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Kiefer Crosbie
Welterweight · “BDK”

Kiefer Crosbie

0-3-0
Striker Positional Grappler Suspect Chin
5'11"Height
70"Reach
SwitchStance
36Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
3:44Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 60 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2025 · stats read 42 → nudged -5 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +1, striking volume +1, striking technique +1, kicking +1 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 50 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking defence marked as a minus · stats read 24 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims striking defense -3 (-6) Durability — Below avg, rated 33 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: suspect · Aug 2025 · stats read 37 → nudged +1 inside the band · claims chin -1 (-2) Wrestling — Weak, rated 19 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Weak, rated 24 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Below avg, rated 38 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Aug 2025 · stats read 30 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims ground and pound +2 (+2) Control — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · claims top control +1, ground and pound +2 (+7) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 watch ↗
grappling decent
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 293 Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis · September 6, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads
grappling decent 3 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, Durability, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Control · stats alone on Wrestling, TD Defense.

Built on 11 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 60 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2025
Positional Grappler below avg control — rates 39 of 100 · claims top control +1, ground and pound +2 (+7)
Suspect Chin 138 MMA · Aug 2025 tags chin: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.46
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.8
Striking accuracy64.1%
Striking defense46.7%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense40.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time3.4%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Taiyilake Nueraji coinflip UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He names a side but caps it heavily with the show's own stay-away idiom plus explicit advice to sit this one out -- that combination caps conviction at coinflip under the standing house rule.

A fairly capable striker with real output, real pop and a good leg kick, but his guard is explicitly described as nonexistent, and once an opponent gains the upper hand his gas tank and composure both go -- the analyst's own line is that he hits hard but cannot take a hit back. He is a fair mat grappler who lands heavy from the top with sharp elbows once there. He has been out of the sport for an extended stretch. As of 2025-08-18.

Strengthfairly capable striker: real output, real pop, a good leg kick
Strengthfair mat grappler: heavy top-side work, sharp elbows once there
Strengthdangerous early in a fight
Weaknessdefense is largely absent
Weaknesscardio/composure fades once an opponent gets the advantage ('good hammer, not such a good nail')
chin · suspect
vs Sam Patterson clear UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

calls it 'Patterson's fight to lose' and feels good about it, giving Patterson far more paths to win; the only concession is a one-punch risk from Crosby he frames as low and shrinking over time.

A good-volume, good-power striker whose own striking defense he rates poorly, and whose grappling he calls 'decent' only generously -- fine once he's cracked someone and followed them down, outclassed otherwise. Cardio is the clear concern: he expects Crosby to fade.

Strengthgood volume and very good power on the feet
Strengthgood leg kick
Strengthvery good ground-and-pound once he gets on top after landing a shot
Weaknessstriking defense rated poorly
Weaknessoutclassed everywhere in grappling except on top after a landed shot ('good hammer, poor nail')
Weaknesscardio fades fairly quickly
ko power · good
vs Kevin Jousset lean UFC 293 Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis · September 6, 2023 · 2 reads since
grapplingdecent

He opens by admitting he has no strong read on this fight, then names Jousset, citing a height/length edge and favoring him in most areas aside from volume -- but concedes a real decision-loss route on volume and never rebuts it. A real, if thin, technical argument plus an unrebutted loss path -> lean, not clear.

An all-action fighter willing to trade, with decent grappling built around getting on top and landing heavy ground-and-pound. The analyst's clearest concern is cardio: he expects Crosbie to fade because of how hard he fights for it. The very start of this read is cut off by an unaccounted gap in the transcript before the chapter begins, so an earlier part of his striking description may be missing.

Strengthdecent grappling
Strengthlands heavy elbows / ground-and-pound on top
Strengthall-action, willing to trade
Weaknessfades as the fight goes on (cardio)

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
September 9, 2023 vs Kevin Jousset — 8.1/min (L) — only 4.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Sep '23 July 27, 2024 vs Sam Patterson — 3.18/min (L) — only 2.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jul '24 August 23, 2025 vs Taiyilake Nueraji — 0.56/min (L) — only 3.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '25

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Taiyilake Nueraji 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:33 — UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · August 23, 2025
2/3Sig. strikes
27/38Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Sam Patterson 1-1 walk-in Submission · R1 2:50 — UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 27, 2024
9/16Sig. strikes
9/26Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Kevin Jousset 8-2 walk-in Submission · R1 4:49 — UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · September 9, 2023
39/59Sig. strikes
29/58Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 2
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.5 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 5.8 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 64.1% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 46.7% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 40.0% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 3.4% avg 21.5%

Headshot of Kiefer Crosbie by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized