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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
David Dvorak
Flyweight · “Undertaker”

David Dvorak

22-7-0 UFC 3-3-0
Striker Hard To Take Down
5'5"Height
68"Reach
OrthodoxStance
34Age
0KO wins
1Sub wins
33.3%Finish rate
12:53Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 74 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Jun 2023 · stats read 32 → nudged -6 inside the band · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims kicking +2, pressure +1 (+2) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 37 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Average, rated 60 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Average, rated 49 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 29 of 100 · claims td offense +1, clinch +1 (+3) TD Defense — Average, rated 62 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 50 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling good · Jun 2023 · stats read 32 → nudged -9 inside the band · claims ground and pound +2 (+2) Control — Below avg, rated 27 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC 289 Full Card Breakdown Analysis And Prediction · June 6, 2023 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Strickland Full Card Analysis, Preview, & Prediction · December 14, 2022 watch ↗
grappling good whiteboard
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 289 Full Card Breakdown Analysis And Prediction · June 6, 2023 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Strickland Full Card Analysis, Preview, & Prediction · December 14, 2022 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 2 reads
grappling good 2 reads · whiteboard
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Accuracy, Striking D, Durability, TD Defense.

Built on 77 minutes of tracked cage time across 6 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker above avg striking — rates 74 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Jun 2023
Hard To Take Down average td defense — rates 62 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.48
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.29
Striking accuracy43.0%
Striking defense59.7%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.58
Takedown accuracy30.0%
Takedown defense70.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.19
Control time10.0%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Steve Erceg lean UFC 289 Full Card Breakdown Analysis And Prediction · June 6, 2023
strikingsolid grapplinggood

Leans Dvorak on veteran experience over the UFC-debuting Erceg, but explicitly calls it his weakest pick on the card and says the market price looks off to him.

David Dvorak is read as a counter-based striker with nasty leg kicks, though his counter-first approach can leave him passive and not pushing the pace he could. He has good trips from the clinch and heavy ground-and-pound once a fight hits the mat. The pick leans his way mainly on the strength of his UFC veteran experience (25+ fights) against a newcomer, not on a clear stylistic edge.

Strengthsolid, counter-based striking with nasty leg kicks
Strengthgood clinch trips
Strengthheavy ground-and-pound
Strengthveteran UFC experience
Weaknesscan be passive looking for counters rather than pushing forward
vs Manel Kape coinflip UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Strickland Full Card Analysis, Preview, & Prediction · December 14, 2022 · 1 read since
strikingsolid grapplinggood

Heavily hedged underdog pick: 'I might be wrong,' 'if pressed I'll take Dvorak,' an 'ever so slight' lean. Separately recommends an under-2.5-rounds prop as a distinct method/total play, not part of the outcome read.

A solid, counter-based striker who walks opponents down behind forward pressure rather than throwing first, with a nasty leg kick. In the clinch and on the ground he has slick trips and a heavy ground-and-pound. The analyst's lean rests on expecting the fight to work into the clinch/grappling range over time, where Dvorak's edge shows, despite his coming off a loss.

Strengthgood forward pressure with counter-based boxing
Strengthnasty leg kick
Strengthslick clinch trips
Strengthstrong ground-and-pound
Weaknesslikely to lose pure range-striking exchanges to Kape
counter striking · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 6 fights · green = win
March 14, 2020 vs Bruno Silva — 4.47/min (W) Mar '20 September 19, 2020 vs Jordan Espinosa — 4.53/min (W) Sep '20 May 22, 2021 vs Juancamilo Ronderos — 3.91/min (W) — only 2.3 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought May '21 March 26, 2022 vs Matheus Nicolau — 2.6/min (L) Mar '22 December 17, 2022 vs Manel Kape — 2.2/min (L) Dec '22 June 10, 2023 vs Steve Erceg — 3.53/min (L) Jun '23

Fight history

6 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Steve Erceg 9-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · June 10, 2023
53/114Sig. strikes
54/140Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
1:57Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Manel Kape 17-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · December 17, 2022
33/94Sig. strikes
58/119Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
2:42Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Matheus Nicolau 17-2-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · March 26, 2022
39/110Sig. strikes
36/81Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
1:25Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Juancamilo Ronderos 0-0 walk-in Submission · R1 2:18 — UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
9/28Sig. strikes
11/32Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:23Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Jordan Espinosa 15-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · September 19, 2020
68/146Sig. strikes
50/162Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Bruno Silva 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · March 14, 2020
67/133Sig. strikes
45/97Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
1:12Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
22-7-0Pro record
All Sports AcademyGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 9
Submission 8
Decision 5
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 5
Other 0

Fights by organization

GCF 8
UFC 6
XFN 4
Oktagon 3
Real Fight Arena 1
Night of Warriors 1
Night of Masters 1
Fight Nights Global 1

+ 4 more organizations in the full career list

Full career — 29 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Zhalgas Zhumagulov TKO (doctor stoppage) Oktagon 81
December 28, 2025
Oktagon 3 5:00
W Mohammed Walid KO (punches) Oktagon 75
September 13, 2025
Oktagon 1 3:56
W Mikhail Sirbu Decision (unanimous) Real Fight Arena 21 x ZHS
March 22, 2025
Real Fight Arena 3 5:00
L Steve Erceg Decision (unanimous) UFC 289
June 10, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Manel Kape Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
December 17, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
L Matheus Nicolau Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
March 26, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
W Juancamilo Ronderos Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
May 22, 2021
UFC 1 2:43
W Jordan Espinosa Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
September 19, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
W Bruno Gustavo da Silva Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
March 14, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
W Arsen Taigibov Submission (rear-naked choke) Oktagon 13
July 27, 2019
Oktagon 2 4:02
W Igor Goncharov TKO (punches) Night of Warriors 15
April 6, 2019
Night of Warriors 1 3:10
W Zaka Fatullazade TKO (punches) XFN 15
December 27, 2018
XFN 1 2:26
W Salambek Damaev Submission (rear-naked choke) XFN 13
November 10, 2018
XFN 2 2:10
W Marco Manovali TKO (punches and elbows) XFN 8
March 3, 2018
XFN 1 3:56
W Miroslav Kubáň TKO (punches) XFN 5
October 21, 2017
XFN 2 3:58
W Shely Santana Submission (rear-naked choke) Night of Masters 11
December 10, 2016
Night of Masters 1 4:30
W Miroslav Kubáň TKO (doctor stoppage) Fight Nights Global 49
June 4, 2016
Fight Nights Global 2 2:41
W Tomáš Žák TKO (punches) GCF 31
May 22, 2015
GCF 1 1:03
W Martin Fexa Submission (rear-naked choke) GCF 30
February 25, 2015
GCF 1 4:19
W Kamil Wójcik Submission (armbar) GCF 29
December 12, 2014
GCF 1 4:25
W Petr Neumann TKO GCF Challenge: Eastern Best 3
October 11, 2014
GCF Challenge 1 —
W Ondrej Skalnik Submission (rear-naked choke) GCF 16
October 7, 2012
GCF 1 2:30
L Filip Macek TKO (cut) GCF 12
May 11, 2012
GCF 2 0:15
W Artur Jevsejčik Decision (unanimous) GCF 9
February 18, 2012
GCF 3 5:00
W Michal Malata Submission (heel hook) Fighters Fight Night
December 16, 2011
Fighters Fight Night 2 1:13
L Leszek Kulik Decision (unanimous) Heroes Gate 4
June 23, 2011
Heroes Gate 3 5:00
W Tomas Masojidek TKO (punches) GCF 3
April 23, 2011
GCF 2 2:03
W Petr Neuman Decision (unanimous) GCF 1
December 4, 2010
GCF 3 3:00
L Filip Macek Decision (unanimous) Nord Bohemia Ring
June 6, 2010
Nord Bohemia Ring 2 5:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (David Dvořák) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 67 qualified Flyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.5 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 3.3 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 43.0% avg 44.9%
Striking defense 59.7% avg 56.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.6 avg 1.7
Takedown accuracy 30.0% avg 36.0%
Takedown defense 70.0% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.2 avg 0.7
Control time 10.0% avg 19.8%
Finish rate 33.3% avg 45.9%

Headshot of David Dvorak by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized