Kevin Jousset

He calls it 'a close fight' before picking Jousset on experience and takedown defense, then separately says he will probably skip betting it as a heavy favorite.

Jousset is a pretty good striker whose extended stance lets his straight punches land quickly but also leaves him open to shots coming around the outside, including head kicks; he mixes in knees up the middle and solid leg kicks, though he throws the leg kicks naked and opens himself to counters doing it. His grappling, from a judo background, is pretty good with good takedown defense and a strong cage push. The analyst gives him the edge on UFC experience and competition level and calls his takedown defense the likely difference-maker.

He states outright that he is very confident in this pick, with no hedge anywhere on who wins.

A good striker whose extended-stance straight punches land quickly and set up bigger shots, backed by good knees up the middle and a solid-but-naked leg kick that leaves him open to counters. His striking defense is only fair but hasn't cost him much given his durability, and he has good grappling -- good takedown defense, cage control, and an unused Judo background -- to fall back on.

He states Gooden lands the bigger shots and the bigger moments either way the fight goes, calls the underdog price silly, and closes with 'I'm taking Gooden' -- no hedge on the win anywhere in the chapter.

Solid striker whose extended, out-front hands let his straight punches land with surprising speed, plus a good leg kick and knees up the middle, though the leg kick is thrown without a setup and his own striking defense suffers because his head doesn't move much. A good grappler off a judo background with cage-push control and solid takedown defense.

He names Jousset as the pick but explicitly asks viewers if they have any conviction because he says plainly that he himself is sure he does not; he also mentions his final pick could still change right before recording.

His leg kick is a real weapon but thrown in a loose, exposed way that invites a counter, and his knees up the middle help keep opponents from closing in. Output comes and goes, and he does not defend the strikes he eats all that well, but the judo background makes him a strong grappler -- solid at stopping takedowns, pushing control from the cage, and throwing opponents down himself.

He opens by admitting he has no strong read on this fight, then names Jousset, citing a height/length edge and favoring him in most areas aside from volume -- but concedes a real decision-loss route on volume and never rebuts it. A real, if thin, technical argument plus an unrebutted loss path -> lean, not clear.

A solid striker with a heavy leg kick and good knees up the middle, though his volume is inconsistent and he fights with his hands low, which the analyst ties to a striking-defense risk. On the ground he has a judo-based takedown defense that he converts into throws, and he can press opponents to the cage and control them there. The analyst calls this bout close but gives Jousset a slight edge in most areas.