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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Danny Barlow
Middleweight · “LeftHand2God”

Danny Barlow

2-2-0
Forward Pressure Hard To Take Down
6'2"Height
79"Reach
SouthpawStance
31Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
11:07Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 71 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Oct 2025 · stats read 70 → nudged +4 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims striking power +2, striking technique +1, kicking +1 (+6) Accuracy — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +1 (+3) Striking D — Below avg, rated 29 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking defence marked as a minus · stats read 26 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims striking defense -1 (-3) Durability — Below avg, rated 31 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 11 of 100 · claims clinch +1 (+1) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Feb 2025 · stats read 55 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims td defense +2 (+4) Grappling — Weak, rated 20 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Weak, rated 13 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Vancouver Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 13, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 25, 2025 watch ↗
  • very good UFC 298 Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction · February 13, 2024 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling · stats alone on Durability, Grappling, Control.

Built on 44 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Forward Pressure 5.6 landed and 4.6 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Hard To Take Down above avg td defense — rates 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Feb 2025
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.62
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.63
Striking accuracy51.5%
Striking defense52.3%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.34
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense100.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time3.3%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Djorden Santos clear UFC Fight Night Vancouver Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 13, 2025
strikinggood

Calls it a Barlow spot for sure and says Barlow gets the job done -- a stated striking/takedown-defense mechanism with no hedge on the win.

A good striker with real power who throws a diverse leg-kick arsenal (inside/outside, including knee-targeting kicks) and a southpaw counter cross; keeping his hands low is noted as a liability. His only loss is a knockout to an opponent the analyst credits as having looked excellent. Good takedown defense is also credited to him, which the analyst leans on as the deciding factor against a forward-pressure opponent.

Strengthpower
Strengthdiverse leg kicks (inside/outside, knee-targeting)
Strengthsouthpaw counter cross
Strengthgood takedown defense
Weaknesskeeps hands low
counter striking · good
vs Sam Patterson clear UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 25, 2025 · 1 read since
strikinggood

States it plainly ('we're gonna go Danny Barlow'); Patterson's grappling path is acknowledged as live but is answered earlier by the analyst's own read that the takedowns get stopped, so it isn't left as an unrebutted threat.

A good, diverse striker with real power, a varied leg-kick game (inside, outside, knee attacks), and dangerous southpaw counters. His ability to keep takedowns from happening is solid, which the analyst leans on to argue the fight stays standing in his favor, though his hands dropping low at times is a live technical flaw.

Strengthgood power
Strengthdiverse leg kicks (inside/outside, knee attacks)
Strengthgood counter striking, southpaw cross
Strengthtakedown defense pretty good
Weaknesshands drop low at times
td defense · good
vs Nikolay Veretennikov clear UFC Fight Night Tybura vs Spivac 2 Full Card Analysis, Prediction, & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 95) · August 6, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikingvery good

He is unqualified throughout, declaring himself squarely on Barlow's side and treating the underdog line as a mistake by the market. The opponent's conceded knockout threat is answered with a specific reason rather than left standing -- he expects Barlow to land first, land hard, and keep that power deep into the fight. The only hedge present is attached to the finishing method, not to who wins.

He picks Barlow on a clear physical and power edge: a notably longer reach, heavy-handed striking especially with his left hand, and a habit of validating the analyst's confidence by winning fights the analyst doubted him in beforehand. He expects Barlow to land first and land hard, and to keep that power deep into the fight.

StrengthReach advantage, by his estimate about five inches longer than Veretennikov's
StrengthHeavy hands, especially the left
StrengthKeeps his power late into fights (cited from his win over Quinland)
StrengthHas twice outperformed the analyst's own pre-fight doubts (Raheem Forest, Quinland)
vs Josh Quinlan clear UFC 298 Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction · February 13, 2024 · 3 reads since
strikingvery good

A specific mechanism is given and repeated (the long-reach southpaw cross catching Quinlan's blitzing entries) with only a mild 'probably' qualifier on the finish, and no hedge toward the alternative winner.

Barlow has no losses yet, and even the analyst admits being surprised by him once already, after calling for him to lose on the regional show against a strong wrestler. He has a real reach advantage at this weight and the long straight-punch power that comes with it, led by a southpaw cross, plus a varied leg-kick attack that sets it up. He struggles once a fight is grounded against him, which is the one clear opening in his profile.

Strengthlong reach feeding a powerful southpaw cross
Strengthvaried leg kicks (inside, outside, to the knee) that set up his hands
Strengthgood power across his striking
Weaknessstruggles once a fight is grounded against him
td defense · suspectko power · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
February 17, 2024 vs Josh Quinlan — 8.41/min (W) Feb '24 August 10, 2024 vs Nikolay Veretennikov — 3.13/min (W) Aug '24 March 1, 2025 vs Sam Patterson — 4.74/min (L) — only 3.2 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Mar '25 October 18, 2025 vs Djorden Santos — 6.2/min (L) Oct '25

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Djorden Santos 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · October 18, 2025
93/171Sig. strikes
99/216Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Sam Patterson 2-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:10 — UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · March 1, 2025
15/30Sig. strikes
18/34Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Nikolay Veretennikov 0-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · August 10, 2024
47/99Sig. strikes
50/92Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
1:16Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Josh Quinlan 1-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:18 — UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · February 17, 2024
95/185Sig. strikes
39/90Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:13Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 168 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.6 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 4.6 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 51.5% avg 47.0%
Striking defense 52.3% avg 53.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 40.4%
Takedown defense 100.0% avg 61.3%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.7
Control time 3.3% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 60.8%

Headshot of Danny Barlow by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized