Deiveson Figueiredo

explicitly says he sees a world where either man wins and gives soft reasons for Song (output, travel/geography, a little more left in the tank), while separately naming Figueiredo as the side he sees betting value on

A very good striker whose level he explicitly downgrades to good now that he is fighting at a heavier division, since his size disadvantage is bigger up at bantamweight than it was at flyweight. He walks opponents down patiently and picks his shots, which costs him some output but lets him win rounds purely off landing power; hands sit low, which cuts both ways. His grappling (solid) features nasty chokes, good scrambles and sweeps, great top pressure and fast transitions, with takedowns that have become easier for him to get since moving up in weight.

'Probably gonna win this fight' with a specific mechanism (question-mark kick off low hands, into superior wrestling/a rear-naked-choke path); Figueiredo's knockdown chance is acknowledged but directly rebutted by Umar's fast recovery.

A good, patient striker with forward pressure rated very highly, real power behind his shots, and shot selection analyst calls notably accurate, plus solid kicks and good body work. His patience is viewed as a plus but can let him get outworked, and he's flagged for keeping his hands low -- a tell analyst thinks Umar's question-mark kick will specifically exploit. Solid grappling, with nasty, extremely tight chokes, good scrambles and sweeps, decent takedowns and fast transitions; takedowns reportedly fatigued him badly at flyweight but have cost less since moving to bantamweight, where he cuts less weight.

He states outright he considers Figueiredo the more skilled fighter but 'take[s] Montel Jackson' purely on a stylistic matchup he calls 'a bad matchup for him' -- a direct, reasoned, unhedged commitment on the win.

Good striker with real forward pressure, power and accuracy, who works the body and throws good kicks patiently, though keeping his hands low is a problem against an accurate counter-striker. Solid grappler with nasty, tight chokes and good top pressure and transitions, but only decent takedowns and real doubt about whether he can actually ground this particular opponent given his good takedown defense, which could also be costly on his gas tank. A former flyweight champion who has carried his skills up to bantamweight against top competition.

At the pick he states plainly that Sandhagen edges the scorecards; the only caveats are about whether a finish happens, not about who wins, and earlier in the chapter he says he is sure about the output gap between them.

Good, patient striker who the analyst argues is not really slowing down with age despite one rough recent loss -- a loss he attributes to facing elite competition rather than decline. His power and accuracy, not volume, are what produce his wins, including knocking down a man who had just eaten a vicious knee unfazed; he also works the body and throws kicks people forget about. The patience that lets him pick shots also means low output, which the analyst expects to cost him on volume here. Solid grappler with nasty, fight-ending chokes and good scrambling/sweeps/top pressure when he chooses to engage, though he uses it less now than at flyweight and can be muscled into takedowns.

He names Figueiredo as the pick and offers a real case for it -- Yan's difficulty staying in front of him, plus power and grappling that hold up even against solid takedown defense -- but immediately undercuts his own conviction by calling the matchup roughly even on skill, and frames the whole pick as a reaction to what he sees as badly mispriced odds rather than a lopsided read.

A patient, forward-moving striker who does not need heavy output to keep the pressure on, carrying enough power to have dropped a famously granite-chinned past opponent and enough accuracy and body work to make anyone gasp for air; his kicks are rated very highly too. He fights with his hands low, which opens angles but invites punishment if his defense slips. His jiu-jitsu is called outstanding -- nasty, tight chokes, slick scrambles and sweeps, and transitions that are fast and hard to follow -- and the analyst says the physical toll his takedowns used to cost him at his old weight has eased since he moved up.

A full round-by-round plan is laid out rather than a bare pick -- an even opener, then two rounds of top control. The obvious counter-angle for the other side is raised by name and then directly argued against, not simply left standing.

A pressuring, accurate boxer who works the body well and carries nasty kicks, though he tends to be patient with his hands held low. His ground game is credited as strong -- takedown entries that do tax his own cardio, tight and nasty choke attempts, good scrambling and top control, and smooth transitions. A former champion one weight class down, he is in his third outing at this new weight and is said to be beating ranked names while looking sharp doing it.

Named explicitly twice ('side with figero', 'getting this one done'); paraphrased elsewhere as a tough stylistic matchup for both men, and he declines to wager on it at all ('no bets on this one'). Wager caution kept separate from the analytical pick per standing rule, but the stylistic hedge on the win itself pulls confidence down from clear.

Good standup striker who presses forward with power, accuracy and body work, but can get too patient and drop his hands while waiting for counters. Owns a solid BJJ game with tight chokes, scrambles and sweeps, though shooting takedowns himself tires him out. The analyst reasons Figueiredo should avoid shooting against a wrestler with good takedown defense and instead lean on his own power to end it standing.

Pick stated plainly and repeated, backed by a real mechanism (Font's jab forcing Figueiredo's low hands up, opening the body), but the analyst explicitly calls "it's a close fight" and says he won't "fault you for picking" the other man -- a genuine hedge on the win, not just on method.

Deiveson Figueiredo, moving up from flyweight after a long championship series, is read as a powerful, accurate striker with excellent, forward-pressuring kicks and real submission threat on the ground, but with two flagged habits: he keeps his hands low while loading power shots, and he sometimes gets too patient picking shots -- a trait tied to five-round championship fights that may not fit a three-round bout. His takedowns are credited as decent but fatiguing.

Pick sentences (segs 13, 15): 'I do lean' Figueiredo, and 'I'm going to pick' him for a fourth time. The word 'lean' is attached to the WIN itself. Supporting clause: the opponent is 'too willing to get into a scrap' and will be 'caught at least a few times' (seg 13) -- 'at least a few times' is a sufficiency floor, weak support. Route left open: Moreno 'has a good chance of winning obviously' (seg 14), 'it's gonna be a tough one' / 'I don't know' on volume-and-pace versus power-and-accuracy (seg 10), 'either guy can get it done' on the grappling (seg 11). 'I do think he's gonna be able to get the finish' (seg 15) is a METHOD claim and does not lift the win grade. Staking talk (a unit already placed, liking the fighter, segs 16-17) is not load-bearing support. Not clear because the support is hedged and a live route stands at the end of the chapter.

Flyweight champion-level striker who plays the accurate sniper but also walks opponents down with kicks to the legs and body and heavy boxing. His one-shot power is the analyst's central reason: anyone who stays in a scrap with him will get hit, and he can also stop volume by putting the other man on the mat. The analyst credits him with stronger jiu-jitsu overall, while noting the opponent was superior on the mat in one earlier meeting. The pick is a lean, not a lock: the opponent's pace and volume remain a real route.