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Nurullo Aliev
Lightweight · “Tajik Eagle”

Nurullo Aliev

12-0-0 UFC 4-1-0
Smothering Control Positional Grappler
5'10"Height
72"Reach
OrthodoxStance
25Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 25 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Oct 2026 · stats read 23 → nudged -6 inside the band · tag ko power: low (-6) · claims striking power -1, striking volume -3, striking technique +1, pressure +2 (-2) Accuracy — Average, rated 59 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Average, rated 52 of 100 · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · 138 MMA: durability solid · Feb 2023 · stats read 77 → nudged -0 inside the band · claims chin -2 (-4) Wrestling — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · claims td offense +2, clinch +1 (+5) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Oct 2026 · stats read 44 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims td defense +2 (+4) Grappling — Above avg, rated 71 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling solid · Oct 2026 · stats read 45 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims ground and pound -1 (-1) Control — Elite, rated 96 of 100 · claims top control +2, ground and pound -1 (+6) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC 333 Full Card Preview & Predictions · October 17, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Ankalaev vs Guskov Full Card Preview & Predictions · July 19, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Dern vs Ribas 2 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · January 7, 2025 watch ↗
grappling solid
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC 333 Full Card Preview & Predictions · October 17, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Ankalaev vs Guskov Full Card Preview & Predictions · July 19, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Dern vs Ribas 2 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · January 7, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability solid
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Krylov vs Spann Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 70 · February 21, 2023 watch ↗
striking decent 4 reads
grappling solid 4 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability solid 1 read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling, Control.

Built on 75 minutes of tracked cage time across 5 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Smothering Control 49% of every fight spent in control position
Positional Grappler elite control — rates 96 of 100 · claims top control +2, ground and pound -1 (+6)
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.44
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.6
Striking accuracy46.9%
Striking defense52.9%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min3.0
Takedown accuracy57.7%
Takedown defense58.8%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.4
Control time48.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents2-1

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Grant Dawson clear UFC 333 Full Card Preview & Predictions · October 17, 2026
strikingdecent grapplingsolid durabilitysolid

"Give me Grant Dawson" after explicitly weighing the knockout risk from Aliev's power and still landing on Dawson's grappling/back-control edge.

Decent striker with a decent jab and leg kick and some good flurries, but not someone who wins purely on the feet -- he is not a real power puncher and tends to go down to the first clean shot that lands early. Solid grappler with excellent top pressure and a very good, well-chained takedown arsenal and good takedown defense, though he is patient to the point of rarely following up with ground and pound until he is fully in control.

Strengthvery good takedown arsenal, chains takedowns well
Strengthexcellent top pressure, smothers opponents
Strengthgood takedown defense
Strengthbeat a real opponent on the feet before (Shamrock)
Weaknessnot a real power puncher
Weaknessgoes down to the first clean shot early
Weaknesspassive with ground and pound until fully in control (possible judging risk)
ko power · lowtd defense · good
vs Mike Davis lean UFC Fight Night Ankalaev vs Guskov Full Card Preview & Predictions · July 19, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplingsolid durabilitysolid

He is "tempted" by the other man and only "ends up" picking Aliev, with an explicit concession Davis "should absolutely win" if the fight stays standing.

Undefeated going in; his hands are only passable on their own, but the threat of his wrestling is what creates his striking looks. On the mat he varies his takedown entries, smothers from top position, and defends takedowns well himself. The pick leans on him wearing Davis down on the ground rather than out-striking him.

Strengthgrappling threat sets up strikes
Strengthvaried takedown attempts
Strengthsmothers on top
Strengthgood takedown defense
Weaknessnot a good striker on his own
td defense · good
vs Shaqueme Rock clear UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingsolid durabilitysolid

States the mechanism plainly, predicting he will "smother him for three rounds" outright, and names where the fight is decided (it goes to the mat); no hedge on the win itself, only added color about possible home-crowd/referee leniency.

As of 2025-11-18, a decent striker with a decent jab and leg kick who the analyst says avoids striking almost entirely and rightfully so. His real game is a solid, smothering top grappling style: he chains takedown attempts, presses to the cage effectively, and once on top traps one arm with his body and one with an arm before landing ground and pound with the free hand. He takes his time advancing position rather than rushing.

Strengthsolid grappler with cage-based takedowns
Strengthsmothering, chain-takedown top control
Strengtheffective arm-trapping ground and pound
Strengthmethodical about advancing position
Weaknessclearly the weaker striker of the two
Weaknessdeliberately avoids striking exchanges
vs Joe Solecki lean UFC Fight Night Dern vs Ribas 2 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · January 7, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingsolid durabilitysolid

Calls it a grappler-vs-grappler clash and leans Aliev because he reads Solecki as too submission-dependent to get there, but adds he still has a bit of worry given the short-notice factor.

Undefeated grappling-first fighter whose takedowns and relentless top pressure carry his record. Chains takedowns from the cage, then traps an opponent's limbs completely before opening up with ground-and-pound. Has a passable jab and leg kick but otherwise avoids trading on the feet. Returning after a long layoff.

StrengthChains takedowns and controls the cage well
StrengthSmothering top pressure; fully controls limbs before striking
WeaknessStrikes very little; limited offensive tools standing
WeaknessLong time away from competition (about two years)
vs Rafael Alves lean UFC Fight Night Krylov vs Spann Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 70 · February 21, 2023 · 4 reads since
durabilitysolid

He commits to Aliev by name twice, repeating the lean again at the close, backed by real mechanism (hard-to-stop chain-wrestling, a cardio edge) -- but he also calls it a genuinely tough matchup, admits he lacks confidence in the pick, and refuses to bet on the fight at all.

Making his UFC debut off a relentless grappling-based Contender Series finish, Aliev is a chain-wrestler who traps the arms and grinds out ground-and-pound rather than hunting submissions, with solid takedown entries that can come directly off an opponent's own over-swings. His chin, after a self-correction, is called solid -- he can be cracked and keeps functioning -- though he is not looking to strike and his own striking defense is a real weakness against a opponent with genuinely good power.

Strengthrelentless, chain-wrestling takedown entries
Strengthtraps the arm for ground-and-pound once down
Strengthsolid chin (self-corrected up from an initial 'great')
Strengthcardio edge if the fight goes past round 1
Weaknessnot looking to strike
Weaknessstriking defense is a real weakness

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 5 fights · green = win
February 25, 2023 vs Rafael Alves — 1.27/min (W) Feb '23 January 11, 2025 vs Joe Solecki — 2.33/min (W) Jan '25 November 22, 2025 vs Shaqueme Rock — 3.4/min (W) Nov '25 July 25, 2026 vs Mike Davis — 0.87/min (W) Jul '26 October 24, 2026 vs Grant Dawson — 4.33/min (L) Oct '26

Fight history

5 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Grant Dawson 23-3-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · October 24, 2026
65/106Sig. strikes
95/188Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
1:26Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Mike Davis 5-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · July 25, 2026
13/34Sig. strikes
22/37Absorbed
8/13Takedowns
12:25Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Shaqueme Rock 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · November 22, 2025
51/117Sig. strikes
44/104Absorbed
1/5Takedowns
3:44Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Joe Solecki 13-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · January 11, 2025
35/88Sig. strikes
28/68Absorbed
2/2Takedowns
8:13Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Rafael Alves 20-11 walk-in Decision - Majority · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · February 25, 2023
19/45Sig. strikes
6/17Absorbed
3/4Takedowns
10:51Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
12-0-0Pro record
Kaizen MMA, Kill Cliff FCGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 10
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4
Samara MMA Federation 3
Dana White's Contender Series 1
AMC Fight Nights 1
AMC Fight Nights Global 1
Gorilla Fighting 1
Mixed Martial Arts Federation of the Republic of Tajikistan 1
Full career — 12 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Makkasharip Zaynukov Decision (majority) Samara MMA Federation: Battle on the Volga 6
September 23, 2028
Samara MMA Federation 3 5:00
W Mike Davis Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
July 25, 2026
UFC 3 5:00
W Shaqueme Rock Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
November 22, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
W Joe Solecki Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
January 11, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
W Rafael Alves Decision (majority) UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
February 25, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
W Josh Wick TKO (punches) Dana White's Contender Series 55
September 20, 2022
Dana White's Contender Series 1 4:36
W Kirill Kryukov Decision (unanimous) AMC Fight Nights: Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov Memory Tournament
September 17, 2021
AMC Fight Nights 3 5:00
W Alexander Grebnev Decision (unanimous) AMC Fight Nights Global: Winter Cup
December 24, 2020
AMC Fight Nights Global 1 3:07
W Ramazan Amirov Decision (unanimous) Gorilla Fighting 16
August 30, 2018
Gorilla Fighting 3 5:00
W Giovanny Giraldo TKO (corner stoppage) Samara MMA Federation: Battle on the Volga 4
May 11, 2018
Samara MMA Federation 2 5:00
W Sergey Malikov Decision (unanimous) Samara MMA Federation: Battle on the Volga 3
March 4, 2018
Samara MMA Federation 3 5:00
W Khabib Khabibuloev Decision (unanimous) Mixed Martial Arts Federation of the Republic of Tajikistan: Ismoili Somoni FC
February 3, 2018
Mixed Martial Arts Federation of the Republic of Tajikistan 2 5:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Nurullo Aliev) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.4 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 2.6 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 46.9% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 52.9% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 3.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 57.7% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 58.8% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.4 avg 0.6
Control time 48.9% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 50.7%

Headshot of Nurullo Aliev by Nurullo Aliev · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons · cropped and resized