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Ketlen Souza
Women's Strawweight · “Esquentadinha”

Ketlen Souza

17-6-0 UFC 4-4-0
Precision Striker Durable Taken Down Often
5'3"Height
63"Reach
OrthodoxStance
32Age
1KO wins
1Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
10:10Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 70 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Oct 2026 · stats read 68 → nudged +4 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +1, striking technique +3, kicking +1, pressure +1 (+6) Accuracy — Strong, rated 92 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+6) Striking D — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Above avg, rated 77 of 100 · claims chin +2 (+4) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 30 of 100 · claims clinch +1 (+1) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · tag getup: good (+4) · claims getup +1 (+2) Grappling — Average, rated 54 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Oct 2026 · stats read 36 → nudged -7 inside the band · claims sub offense +2 (+4) Control — Average, rated 50 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
7 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Allen vs Duncan Full Card Preview & Predictions · October 4, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Muhammad vs Bonfim Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 30, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Bautista vs Oliveira Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Rodrigues Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 11, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 306 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (Riyadh Season Noche UFC) · September 11, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 watch ↗
grappling good
7 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Allen vs Duncan Full Card Preview & Predictions · October 4, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Bautista vs Oliveira Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Rodrigues Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 11, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 306 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (Riyadh Season Noche UFC) · September 11, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Kara-France vs Albazi Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 74) · May 30, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 7 reads
grappling good 7 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Striking D.

Built on 81 minutes of tracked cage time across 8 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Precision Striker strong accuracy — rates 92 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+6)
Durable above avg durability — rates 77 of 100 · claims chin +2 (+4)
Taken Down Often put on his back 15 times · 2.8 per 15 min
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.13
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.0
Striking accuracy53.2%
Striking defense53.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.37
Takedowns / 15 min0.37
Takedown accuracy13.3%
Takedown defense63.4%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.18
Control time16.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-3

Insider info

8 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Lupita Godinez clear UFC Fight Night Allen vs Duncan Full Card Preview & Predictions · October 4, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood

a couple of levels ahead

Souza is a heavy-handed, forward-pressing striker the analyst believes can beat almost anyone at range, backed by a grappling game used mainly to create separation and scramble back to her feet rather than to control a fight on the ground.

Strengthforward pressure, power, low kicks, body work
Strengthreturns to feet/creates space from the clinch
ko power · good
vs Ariane Carnelossi clear UFC Fight Night Muhammad vs Bonfim Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 30, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplinggood

He forecasts a specific "comfortable decision" (quote, 3 words) with a guessed scorecard, a confident, unhedged call.

A good, forward-pressing striker with solid leg kicks, real power and body work. Her grappling is called good too, with decent top pressure, scrambling and the ability to attack submissions to scramble back to her feet, though the analyst audibly second-guesses whether that grappling grade should sit a notch lower. She is viewed as the better fighter almost everywhere this fight could take place, outside of a pure strength contest.

Strengthforward pressure, leg kicks, power, body work
Strengthgood scrambling and submission-to-escape instincts
Strengthbetter than her opponent in nearly every area besides raw strength
Weaknesshis own confidence in her grappling grade wavers mid-breakdown
vs Bruna Brasil lean UFC Fight Night Bautista vs Oliveira Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 1, 2026 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplinggood

leaning her, could still flip

As of 2026-02-01 she presses forward behind solid pop, leg kicks and body work, mixing her attacks across all three levels. The analyst is explicit that his read of her has risen: he says he was previously down on her and that her grappling, which he used to see as bad, now looks like a real weapon -- she goes after submissions as a way out, regains standing position from there, scrambles well, and has decent top pressure if she ends up on top.

Strengthcomes forward with good power, pressure and leg kicks
Strengthworks all three levels with strikes
Strengthnewly credible grappling: scrambles, regains her feet off submission attempts, decent top pressure
getup · good
vs Piera Rodriguez clear UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

expects Rodriguez to out-work her for at least two of three rounds on the strength of the takedown exchanges, despite conceding some rough moments, and settles on her as the pick without much drama.

A solidly rated striker who marches forward behind real power, sharp leg kicks and steady work to the midsection. Her ground game trails behind -- decent top pressure is about the extent of it, with little else shown attacking or defending on the mat.

Strengthforward pressure
Strengthpower
Strengthsharp leg kicks
Strengthsteady work to the midsection
Weaknessground game offers little beyond decent top pressure
vs Angela Hill lean UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Rodrigues Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 11, 2025 · 4 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He gives a real mechanism (her durability lets her 'land more' as the fight wears on) but calls the matchup 'a tricky one' twice and says he'll 'watch the line' rather than fully commit to backing her as the favorite.

A come-forward power striker who throws with good forward pressure, power, leg kicks and body work, and has already outperformed what the betting markets expected of her once. Her grappling is just decent, mainly decent top pressure, a real hole in her game but not a severe one. As of 2025-02-11.

Strengthcome-forward power striking with leg kicks and body work
Strengthgood forward pressure
Weaknessgrappling is just decent, a real but not severe hole in her game
ko power · good
vs Yazmin Jauregui emphatic UFC 306 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (Riyadh Season Noche UFC) · September 11, 2024 · 5 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He states the striking gap should not be close and explicitly names this his single most confident pick of the entire card, with no hedge on the winner.

A good forward-pressure striker with good power, leg kicks and body work; her grappling is decent, with very good top pressure if she gets on top. The analyst bumped her striking up a rung from his last look at her, but says so with real doubt -- unsure whether that reflects genuine growth or just a favorable matchup last time, and flags she could get moved back down after this fight. As of 2024-09-11.

Strengthgood forward pressure
Strengthgood power
Strengthleg kicks and body work
Strengthvery good top pressure if she gets on top
ko power · good
vs Marnic Mann lean UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 · 6 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

Names Souza twice as the pick but discloses he is rooting for Mann and says he wants to be proven wrong.

A decent, forward-pressing striker whose leg kick and body work are specifically flagged as trouble for a short, compact opponent who fights with her hands low. Has a decent top game in grappling, but the analyst wants her to keep the fight standing rather than test her opponent's better grappling. Picked as a sizable underdog despite the analyst's stated personal preference for the other corner.

Strengthgood forward pressure
Strengthpretty good power
Strengthleg kick and body work
Strengthdecent top pressure in grappling
vs Karine Silva clear UFC Fight Night Kara-France vs Albazi Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 74) · May 30, 2023 · 7 reads since
grapplinggood

He commits to Silva directly, after explicitly weighing Souza's own skills and concluding the other woman is simply the better fighter across most areas -- a genuine comparison, not a bare pick.

Souza is read as a powerful, come-forward striker who throws heavy hands and heavy leg kicks, with a good BJJ game of her own on the mat -- though described as less aggressive there than Silva. The analyst explicitly weighs her skills as genuinely good before concluding Silva is simply better across the board.

StrengthPowerful forward striking with heavy hands and leg kicks
StrengthGood BJJ in her own right
WeaknessLess aggressive on the mat than her opponent (comparative, not a flaw in isolation)

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
June 3, 2023 vs Karine Silva — 0.0/min (L) — only 1.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jun '23 April 27, 2024 vs Marnic Mann — 5.33/min (W) Apr '24 September 14, 2024 vs Yazmin Jauregui — 6.92/min (W) — only 3.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Sep '24 February 15, 2025 vs Angela Hill — 4.67/min (L) Feb '25 August 2, 2025 vs Piera Rodriguez — 3.73/min (L) Aug '25 February 7, 2026 vs Bruna Brasil — 2.2/min (W) Feb '26 June 6, 2026 vs Ariane Carnelossi — 8.3/min (W) — only 1.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jun '26 October 10, 2026 vs Loopy Godinez — 4.2/min (L) Oct '26

Fight history

8 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Loopy Godinez 14-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026
63/153Sig. strikes
67/146Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:29Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ariane Carnelossi 14-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:34 — UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · June 6, 2026
13/17Sig. strikes
8/21Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Bruna Brasil 2-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · February 7, 2026
33/69Sig. strikes
31/60Absorbed
1/8Takedowns
8:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Piera Rodriguez 3-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · August 2, 2025
56/103Sig. strikes
64/150Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
1:41Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Angela Hill 17-14 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · February 15, 2025
70/138Sig. strikes
86/158Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Yazmin Jauregui 9-1 walk-in Submission · R1 3:02 — UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · September 14, 2024
21/35Sig. strikes
35/73Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:15Control
1Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Marnic Mann 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · April 27, 2024
80/116Sig. strikes
31/77Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
3:11Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Karine Silva 15-4 walk-in Submission · R1 1:45 — UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · June 3, 2023
0/0Sig. strikes
3/10Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
17-6-0Pro record
Team Felipe RegoGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 9
Submission 2
Decision 6
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 2
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 7
Mr. Cage 4
Invicta FC 2
Standout Fighting Tournament 1
Star Combat 1
Silva Combat Fight 1
Future FC 1
Mr. Cage vs. Rei da Selva Combat 1

+ 5 more organizations in the full career list

Full career — 23 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Ariane Carnelossi KO (punches and head kick) UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
June 6, 2026
UFC 1 1:34
W Bruna Brasil Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
February 7, 2026
UFC 3 5:00
L Piera Rodriguez Decision (split) UFC on ESPN: Taira vs. Park
August 2, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L Angela Hill Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
February 15, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
W Yazmin Jauregui Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 306
September 14, 2024
UFC 1 3:02
W Marnic Mann Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez
April 27, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Karine Silva Submission (kneebar) UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi
June 3, 2023
UFC 1 1:45
W Kristina Williams Decision (unanimous) Invicta FC 51
January 18, 2023
Invicta FC 5 5:00
W Maiju Suotama Decision (unanimous) Invicta FC 49
September 28, 2022
Invicta FC 3 5:00
W Gisele Moreira Decision (unanimous) Standout Fighting Tournament 28
August 5, 2021
Standout Fighting Tournament 5 5:00
W Joane Milen TKO (punches) Star Combat 1
May 29, 2021
Star Combat 2 2:03
W Erianny Castaneda TKO (retirement) Silva Combat Fight 3
May 14, 2021
Silva Combat Fight 2 5:00
L Dayane de Souza Cardoso KO (punches) Mr. Cage 42
September 4, 2020
Mr. Cage 1 1:20
L Ariane Carnelossi TKO (body kick) Future FC 5
May 24, 2019
Future FC 3 3:53
W Jessica Luanna TKO (punches) Mr. Cage vs. Rei da Selva Combat 1
March 16, 2019
Mr. Cage vs. Rei da Selva Combat 2 2:24
W Erilene Rayla Nascimento TKO (punches) Mr. Cage 35
July 28, 2018
Mr. Cage 5 2:40
L Fabiulane Melo Submission (armbar) Coari Champions 1
March 31, 2018
Coari Champions 1 1:56
W Andréia Cerdeira Submission (rear-naked choke) Mr. Cage 34
March 10, 2018
Mr. Cage 2 2:50
W Paula Lira Pontes TKO (punches) Back Fish MMA 2
December 21, 2017
Back Fish MMA 1 2:55
W Jamily Solarth TKO (punches) Luta Tribal 1
July 8, 2017
Luta Tribal 1 1:36
W Davina Maciel TKO (punches) Mr. Cage 29
May 25, 2017
Mr. Cage 1 0:59
W Erilene Rayla Nascimento Decision (unanimous) Jovem Pan Fight Night 1
May 18, 2017
Jovem Pan Fight Night 3 5:00
W Roberta Camila Rocha TKO (punches) Arena Fight Championship 2
December 10, 2016
Arena Fight Championship 1 4:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Ketlen Souza) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 58 qualified Women's Strawweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.1 avg 3.9
Strikes absorbed /min 4.0 avg 4.1
Striking accuracy 53.2% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 53.2% avg 54.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.4 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 13.3% avg 38.7%
Takedown defense 63.4% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.2 avg 0.5
Control time 16.9% avg 21.2%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 33.9%

Headshot of Ketlen Souza by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized