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Julio Arce
Featherweight

Julio Arce

22-7-0 UFC 6-4-0
Takedown-Proof Hard To Hit Finisher Suspect Chin
5'7"Height
70"Reach
SouthpawStance
37Age
3KO wins
1Sub wins
66.7%Finish rate
12:12Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 56 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Mar 2024 · stats read 38 → nudged -7 inside the band · claims striking volume +3, striking technique +1, kicking +1 (+6) Accuracy — Weak, rated 7 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +1 (+3) Striking D — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · claims head movement +1 (+2) Durability — Below avg, rated 31 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: suspect · Mar 2024 · stats read 37 → nudged +1 inside the band · claims chin -2 (-4) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Elite, rated 100 of 100 · claims td defense +2 (+4) Grappling — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Mar 2024 · stats read 38 → nudged -0 inside the band Control — Weak, rated 12 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Blanchfield vs Fiorot Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Atlantic City) · March 26, 2024 watch ↗
grappling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Blanchfield vs Fiorot Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Atlantic City) · March 26, 2024 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling decent 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling, TD Defense · stats alone on Control.

Takedown-Proof 25 of 26 takedowns stuffed
Hard To Hit opponents land only 32% of what they throw
Finisher 67% of wins by knockout or submission (3 KO, 1 sub)
Suspect Chin 138 MMA · Mar 2024 tags chin: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.12
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.07
Striking accuracy34.9%
Striking defense68.4%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.37
Takedowns / 15 min0.49
Takedown accuracy28.6%
Takedown defense96.2%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.37
Control time6.8%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-3

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Herbert Burns lean UFC Fight Night Blanchfield vs Fiorot Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Atlantic City) · March 26, 2024
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He names Arce to get it done and outlast Burns, but he says he is passing on the moneyline given the price and would rather play a Burns first-round-submission prop for value -- wager caution (capped further by the root-beer idiom right after) rather than doubt about who wins.

Arce brings crisp counters, footwork and tight combination punching, plus pretty good striking defense, though he visibly wobbles when he is hit clean. His grappling is decent, anchored by a reliable takedown-stopping game with the ability to shoot his own shot when needed. He is the largest betting favorite on the card despite a long layoff.

Strengthcrisp counters and footwork
Strengthtight combination punching
Strengthreliable takedown defense
Strengthable to shoot his own takedown when needed
Weaknessvisibly wobbles when hit
chin · suspect
vs Montel Jackson coinflip UFC 281 Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · November 8, 2022 · 1 read since

Genuine no-pick. He states he switched his lean several times before and during this recording (toward Arce, then Jackson, then back), names Jackson once in passing, and then disavows it outright, declaring the matchup an unresolved 'coin flip', refusing to wager, and admitting on camera he cannot settle on a side. The momentary naming is not treated as the verdict because he withdraws it in the same breath; staged null rather than manufactured from that transient mention.

Renders in the ASR captions as 'RSA'/'RC' throughout -- confirmed the same person by content, not a second fighter. Fights behind a counter-striking, defensive style, mixing up strikes and volume off the counter rather than initiating. The analyst's hesitation in this chapter centers on whether that passive style lets the more powerful Jackson dictate pace.

Strengthcounter-striking with mixed-up combinations
Strengthgood takedown defense (board)
Strengthturns volume up off the counter
Weaknessfights defensively, waits for the opponent to dictate the pace, by the analyst's own stated dislike of that style

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
November 3, 2018 vs Sheymon Moraes — 1.67/min (L) Nov '18 May 18, 2019 vs Julian Erosa — 6.26/min (W) May '19 November 2, 2019 vs Hakeem Dawodu — 2.13/min (L) Nov '19 July 24, 2021 vs Andre Ewell — 4.8/min (W) Jul '21 November 13, 2021 vs Song Yadong — 1.97/min (L) Nov '21 April 9, 2022 vs Daniel Santos — 8.47/min (W) Apr '22 November 12, 2022 vs Montel Jackson — 1.73/min (L) Nov '22 March 30, 2024 vs Herbert Burns — 4.14/min (W) Mar '24

Fight history

10 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Herbert Burns 11-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:00 — UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · March 30, 2024
29/79Sig. strikes
15/57Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:08Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Montel Jackson 11-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · November 12, 2022
26/126Sig. strikes
48/106Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:06Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Daniel Santos 10-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · April 9, 2022
127/265Sig. strikes
49/229Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:18Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Song Yadong 17-6-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:35 — UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · November 13, 2021
13/78Sig. strikes
30/80Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Andre Ewell 17-7 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 3:45 — UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · July 24, 2021
42/113Sig. strikes
31/97Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:24Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Hakeem Dawodu 10-1-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · November 2, 2019
32/124Sig. strikes
55/139Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
0:56Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Julian Erosa 22-7 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:49 — UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · May 18, 2019
74/160Sig. strikes
43/160Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:13Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Sheymon Moraes 10-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · November 3, 2018
25/119Sig. strikes
32/102Absorbed
1/5Takedowns
4:10Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
W Daniel Teymur 6-1 walk-in Submission · R3 2:55 — UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · June 1, 2018
63/178Sig. strikes
37/102Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
1:20Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Dan Ige 8-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · January 20, 2018
72/201Sig. strikes
35/113Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:44Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
22-7-0Pro record
Team Tiger SchulmannGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 7
Submission 5
Decision 10
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 5
Other 0

Fights by organization

Ring of Combat 11
UFC 10
Victory Fighting League 2
PFL Austin 1
PFL Pittsburgh 1
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Cage Fury FC 1
Xtreme Caged Combat 1

+ 1 more organizations in the full career list

Full career — 29 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Caolán Loughran Decision (unanimous) PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2
July 18, 2026
PFL Austin 3 5:00
L Alexei Pergande Decision (unanimous) PFL Pittsburgh: Eblen vs. Battle
March 28, 2026
PFL Pittsburgh 3 5:00
W Wilson Reis KO (punch) Victory Fighting League: Clash of the Champions
October 24, 2025
Victory Fighting League 1 2:00
W Sheymon Moraes Decision (unanimous) Victory Fighting League: Battle of the Burroughs
August 15, 2025
Victory Fighting League 3 5:00
W Herbert Burns TKO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
March 30, 2024
UFC 2 2:00
L Montel Jackson Decision (unanimous) UFC 281
November 12, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
W Daniel Santos Decision (unanimous) UFC 273
April 9, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
L Song Yadong TKO (head kick and punches) UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodríguez
November 13, 2021
UFC 2 1:35
W Andre Ewell TKO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
July 24, 2021
UFC 2 3:45
L Hakeem Dawodu Decision (split) UFC 244
November 2, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Julian Erosa KO (head kick) UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Lee
May 18, 2019
UFC 3 1:49
L Sheymon Moraes Decision (split) UFC 230
November 3, 2018
UFC 3 5:00
W Daniel Teymur Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
June 1, 2018
UFC 3 2:55
W Dan Ige Decision (unanimous) UFC 220
January 20, 2018
UFC 3 5:00
W Peter Petties TKO (punches) Dana White's Contender Series 5
August 8, 2017
Dana White's Contender Series 2 2:39
W Tim Dooling Decision (unanimous) Ring of Combat 59
June 2, 2017
Ring of Combat 3 5:00
W Frank Buenafuente Submission (rear-naked choke) Ring of Combat 58
February 24, 2017
Ring of Combat 2 3:59
W Frank Buenafuente Decision (unanimous) Ring of Combat 57
November 18, 2016
Ring of Combat 3 5:00
W Francisco Isata Submission (rear-naked choke) Cage Fury FC 60
August 6, 2016
Cage Fury FC 2 3:16
L Brian Kelleher Submission (guillotine choke) Ring of Combat 54
March 4, 2016
Ring of Combat 3 0:18
L Brian Kelleher Decision (majority) Ring of Combat 52
September 25, 2015
Ring of Combat 3 5:00
W Michael Imperato Decision (unanimous) Ring of Combat 51
June 5, 2015
Ring of Combat 3 5:00
W Thomas Vasquez TKO (punches) Ring of Combat 50
January 23, 2015
Ring of Combat 3 3:46
W Jake Grigson Submission (rear-naked choke) Ring of Combat 49
September 19, 2014
Ring of Combat 1 2:20
W Jason McLean Decision (unanimous) Ring of Combat 47
January 24, 2014
Ring of Combat 3 5:00
W Corey Simmons Submission (rear-naked hoke) Ring of Combat 46
September 20, 2013
Ring of Combat 2 3:49
W Dennis Dombrow Decision (unanimous) Ring of Combat 45
June 14, 2013
Ring of Combat 3 5:00
W Umaer Haq Decision (unanimous) Xtreme Caged Combat: Backlash
November 2, 2012
Xtreme Caged Combat 3 5:00
W Kenneth Nagle KO (punches) Matrix Fights 6
July 13, 2012
Matrix Fights 1 1:46

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Julio Arce) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.1 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 3.1 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 34.9% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 68.4% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 0.5 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 28.6% avg 37.4%
Takedown defense 96.2% avg 60.2%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.4 avg 0.6
Control time 6.8% avg 20.1%
Finish rate 66.7% avg 44.2%

Headshot of Julio Arce by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized