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Marina Rodriguez
Women's Strawweight

Marina Rodriguez

17-6-2 UFC 7-6-2
Striker Durable Stuck On Bottom Suspect TD Defense
5'6"Height
65"Reach
OrthodoxStance
39Age
2KO wins
0Sub wins
28.6%Finish rate
14:26Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 66 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Apr 2025 · stats read 58 → nudged -6 inside the band · tag ko power: low (-6) · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims striking power -2, striking volume +1, striking technique +1, hand speed +1 (-0) Accuracy — Average, rated 56 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +1 (+3) Striking D — Average, rated 63 of 100 · claims head movement +1 (+2) Durability — Average, rated 66 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 6 of 100 · claims clinch +2 (+2) TD Defense — Weak, rated 22 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Apr 2025 · stats read 37 → nudged +1 inside the band · tag getup: poor (-10) · claims td defense -1, getup -1 (-4) Grappling — Below avg, rated 29 of 100 · claims sub defense -1 (-1) Control — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims top control -1 (-4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 29, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 300 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 9, 2024 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 2 reads
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling, Grappling, Control · stats alone on Durability.

Striker average striking — rates 66 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Apr 2025
Durable average durability — rates 66 of 100 among UFC veterans
Stuck On Bottom 138 MMA · Oct 2024 tags getup: poor
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Apr 2025 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.41
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.02
Striking accuracy45.8%
Striking defense55.9%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.14
Takedowns / 15 min0.21
Takedown accuracy42.9%
Takedown defense61.2%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.28
Control time5.5%
Record vs .500+ opponents5-6

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Gillian Robertson lean UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 29, 2025
strikingsolid

He opens by admitting the outcome is uncertain, then commits with reasoning -- Robertson's toughness and Rodriguez's pattern of being controlled on the mat -- so it stops short of a clean, unhedged call.

A polished boxer-style striker: busy output, sharp combination work, slick footwork, quick hands and the ability to counter on the way out, which the analyst says wins the fight if it stays standing. Her takedown defense is not good and she can be controlled once the fight hits the floor; he frames her career as a run against top-level opposition and is explicitly torn on whether her recent skid is decline or just hard matchmaking.

Strengthsolid striking with good volume and combinations
Strengthfast hands and counters
Strengthuses range to keep opponents off her
Strengthnasty knees in the clinch
Weaknesstakedown defense not good
Weaknesscan be held down and controlled on the mat
td defense · suspectcompetition quality · tested
vs Iasmin Lucindo lean UFC 307 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 2, 2024 · 1 read since
strikingsolid

Lucindo is plainly and repeatedly named as the winner, with a round-based read (a decision inside two rounds), resting on a real mechanism: a large grappling-skill gap in her favor once the fight hits the mat. But the analyst twice calls this a genuinely tricky fight to score and openly wonders whether elevation will slow her takedown pursuit against a seasoned veteran -- real outcome doubt rather than a betting disclaimer, which keeps this below clear.

Rated the better pure striker between the two, with superior volume, movement, combinations and a hand speed the analyst says has held up even as she ages. Her clinch knees are singled out as possibly her single best weapon. The clear, named weakness is that once she is taken down, she stays down, which is the whole case for the fight ending up on the mat against this opponent.

Strengthedges her out on pure striking technique: volume, footwork, combination work
Strengthhand speed still sharp despite her age
Strengthuses range well, and her clinch knees are called possibly her best overall weapon
Weaknessonce grounded, she gets held down and stays there
counter striking · goodgetup · poor
vs Jessica Andrade coinflip UFC 300 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 9, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikingsolid

Explicitly named ('Rodriguez is the pick') but immediately preceded by a direct hedge on the win itself (won't be surprised if Andrade wins) and advice to bet both fighters at plus-money prices -- a hedging idiom on the outcome, capping confidence at coinflip per the confidence bar.

Solid striker with good volume, combinations, movement, hand speed, counters and strong range management -- her height/length edge over Andrade is cited as a real advantage. Grappling is her acknowledged weak point once taken down.

Strengthsolid, high-volume striking with good counters and range use
Strengthheight/length advantage in this matchup
Weaknessgrappling is a problem once taken down
td defense · suspect
vs Virna Jandiroba lean UFC 288 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Prediction · May 2, 2023 · 3 reads since

He settles on Rodriguez with a soft, probabilistic commitment -- picking her mainly because he thinks she probably comes out ahead. He calls it a very close fight, explicitly recommends hedging by playing BOTH fighters' props (submission prop for Jandiroba, decision prop for Rodriguez) rather than one side outright, and discloses he is personally rooting for Jandiroba (a bias disclosure that does not itself demote the grade, but sits alongside the genuine outcome hedges that do).

A very solid, high-volume range striker with good counters, combinations, speed and movement, who wants to keep the fight standing and on the outside. Her real vulnerability is on the ground -- she can typically defend submissions from her back, but can be controlled/held down there, which matters against an opponent whose game plan is built entirely around getting the takedown.

Strengthvery solid striking -- volume, combinations, counters, hand speed, movement
Strengthgood submission defense off her back
Weaknesscan be held down/controlled if taken down
range · longsub defense · good
vs Amanda Lemos lean UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Lemos Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · November 2, 2022 · 4 reads since

gives an explicit ~7-in-10 probability for Rodriguez and names her as his formal pick for the video, but says more than once he has no real betting interest in this one

Favored to win on the scorecards roughly seven times out of ten on the strength of really solid (board-matching) boxing, decent (board-matching) volume, and strong (board-matching) cardio that lets her keep a pace and out-land an opponent over a full fight. The clear trade-off: the analyst says she lacks real stopping power, so most of the fight's finishing risk sits on Lemos's side, though he argues that risk fades the longer Rodriguez's volume piles up.

Strengthreally solid boxing
Strengthdecent, high-output volume
Strengthstrong cardio to sustain her pace over a full fight
Weaknesslimited one-punch stopping power
ko power · low

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
October 9, 2021 vs Mackenzie Dern — 5.76/min (W) Oct '21 March 5, 2022 vs Yan Xiaonan — 4.8/min (W) Mar '22 November 5, 2022 vs Amanda Lemos — 1.74/min (L) Nov '22 May 6, 2023 vs Virna Jandiroba — 2.2/min (L) May '23 September 23, 2023 vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez — 9.09/min (W) Sep '23 April 13, 2024 vs Jessica Andrade — 5.47/min (L) Apr '24 October 5, 2024 vs Iasmin Lucindo — 2.2/min (L) Oct '24 May 3, 2025 vs Gillian Robertson — 0.56/min (L) May '25

Fight history

15 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Gillian Robertson 15-8 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:07 — UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 3, 2025
4/17Sig. strikes
16/41Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Iasmin Lucindo 16-5 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · October 5, 2024
33/99Sig. strikes
30/73Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:11Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jessica Andrade 25-12 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · April 13, 2024
82/228Sig. strikes
89/180Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Michelle Waterson-Gomez 18-11 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:42 — UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · September 23, 2023
70/102Sig. strikes
13/32Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
2:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Virna Jandiroba 18-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 6, 2023
33/62Sig. strikes
27/43Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Amanda Lemos 12-2-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 0:54 — UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · November 5, 2022
19/52Sig. strikes
29/53Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Yan Xiaonan 16-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · March 5, 2022
72/200Sig. strikes
56/132Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:41Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Mackenzie Dern 11-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · October 9, 2021
144/279Sig. strikes
49/174Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:10Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Michelle Waterson-Gomez 18-8 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · May 8, 2021
125/282Sig. strikes
88/205Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:51Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Amanda Ribas 10-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:54 — UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · January 23, 2021
15/36Sig. strikes
7/23Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:07Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Carla Esparza 16-6 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · July 25, 2020
40/76Sig. strikes
33/60Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:04Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
D Cynthia Calvillo 8-1 walk-in Decision - Majority · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · December 7, 2019
56/140Sig. strikes
78/130Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Tecia Pennington 10-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · August 10, 2019
84/167Sig. strikes
41/108Absorbed
1/4Takedowns
2:23Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Jessica Aguilar 20-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · March 30, 2019
118/202Sig. strikes
50/114Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
3:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
D Randa Markos 8-6 walk-in Decision - Majority · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · September 22, 2018
60/142Sig. strikes
48/116Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:59Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
17-6-2Pro record
Thai Brasil, AS Team (Jiu-Jitsu)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 7
Submission 1
Decision 9
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 4
Other 0

Draws: 2

Fights by organization

UFC 15
Aspera FC 3
Dana White's Contender Series Brazil 1
Thunder Fight 1
Shooto Brazil 1
Fight 1
Curitiba Top Fight 1
Floripa FC 1

+ 1 more organizations in the full career list

Full career — 25 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Gillian Robertson TKO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
May 3, 2025
UFC 2 2:07
L Iasmin Lucindo Decision (split) UFC 307
October 5, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Jéssica Andrade Decision (split) UFC 300
April 13, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Michelle Waterson-Gomez TKO (elbows and punches) UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
September 23, 2023
UFC 2 2:42
L Virna Jandiroba Decision (unanimous) UFC 288
May 6, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Amanda Lemos TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
November 5, 2022
UFC 3 0:54
W Yan Xiaonan Decision (split) UFC 272
March 5, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
W Mackenzie Dern Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez
October 9, 2021
UFC 5 5:00
W Michelle Waterson-Gomez Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
May 8, 2021
UFC 5 5:00
W Amanda Ribas TKO (elbow and punches) UFC 257
January 24, 2021
UFC 2 0:54
L Carla Esparza Decision (split) UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till
July 26, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
D Cynthia Calvillo Draw (majority) UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
December 7, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Tecia Torres Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
August 10, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Jessica Aguilar Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje
March 30, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
D Randa Markos Draw (majority) UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Anders
September 22, 2018
UFC 3 5:00
W Maria de Oliveira Neta TKO (punches) Dana White's Contender Series Brazil 2
August 11, 2018
Dana White's Contender Series Brazil 1 3:03
W Natália Silva Decision (unanimous) Thunder Fight 14
December 16, 2017
Thunder Fight 3 5:00
W Amanda Torres Sardinha Decision (unanimous) Shooto Brazil 79
December 10, 2017
Shooto Brazil 3 5:00
W Samara Santos Cunha Decision (unanimous) Fight 2 Night 2
April 28, 2017
Fight 3 5:00
W Paula Vieira da Silva TKO (punches) Curitiba Top Fight 10
February 24, 2017
Curitiba Top Fight 1 4:50
W Vanessa Guimaraes Submission (triangle choke) Aspera FC 41
July 9, 2016
Aspera FC 2 1:47
W Márcia Oliveira TKO (punches) Floripa FC: The Big Challenge
June 4, 2016
Floripa FC 1 1:42
W Caroline Silva TKO (knee and punches) Aspera FC 33
March 19, 2016
Aspera FC 2 0:47
W Caroline Silva Decision (unanimous) Aspera FC 24
September 12, 2015
Aspera FC 3 5:00
W Silvania Monteiro TKO (retirement) São José Super Fight 6
March 28, 2015
São José Super Fight 1 5:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Marina Rodriguez) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 58 qualified Women's Strawweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.4 avg 3.9
Strikes absorbed /min 3.0 avg 4.1
Striking accuracy 45.8% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 55.9% avg 54.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.2 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 42.9% avg 38.7%
Takedown defense 61.2% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.3 avg 0.5
Control time 5.5% avg 21.2%
Finish rate 28.6% avg 33.9%

Headshot of Marina Rodriguez by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized