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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Women's Strawweight · “Spider-Girl”

Maria Oliveira

1-3-0
Forward Pressure Suspect TD Defense Wrestling Liability
5'6"Height
69"Reach
OrthodoxStance
29Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 53 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking good · Jun 2023 · stats read 38 → nudged -7 inside the band · claims striking technique +1, pressure +2 (+2) Accuracy — Weak, rated 18 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +1 (+3) Striking D — Weak, rated 9 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 43 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 29 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: wrestling poor · Jun 2023 · stats read 33 → nudged +1 inside the band · claims td offense -1 (-2) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Jun 2023 · stats read 22 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims td defense -2, getup -2 (-6) Grappling — Weak, rated 20 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Weak, rated 24 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good whiteboard
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 289 Full Card Breakdown Analysis And Prediction · June 6, 2023 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Spivac Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 16, 2022 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling poor whiteboard
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • poor UFC 289 Full Card Breakdown Analysis And Prediction · June 6, 2023 · whiteboard watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads · whiteboard
grappling not yet read
wrestling poor 1 read · whiteboard
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Wrestling, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Grappling, Control.

Built on 60 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Forward Pressure 5.2 landed and 5.5 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Jun 2023 tags td defense: suspect
Wrestling Liability 138 MMA whiteboard · Jun 2023 grades his wrestling poor
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.15
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.47
Striking accuracy38.8%
Striking defense46.5%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.0
Takedown accuracy44.4%
Takedown defense50.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time9.5%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Diana Belbita lean UFC 289 Full Card Breakdown Analysis And Prediction · June 6, 2023
strikinggood

Names Belbita's volume as the deciding edge over Oliveira's blitz, then adds explicitly he has no money on it -- a stated mechanism paired with an explicit no-bet hedge, not a firm call.

Maria Oliveira is built around sudden blitzes rather than sustained volume -- decent pop on her shots but not one-shot power, with a counter game available as a secondary tool. The analyst expects Belbita's constant pressure to eventually force Oliveira backward into trading, which is the losing side of this particular stylistic matchup in his read. Her takedown defense is poor and she can be held down once grounded.

Strengthblitz entries with decent pop
Strengthcan play the counter game
Strengthforward pressure of her own
Weaknesspoor takedown defense
Weaknesscan be held down on the ground
Weaknessnot a true one-shot power threat
td defense · suspect
vs Vanessa Demopoulos coinflip UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Spivac Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 16, 2022 · 1 read since
strikinggood

Explicit outcome doubt - says he doesn't 'know which way' it goes, suggests hedging both sides rather than picking one, and ties the pick itself to his disclosed bias ('probably because I'm biased'). States plainly he is leaving this fight off his own card.

Rated as the stronger striker between the two, helped by a genuine reach edge and a game that works best at distance. Her one clearly named weakness is grappling, called so-so, the single gap in an otherwise strong striking-first profile here.

Strengthbetter striker of the two
Strengthfights well at range, aided by a real reach edge
Weaknessso-so grappling
range · long

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
October 23, 2021 vs Tabatha Ricci — 4.4/min (L) Oct '21 June 18, 2022 vs Gloria de Paula — 6.4/min (W) Jun '22 November 19, 2022 vs Vanessa Demopoulos — 5.53/min (L) Nov '22 June 10, 2023 vs Diana Belbita — 4.27/min (L) Jun '23

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Diana Belbita 14-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · June 10, 2023
64/168Sig. strikes
106/208Absorbed
2/5Takedowns
4:06Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Vanessa Demopoulos 8-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · November 19, 2022
83/154Sig. strikes
55/80Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Gloria de Paula 6-4 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · June 18, 2022
96/297Sig. strikes
105/190Absorbed
2/4Takedowns
1:35Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Tabatha Ricci 5-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · October 23, 2021
66/178Sig. strikes
62/135Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 58 qualified Women's Strawweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.2 avg 3.9
Strikes absorbed /min 5.5 avg 4.1
Striking accuracy 38.8% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 46.5% avg 54.4%
Takedowns /15 min 1.0 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 44.4% avg 38.7%
Takedown defense 50.0% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 9.5% avg 21.2%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 33.9%