Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Esteban Ribovics
Lightweight · “El Gringo”

Esteban Ribovics

15-3-0 UFC 6-3-0
One-Punch Power Forward Pressure Volume Machine Relentless Attack Stuck On Bottom Suspect TD Defense
5'10"Height
69"Reach
OrthodoxStance
30Age
3KO wins
0Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
10:37Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Strong, rated 87 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Aug 2026 · stats read 79 → nudged +1 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +2, striking technique +3, kicking +1 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 48 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+6) Striking D — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims striking defense -3 (-9) Durability — Average, rated 64 of 100 · 138 MMA: durability good · Aug 2026 · stats read 49 → nudged -3 inside the band · tag chin: durable (+4) · claims chin +3 (+6) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 30 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent · Feb 2025 · stats read 8 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Weak, rated 18 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Aug 2026 · stats read 25 → nudged -3 inside the band · tag getup: poor (-10) · claims td defense -2, getup +1 (-2) Grappling — Below avg, rated 38 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Aug 2026 · stats read 22 → nudged -6 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims top control -2 (-8) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
6 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC 330 · August 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 327 Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 5, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 25, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 306 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (Riyadh Season Noche UFC) · September 11, 2024 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Lewis vs Nascimento Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC St Louis) · May 8, 2024 watch ↗
grappling decent
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC 330 · August 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 327 Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 5, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC 285 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Prediction · February 28, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling decent
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 25, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 306 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (Riyadh Season Noche UFC) · September 11, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Lewis vs Nascimento Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC St Louis) · May 8, 2024 watch ↗
cardio good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 330 · August 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 watch ↗
durability good
1 analyst read graded this phase
striking solid 6 reads
grappling decent 3 reads
wrestling decent 3 reads
cardio good 2 reads
durability good 1 read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Control.

One-Punch Power 5 knockdowns · 0.78 per 15 min
Forward Pressure 7.5 landed and 5.8 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Volume Machine 7.5 significant strikes landed per minute
Relentless Attack 101 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Stuck On Bottom 138 MMA · Sep 2024 tags getup: poor
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Aug 2026 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min7.46
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.75
Striking accuracy44.0%
Striking defense53.7%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.78
Takedowns / 15 min0.31
Takedown accuracy66.7%
Takedown defense66.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.16
Control time3.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents5-2

Insider info

8 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Edson Barboza coinflip UFC 330 · August 12, 2026
strikingsolid grapplingdecent cardiogood durabilitygood wrestlingdecent

He sides with Ribovics but says he would be happy either way and advises watching rather than betting -- his own root beer designation for a fight he does not want money on.

Pure offence with essentially no defensive component, and the analyst is unusually blunt that this is not an exaggeration: he jokes that he upgraded the striking defence from nothing to merely poor only because he thinks he once saw the man block a punch. What comes the other way is genuinely good -- power, comfort fighting from either stance, real combinations, and effective body work -- and he is tough enough to keep walking through return fire. The grappling follows the same shape: usable takedowns and some sweeps, but takedown defence that is not good and a body that can be controlled once it is down. The analyst names that as the blueprint against him, pointing to a recent loss where a grappler simply ran him over. Conditioning is a genuine asset; he has gone three hard rounds and still looked functional.

Strengthreal knockout power
Strengthcomfortable fighting from either stance
Strengthgood combinations
Strengtheffective body work
Strengthexceptionally tough and willing to walk through fire
Strengthgood conditioning across three hard rounds
Strengthusable takedowns and some sweeps
Weaknessstriking defence is close to nonexistent
Weaknesstakedown defence is not good
Weaknesscan be controlled once taken down
chin · durabletd defense · suspectko power · good
vs Mateusz Gamrot lean UFC 327 Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 5, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingsolid grapplingdecent wrestlingdecent cardiogood

expects a close 29-28 either way

A climbing fighter about to get his first real test against a ranked name. Solid, powerful, switch-stance striker with good combinations and body work, but his striking defense is weak; the analyst explicitly upgraded his own read of it from 'abysmal' to 'poor' after seeing him block one punch. Durable enough to absorb that. A decent grappler with some sweeps (a Kimura sweep he favors) but shaky takedown defense, and can be held down once there; cardio is not viewed as a concern over three rounds.

Strengthpower, switch-stance striking
Strengthgood combinations, works the body
Strengthdurable, takes a punch well
Strengthdecent grappling with some sweeps
Strengthgood cardio, fine for three hard rounds
Weaknessweak striking defense (recently upgraded from 'abysmal' to 'poor')
Weaknessshaky takedown defense, can be held down
chin · durabletd defense · suspectcompetition quality · untested
vs Elves Brener lean UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikingsolid cardiogood grapplinggood wrestlingdecent

repeats 'Rivich is the pick' twice on the strength of expecting more output on the feet, but frames the whole fight as one he 'doesn't really like' having to pick, expecting fireworks either way.

Seen as the marginally sharper striker of the two on offense, throwing well from either stance with real pop and solid combination work to the body, but his defense on the feet is basically absent -- he just walks into range and trades, relying on being hard to put away rather than hard to hit. His grappling follows the same all-offense-little-defense pattern: shaky takedown defense paired with his own decent takedowns, sweeps and kimura, and the same open-mat takedown gap his opponent has.

Strengththrows well from either stance, good combinations, works the body
Strengthdurable enough to absorb a near-total lack of striking defense
Strengthdecent takedowns, sweeps, decent kimura
Weaknessessentially no striking defense
Weaknessbad takedown defense
vs Nasrat Haqparast clear UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 25, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent grapplinggood

States it plainly twice ('I've got to take him', 'we're gonna go with him'); zero-defense style 'gives pause' but does not become a hedge on the win.

A solid, powerful striker who works both stances, works the body, and puts combinations together, but has essentially no striking defense and simply absorbs shots — durability the analyst calls elite-sounding. His wrestling is decent (mixes in takedowns, a kimura-sweep off the back) but his own takedown defense is shaky, and the analyst calls his whole approach 'all offense, no defense.'

Strengthpower, works either stance
Strengthworks the body well
Strengthclean combinations
Strengthvery durable
Strengthdecent takedowns, kimura-sweep off the back
Strengthgood cardio
Weaknessstriking defense is very bad, does not seem to defend at all
Weaknesstakedown defense isn't the greatest, can be held down
chin · durabletd defense · suspect
vs Daniel Zellhuber clear UFC 306 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (Riyadh Season Noche UFC) · September 11, 2024 · 4 reads since
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent grapplinggood

He commits twice and names a real finish risk for his own pick (Ribovics could knock him out if he closes distance), but explicitly rebuts it with Zellhuber's shown durability rather than leaving it unanswered.

Carries a solid, heavy-handed striking game and is just as comfortable swapping stances mid-fight, with quality work to the midsection, yet his checking of incoming strikes is essentially nonexistent -- among the purest all-offense, zero-defense cases the analyst has come across. He wins almost entirely on toughness and gas tank, both rated highly. His wrestling is decent -- useful takedowns, good sweeps, a good kimura -- but his own takedown defense is weak, leaving him vulnerable to being pinned down on the mat. As of 2024-09-11.

Strengthsolid, powerful striker, either stance
Strengthworks the body well
Strengthgood sweeps and a good kimura
Strengthelite-level durability and cardio, can go three full rounds with no issue
Weaknessessentially no striking defense
Weaknesstakedown defense isn't good, can be held down
chin · durabletd defense · suspectgetup · poor
vs Terrance McKinney emphatic UFC Fight Night Lewis vs Nascimento Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC St Louis) · May 8, 2024 · 5 reads since
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent grapplinggood

He calls the matchup 'cut and dry' twice, back to back, with a stated mechanism (McKinney's power and head kick against Ribovics' openly atrocious striking defense and bad takedown defense) and no hedge anywhere on the win itself.

Strong hands with real pop, comfortable attacking the body and switching stances, but his own defense on the feet is singled out as among the worst the analyst has ever seen. Decent, tough wrestler who gets his own takedowns and has a reliable kimura, but once an opponent pins him flat he stays there; cardio is the trait expected to matter most if the fight runs long.

Strengthpower, body work, switches stances
Strengthoffensive takedowns, kimura
Strengthcardio, better late
Weaknessstriking defense called among the worst he's seen
Weaknesstakedown defense bad; can be held down once flattened
ko power · goodtd defense · suspectchin · durable
vs Kamuela Kirk clear UFC 290 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · July 4, 2023 · 6 reads since
grapplinggood

Says he feels pretty good about Ribovics twice, bookending a durability caveat (chin-check risk) and dismissing line movement toward Kirk as noise rather than a reason to switch.

Ribovics is the better striker of the two per the analyst, with power, stance-switching to open kicking angles, and combination work. His main grappling weapon is the Kimura, which he hunts from either top or bottom, using it for a sweep when he can't finish it. His takedown defense is average, but he showed he can scramble back to his feet in his last outing.

Strengthstance switches to open kicks
Strengthcombinations
Strengthpower
StrengthKimura from top or bottom
Strengthscrambles back to feet
Weaknessso-so takedown defense
td defense · suspectsub threat · goodgetup · good
vs Loik Radzhabov coinflip UFC 285 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Prediction · February 28, 2023 · 7 reads since
grapplinggood

not very confident whatsoever, no strong read

A finisher with real knockout power who has never been to a decision; relied on submissions early in his career and now mostly finishes by knockout. His grappling has looked good, but only against lower-level opposition, and he has not faced the level of competition his opponent has.

Strengthfinisher, has never gone to a decision
Strengthreal knockout power
Strengthearly-career submission game
Strengthgrappling has looked good, though only against lower-level opposition
Weaknesshas not faced the level of competition Radzhabov has
competition quality · paddedko power · goodsub threat · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
July 8, 2023 vs Kamuela Kirk — 7.67/min (W) Jul '23 May 11, 2024 vs Terrance McKinney — 8.11/min (W) — only 0.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought May '24 September 14, 2024 vs Daniel Zellhuber — 10.4/min (W) Sep '24 March 1, 2025 vs Nasrat Haqparast — 9.8/min (L) Mar '25 August 2, 2025 vs Elves Brener — 8.13/min (W) Aug '25 April 11, 2026 vs Mateusz Gamrot — 0.43/min (L) Apr '26 August 15, 2026 vs Edson Barboza — 9.64/min (W) Aug '26 October 3, 2026 vs King Green — 8.47/min (W) — only 4.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Oct '26

Fight history

9 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W King Green 34-17-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:08 — UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · October 3, 2026
35/71Sig. strikes
27/49Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:31Control
3Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Edson Barboza 24-14 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:32 — UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · August 15, 2026
63/126Sig. strikes
30/64Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:19Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Mateusz Gamrot 25-4 walk-in Submission · R2 4:19 — UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · April 11, 2026
4/21Sig. strikes
18/34Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Elves Brener 3-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · August 2, 2025
122/281Sig. strikes
118/250Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Nasrat Haqparast 17-5 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · March 1, 2025
147/433Sig. strikes
135/273Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Daniel Zellhuber 15-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · September 14, 2024
156/345Sig. strikes
121/308Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Terrance McKinney 15-6 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:37 — UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
5/12Sig. strikes
5/18Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Kamuela Kirk 1-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · July 8, 2023
115/202Sig. strikes
56/107Absorbed
2/2Takedowns
1:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Loik Radzhabov 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · March 4, 2023
66/129Sig. strikes
40/85Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:31Control
1Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
15-3-0Pro record
Kill Cliff FCGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 7
Submission 5
Decision 3
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 7
Fusion FC 2
United Fighting Series 2
Hualsur FC 2
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Samurai Fight House 1
Power Fight 1
Cage League Championship 1

+ 1 more organizations in the full career list

Full career — 18 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Mateusz Gamrot Submission (arm triangle choke) UFC 327
April 11, 2026
UFC 2 4:19
W Elves Brener Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Taira vs. Park
August 2, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L Nasrat Haqparast Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
March 1, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
W Daniel Zellhuber Decision (split) UFC 306
September 14, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Terrance McKinney KO (head kick) UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento
May 11, 2024
UFC 1 0:37
W Kamuela Kirk Decision (unanimous) UFC 290
July 8, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Loik Radzhabov Decision (unanimous) UFC 285
March 4, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
W Thomas Paull KO (punches) Dana White's Contender Series 50
August 16, 2022
Dana White's Contender Series 1 1:30
W Franco Aranda KO (punch) Samurai Fight House 3
February 12, 2022
Samurai Fight House 1 0:27
W Javier Basurto KO (punches) Fusion FC 44
December 10, 2020
Fusion FC 1 0:07
W Jose Zarauz TKO (punches) Fusion FC 43
March 4, 2020
Fusion FC 3 4:40
W Brian Flamengo KO (punches) United Fighting Series 9
November 9, 2019
United Fighting Series 1 0:22
W Lucas Aybar Submission (kimura) United Fighting Series 7
August 4, 2019
United Fighting Series 1 4:24
W Juan Jose Ibanez Submission (kimura) Power Fight: La Batalla del Puente 1
May 13, 2017
Power Fight 3 4:08
W Maximiliano Ortiz Submission (kimura) Hualsur FC: Noche de Campeones 18
October 15, 2016
Hualsur FC 3 0:00
W Didier Nahuel Submission (keylock) Cage League Championship 1
July 9, 2016
Cage League Championship 1 1:49
W Fernando Garcia KO (superman punch) Battle Cage 1
May 22, 2016
Battle Cage 2 2:30
W Lautaro Iturbe Submission (inverted triangle choke) Hualsur FC: Noche de Campeones 14
December 12, 2015
Hualsur FC 3 2:35

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Esteban Ribovics) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 7.5 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 5.8 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 44.0% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 53.7% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 0.3 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 66.7% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 66.7% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.2 avg 0.6
Control time 3.9% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 50.7%

Headshot of Esteban Ribovics by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized