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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Mark Choinski
Lightweight · “The Shark”

Mark Choinski

0-1-0
Positional Grappler Precision Striker
5'8"Height
69"Reach
OrthodoxStance
31Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Jun 2025 · stats read 37 → nudged -1 inside the band · claims striking technique +1, kicking +1 (+2) Accuracy — Average, rated 52 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 5 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 25 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 50 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Average, rated 50 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 50 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Jun 2025 · stats read 33 → nudged -8 inside the band · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Average, rated 54 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC 316 Full Card Breakdown · June 3, 2025 watch ↗
grappling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC 316 Full Card Breakdown · June 3, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 1 read
grappling good 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense.

Built on 15 minutes of tracked cage time across 1 statted fight — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Positional Grappler average control — rates 54 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4)
Precision Striker average accuracy — rates 52 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2)
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.87
Sig. strikes absorbed / min7.33
Striking accuracy50.9%
Striking defense33.3%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min2.0
Takedown accuracy18.2%
Takedown defense—
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time31.0%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs MarQuel Mederos coinflip UFC 316 Full Card Breakdown · June 3, 2025
strikingdecent grapplinggood

He favors Maderos on the striking but repeats, more than once, that the illness has him wanting no part of wagering on this outcome at all.

His own read is a decent striker with creative kicks, a rangy one-two he extends well, and the ability to strike his way into grappling range, attributing some of his undefeated record to a lower level of competition. His grappling is rated good: very solid top pressure that grinds opponents out, a good choke arsenal, and a refusal to accept bottom position, with only okay takedowns of his own.

Strengthcreative kicks
Strengthextended one-two striking
Strengthstrikes into grappling range
Strengthtop pressure
Strengthchoke arsenal
Weaknesstakedowns are only okay, not a strength

Fight history

1 UFC bout · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L MarQuel Mederos 2-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · June 7, 2025
58/114Sig. strikes
110/165Absorbed
2/11Takedowns
4:39Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 1

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.9 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 7.3 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 50.9% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 33.3% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 2.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 18.2% avg 38.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 31.0% avg 21.3%

Headshot of Mark Choinski by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized