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Ateba Gautier
Middleweight · “The Storm”

Ateba Gautier

11-1-0 UFC 5-1-0
One-Punch Power Fast Starter Suspect TD Defense
6'4"Height
81"Reach
SwitchStance
24Age
4KO wins
0Sub wins
80.0%Finish rate
5:07Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 77 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · May 2026 · stats read 43 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims striking power +1, striking volume +1, striking technique +3, kicking +2, pressure +1 (+6) Accuracy — Weak, rated 19 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+6) Striking D — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 35 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 15 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Average, rated 46 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · May 2026 · stats read 55 → nudged +7 inside the band · tag getup: good (+4) · claims td defense -1, getup +2 (+1) Grappling — Below avg, rated 35 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · May 2026 · stats read 21 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims ground and pound +2 (+2) Control — Weak, rated 15 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC 328 Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 2, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 324 · January 20, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
grappling decent
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC 328 Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 2, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 324 · January 20, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 5 reads
grappling decent 4 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Wrestling.

Built on 30 minutes of tracked cage time across 6 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

One-Punch Power 6 knockdowns · 2.93 per 15 min
Fast Starter 138 MMA · Sep 2025 tags pace: fast starter
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · May 2026 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.8
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.35
Striking accuracy36.2%
Striking defense49.8%
Knockdowns / 15 min2.93
Takedowns / 15 min0.49
Takedown accuracy100.0%
Takedown defense100.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time0.3%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Ozzy Diaz clear UFC 328 Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 2, 2026
strikingsolid grapplingdecent

picks a Gautier win, specifically by knockout

A clean, technical striker with solid power, volume, and knees, a well-set-up head kick off a one-two, a snappy jab and good combination work. His own grappling is decent - good ground-and-pound but shaky takedown defense, though he gets back to his feet quickly, much like his opponent. His own current assessment matches his striking grade from his last read; nothing here points to a real change in level.

Strengthclean, technical boxing with a well-set-up head kick
Strengthsolid power, volume and knee usage
Strengthgood ground-and-pound
Strengthexplodes back to his feet off the bottom
Weaknesstakedown defense is not strong
td defense · suspect
vs Andrey Pulyaev emphatic UFC 324 · January 20, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingsolid grapplingdecent

Predicts Gautier walks Pulyaev down and finishes within the first round, and gives Pulyaev's only realistic path to victory (a grinding, space-denying takedown) next to no real chance.

A solid striker with plenty of power and volume, sturdy knees and a head kick called a standout weapon, setting shots up behind a snappy jab with good combinations overall -- called the better striker here. His grappling is just decent, but once he's on top he's dangerous with ground and pound. His takedown defense is described as absent, though he explodes back to his feet quickly and is hard to hold down early. Analyst expects him to walk his opponent down and finish within the first round.

Strengthsolid power and volume
Strengthknees that hold up well, a standout head kick
Strengthsets shots up off a snappy jab, good combinations
Strengthdangerous ground and pound once he's on top
Weaknesstakedown defense described as absent, though he recovers by exploding back to his feet
td defense · brokengetup · good
vs Ozzy Diaz emphatic UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikingsolid grapplingdecent

States 'all signs point to' Gautier and calls him a heavy favorite with good reason, predicting a first-round finish by knockout, with no qualifier placed on the win itself.

Read as the better striker with a bigger toolbox: real power, good volume, knees, a head kick set up off his one-two, a snappy jab and good combinations. His one loss came from fading and getting outgrappled, and his takedown defense is not great, though he explodes back to his feet. He starts fast, which the analyst notes could matter if the pace stays high for both men.

Strengthreal power and a bigger striking toolbox
Strengthhead kick set up off the jab-cross
Strengthexplodes back to his feet off takedowns
Strengthfast starter
Weaknesstakedown defense not great
Weaknesshis one loss came after fading
pace · fast starter
vs Robert Valentin clear UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He gives a specific mechanism -- Gautier's pressure and one-two-to-head-kick are 'too much' against a man he says struggles with exactly that kind of heavy pressure -- and only hedges with a root-beer aside about backing such a big favorite, not about the pick itself.

A good striker with power, volume, and knees, built around a one-two that sets up a head kick, plus a fast start and freakish athleticism. The analyst notes he can slow down, something seen on the regional scene. His grappling is decent and still coming along: good ground and pound, shaky takedown defense, but he explodes back to his feet. He is the clear betting favorite here.

Strengthpower, volume and knees
Strengthsets up head kick off a one-two
Strengthfast starter
Strengthfreakish athleticism
Strengthgood ground and pound
Strengthexplodes back to his feet off takedowns
Weaknesscan slow down as the fight goes on
Weaknesstakedown defense shaky
Weaknessgrappling still developing
pace · fast startergetup · good
vs Jose Daniel Medina coinflip UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 · 4 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

resolved only by internal naming -- he says 'take Atier to win' -- since the chapter's focus tag never once reads 'a' across all 60 segments.; round three is flagged, more than once, as the dangerous stretch where this could slip away -- a genuine qualifier on whether Gautier actually closes it out, not just on method.

Good striker who comes out of the gate hot and produces a heavy volume of offense; the clear majority of his wins have come by knockout, often in the opening stretch. Good power, volume and knee strikes, with a head kick set up behind his one-two. Decent grappler; his ground-and-pound is present but his takedown defense is a real liability, though he scrambles back to his feet quickly.

Strengthfast start / high output
Strengthpower
Strengthhead kick
Strengthground-and-pound
Weaknesstakedown defense
pace · fast startertd defense · suspect

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 6 fights · green = win
March 29, 2025 vs Jose Daniel Medina — 7.92/min (W) — only 3.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Mar '25 July 19, 2025 vs Robert Valentin — 16.29/min (W) — only 1.2 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jul '25 October 4, 2025 vs Tre'ston Vines — 3.56/min (W) — only 1.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Oct '25 January 24, 2026 vs Andrey Pulyaev — 2.27/min (W) Jan '26 May 9, 2026 vs Ozzy Diaz — 3.73/min (W) May '26 October 3, 2026 vs Roman Kopylov — 2.19/min (L) — only 3.2 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Oct '26

Fight history

6 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Roman Kopylov 15-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:12 — UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · October 3, 2026
7/30Sig. strikes
19/23Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ozzy Diaz 1-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:10 — UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 9, 2026
23/82Sig. strikes
6/20Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Andrey Pulyaev 1-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · January 24, 2026
34/112Sig. strikes
59/123Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Tre'ston Vines 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:41 — UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · October 4, 2025
6/12Sig. strikes
0/1Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Robert Valentin 0-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:10 — UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · July 19, 2025
19/37Sig. strikes
2/5Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jose Daniel Medina 0-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:32 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · March 29, 2025
28/50Sig. strikes
17/33Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
11-1-0Pro record
Manchester Top TeamGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 9
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 5
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Fight KLB 1
Titan FC 1
Full Contact Contender 1
Vida FC 1
Budo FC 1
Africa MMA Open Championships 1
Full career — 12 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Osman Diaz TKO (punches) UFC 328
May 9, 2026
UFC 2 1:10
W Andrey Pulyaev Decision (unanimous) UFC 324
January 24, 2026
UFC 3 5:00
W Tre'ston Vines KO (elbows and punches) UFC 320
October 4, 2025
UFC 1 1:41
W Robert Valentin TKO (punches) UFC 318
July 19, 2025
UFC 1 1:10
W José Medina KO (punches and knee) UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg
March 29, 2025
UFC 1 3:32
W Yura Naito TKO (punches) Dana White's Contender Series 72
September 17, 2024
Dana White's Contender Series 2 4:00
W Carlos Antonio de Souza TKO (punches) Fight KLB: Series 1
December 2, 2023
Fight KLB 1 5:00
W Vuk Lekic KO (head kick) Titan FC 82
June 2, 2023
Titan FC 1 1:58
W Yu-Joe Lewis Lai TKO (punches and knee) Full Contact Contender 33
March 25, 2023
Full Contact Contender 1 2:10
W Jan Lysak TKO (punches) Vida FC 3
July 30, 2022
Vida FC 1 4:38
L Glenn Williams Decision (split) Budo FC 50
July 23, 2022
Budo FC 3 5:00
W Israel Mano Decision (unanimous) Africa MMA Open Championships
May 15, 2021
Africa MMA Open Championships 3 5:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Ateba Gautier) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 168 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.8 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 3.4 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 36.2% avg 47.0%
Striking defense 49.8% avg 53.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.5 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 100.0% avg 40.4%
Takedown defense 100.0% avg 61.3%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.7
Control time 0.3% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 80.0% avg 60.8%

Headshot of Ateba Gautier by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized