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Carli Judice
Women's Flyweight · “Crispy”

Carli Judice

4-1-0
Keeps It Standing Volume Machine Relentless Attack Forward Pressure
5'7"Height
68"Reach
SouthpawStance
27Age
3KO wins
0Sub wins
75.0%Finish rate
8:57Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 82 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Aug 2026 · stats read 70 → nudged -2 inside the band · tag pace: high volume (+2) · claims striking power +2, striking volume +2, striking technique +3, kicking +1 (+6) Accuracy — Above avg, rated 70 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+6) Striking D — Below avg, rated 30 of 100 · claims striking defense -1 (-3) Durability — Average, rated 60 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 21 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Above avg, rated 81 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Aug 2026 · stats read 62 → nudged -3 inside the band · tag getup: good (+4) · claims td defense +2, getup +2 (+6) Grappling — Weak, rated 22 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Weak, rated 23 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Hernandez vs Rodrigues Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 17, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Hernandez Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 14, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Vettori vs Dolidze Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 11, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio good
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Hernandez vs Rodrigues Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 17, 2026 watch ↗
  • very good UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Hernandez Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 14, 2026 watch ↗
  • great UFC Fight Night Vettori vs Dolidze Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 11, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 watch ↗
durability not yet read
striking solid 5 reads
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio good 4 reads
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D · stats alone on Durability, Wrestling, Grappling, Control.

Built on 44 minutes of tracked cage time across 5 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Keeps It Standing stuffs 83% of takedowns and spends 8% of the fight grappling
Volume Machine 8.7 significant strikes landed per minute · 138 MMA · Aug 2026 tags pace: high volume
Relentless Attack 106 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Forward Pressure 8.7 landed and 4.7 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min8.7
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.71
Striking accuracy48.1%
Striking defense59.9%
Knockdowns / 15 min1.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.67
Takedown accuracy50.0%
Takedown defense82.8%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time7.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-0

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Jeisla Chaves emphatic UFC Fight Night Hernandez vs Rodrigues Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 17, 2026
strikingsolid cardiogood

States the pick flatly as 'no question there,' with no hedge on the outcome itself.

The analyst argues her 6-2 record undersells her, saying the two losses were close decisions she may have actually out-struck her way to. Her striking is called beautiful: solid combinations of punches and kicks, very high sustained volume, and a step-through cross used well to switch stances and cover ground. She also brings good cardio, good takedown defense and the ability to work back to her feet, which the analyst treats as the deciding edge in this matchup.

Strengthhigh-volume, well-rounded striking with a strong step-through cross
Strengthgood cardio and good takedown defense
td defense · goodpace · high volume
vs Juliana Miller emphatic UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Hernandez Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 14, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingsolid cardiovery good

names her the top pick on the card and takes her with full confidence

Our paraphrase: clearly the superior striker of the two, landing combinations at a high pace she can sustain thanks to strong cardio. Her takedown defense is singled out as much improved since her last outing, now a real asset, and she gets back to her feet quickly when taken down. The analyst rates her as his top pick on the entire card, expecting an easy, stylistically favorable win.

Strengthclearly the better striker here
Strengthstrong combination output
Strengthhigh sustained pace
Strengthstrong cardio
Strengthmuch-improved takedown defense
Strengthfast return to feet
pace · high volumetd defense · goodgetup · good
vs Nicolle Caliari lean UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikingsolid cardiogreat

He commits to Judice on volume, but immediately hedges: predicts another split decision is possible and says he'll mainly 'be watching this one,' not confidently invested.

A heavy-volume striker who throws from the opening bell and keeps the pace up the whole fight, with good combinations and output described by the analyst as record-setting on the regional scene. Her takedown defense is not her best trait, but she pops back to her feet quickly and is rarely controlled on the mat. He frames her two recent losses as misleadingly close split decisions she arguably should have won.

Strengthvery high striking volume all fight
Strengthgood combinations, mixes punches and kicks
Strengthpops back to feet off takedowns
Strengthcardio never slows
Weaknesstakedown defense not her best trait
pace · high volumegetup · goodtd defense · suspect
vs Yuneisy Duben clear UFC Fight Night Vettori vs Dolidze Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 11, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikinggood cardiogreat

He says he is very confident Judice will out-land on volume as the fight progresses and repeats the pick twice; a passing 'maybe I'm crazy' aside follows the declaration rather than retracting it.

A high-volume boxer who has dropped two close decisions she arguably could have won. Our words: he floats the word 'solid' for her striking, then settles back on 'good' without using 'solid' again, pairing heavy combination output and a strong gas tank with a defense built on busy offense rather than technique, plus a real takedown vulnerability she counters by popping back up.

Strengthheavy combination striking with real volume
Strengthkeeps her output up across a full fight
Strengthstrong conditioning
Strengthpops back up quickly off takedowns
Weaknessdefense suffers because she is too busy attacking to guard
Weaknesscan be taken down
pace · high volumegetup · good
vs Gabriella Fernandes lean UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 · 4 reads since
strikinggood cardiogood

He frames this as a hard fight to call given limited information, builds the pick around a grappling wrinkle he admits he has never actually seen on tape, and ends by wondering aloud whether he is just rooting for his pick -- real hedging on top of a disclosed personal fondness for Judice.

Our words: a UFC debutant with only four pro fights who already shows an extremely high-volume, wild combination striking game with real power. Often criticized for cardio, but the analyst argues her output numbers actually show good conditioning, not a weakness. Her takedown defense is admittedly poor, though she gets back up off the ground. The analyst speculates -- without having actually seen it on tape -- that she may also carry an unshown wrestling/feint game to set up her striking.

Strengthextremely high-volume combination striking with real power
Strengthgood cardio across a full fight
Strengthgets back up quickly off takedowns
Weaknesspoor takedown defense
Weaknessgrappling game is an unknown quantity
pace · high volumegetup · goodtd defense · suspect

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 5 fights · green = win
June 15, 2024 vs Gabriella Fernandes — 11.27/min (L) Jun '24 March 15, 2025 vs Yuneisy Duben — 10.2/min (W) — only 1.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Mar '25 July 19, 2025 vs Nicolle Caliari — 9.48/min (W) Jul '25 February 21, 2026 vs Juliana Miller — 5.27/min (W) Feb '26 August 22, 2026 vs Jeisla Chaves — 9.7/min (W) — only 1.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '26

Fight history

5 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Jeisla Chaves 1-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:39 — UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · August 22, 2026
16/35Sig. strikes
10/28Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Juliana Miller 2-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · February 21, 2026
79/185Sig. strikes
36/122Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:07Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Nicolle Caliari 0-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:30 — UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · July 19, 2025
109/225Sig. strikes
32/101Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:18Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Yuneisy Duben 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:40 — UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · March 15, 2025
17/43Sig. strikes
14/41Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Gabriella Fernandes 0-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · June 15, 2024
169/323Sig. strikes
119/234Absorbed
2/4Takedowns
1:04Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
4-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 5

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 56 qualified Women's Flyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 8.7 avg 4.0
Strikes absorbed /min 4.7 avg 3.8
Striking accuracy 48.1% avg 44.2%
Striking defense 59.9% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 0.7 avg 1.3
Takedown accuracy 50.0% avg 41.3%
Takedown defense 82.8% avg 60.7%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 7.9% avg 21.4%
Finish rate 75.0% avg 39.3%

Headshot of Carli Judice by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized