

A pretty good, unspectacular striker - forward pressure, decent power, body work, a stiff jab - described plainly as nothing flashy but solid. His grappling is mostly about being hard to pin down: average takedown defense but a refusal to accept bottom position and a strong work rate to stand back up; he is not much of an offensive grappler himself.

Strengthforward pressure with a stiff jab
Strengthrefuses to accept bottom position, works hard to stand back up
Weaknesstakedown defense isn't great
Weaknesslimited offensive grappling
td defense · suspectgetup · goodko power · decent
vs Ateba Gautier emphatic UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

States 'all signs point to' Gautier and calls him a heavy favorite with good reason, predicting a first-round finish by knockout, with no qualifier placed on the win itself.

A pretty good boxer at the core -- solid forward pressure, real pop in his hands, body work and a stiff jab -- but the analyst says his game stops at those boxing fundamentals. His grappling is decent mainly because he is hard to hold down and works back to his feet; he starts fast and does not fade much either. He is read as capable of beating lesser opposition but not ready for a fighter at Gautier's level.

Strengthgood forward pressure, body work and a stiff jab
Strengthhard to hold down, works back to his feet
Strengthfast starter who does not fade much
Weaknessgame limited mostly to boxing fundamentals
Weaknesstakedown defense not awesome
pace · fast starterko power · good
vs Djorden Santos lean UFC 313 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 3, 2025 · 3 reads since
grapplingdecent strikinggood

He names Diaz outright, but immediately undercuts his own conviction by joking he could end up looking foolish, and separately expects a close, largely even striking match -- the support behind the naming is thinner than the explicit pick alone suggests.

138 describes Diaz as almost entirely a striker: good forward pressure, good power, and solid work to the body. His own grappling and takedown defense are not rated highly, but he is hard to hold down, which can wear out opponents who have to keep shooting on him. He is also a fast starter. 138 likes his recent drop back to 185 pounds as the right weight class for him.

Strengthgood forward pressure and power
Strengthworks the body well
Strengthhard to hold down despite shaky TD defense
Strengthfast starter
Weaknesstakedown defense itself is not rated highly
pace · fast starterko power · good
vs Zhang Mingyang coinflip UFC Fight Night Yan vs Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Macau) · November 20, 2024 · 4 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He picks Zhang for a few small edges (fighting closer to home, prior UFC experience in the region) but pairs the pick with an explicit root-beer line telling viewers not to bet this one at all, which per the authoring rules caps this at the lowest confidence grade.

A good striker with heavy forward pressure and power who rips to the body well, and an incredibly fast starter expected to push the pace immediately. His grappling is decent; his takedown defense can be a little loose, but he refuses to accept bottom position and is said to wear opponents out between being put down and getting back up, then landing on the feet.

Strengthforward pressure
Strengthpower
Strengthworks the body
Strengthincredibly fast starter
Strengthrefuses bottom position
Strengthwears opponents out off the mat exchanges
Weaknesstakedown defense is called a little loose at times
pace · fast startertd defense · suspectgetup · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
November 23, 2024 vs Zhang Mingyang — 3.72/min (L) — only 2.4 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Nov '24 March 8, 2025 vs Djorden Santos — 9.0/min (W) Mar '25 May 9, 2026 vs Ateba Gautier — 0.97/min (L) May '26 September 19, 2026 vs Ryan Gandra — 1.45/min (L) — only 2.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Sep '26

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Ryan Gandra 2-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:04 — UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · September 19, 2026
3/4Sig. strikes
16/34Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Ateba Gautier 10-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:10 — UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 9, 2026
6/20Sig. strikes
23/82Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
1:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Djorden Santos 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · March 8, 2025
135/261Sig. strikes
131/345Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Zhang Mingyang 14-6 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:25 — UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · November 23, 2024
9/12Sig. strikes
17/34Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 168 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 6.0 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 7.3 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 51.5% avg 47.0%
Striking defense 62.2% avg 53.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 40.4%
Takedown defense 66.7% avg 61.3%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.7
Control time 4.1% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 60.8%

Headshot of Ozzy Diaz by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized